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美东时间周三,国际金价收于1950美元关口上方,续创收盘新高。截止收盘,纽约商品交易所黄金futuresThe most active market trading8Monthly gold futures price29Daily increase compared to the previous trading day8.8US dollars, closing at per ounce1953.4USD, up by0.45%。近期黄金市场大幅走高,刷新2011年高位创下历史新高。分析师指出,尽管看起来黄金市场的上涨不可阻挡,但眼下多头押注过多,一旦投资者情绪出现转变,那么投机者大量离场的话,金价可能会有快速回落。短期金价就可能测试2000dollar/盎司关口,但那之后会出现获利了结,因此维持之前的预期。
通过认真比对,我们不难发现,关于黄金后市这些矛盾的观点,其实很多都围绕着三个话题:黄金和分别美元、美债收益率和通胀的关系。对于这三个方面的不同看法,将影响人们对黄金后市的预期判断。而一个容易令人忽视的点是——这三个因素之间,其实存在着紧密而微妙的联系。换言之,判断黄金后市的走势,我们不能孤立地抽取当中的某一因素进行分析。下面我们抽丝剥茧,一步步梳理一下这三个因素和黄金的联系。
黄金市场在近期的大涨后,吸引了市场更多注意力。在债券收益率极为低迷的情况下,不少基金经理转向了黄金。利率的低迷意味着黄金的持有成本极为低迷。 Technical aspects of Meijin:
日图布林带开口朝上运行,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average shows a good upward trend with a golden cross,KThe line intersects with the Bolin Upper Rail LineMA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线交金叉向上红色动能有所放缓,KDJ三线呈金叉缩口向右运行,日图行情整体运行于多头趋势内;4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Belt runs three tracks upwards,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average shows a good upward trend with a golden cross,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACD快慢线呈死叉缓和下行绿色动能小幅放量,KDJ三线呈金叉缩口向下运行,金价短线有一定的回落动能,日内操作上建议高空为主。上方初步阻力在1988Nearby, the resistance in the next step is2000; Preliminary support below1962Further support on1950; Daily trading strategy(12Contract):
1Above1988-2000Short selling nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each300Point;
2Below1962-1950Short term long trading nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each200Point;
The content of the article is purely the author's remarks in the upcoming market(qsly1818)My personal opinion is that I do not recommend placing orders. The specific market situation is based on the intraday trend. There are risks in investing and caution is required when entering the market. writing/Market comments