Hao Chengbin:7.29Analysis of the trend of gold and crude oil and operational suggestions

    投资是个长久之计，不是一朝一夕，所以不可操之过急。就算你现在亏损了，那也没什么可怕的，只要选择正确，失去的都会再回来。聪明人总是结伴而行，把握做单时机，掌握行情动向，方可百战百胜。无论成功还是失败，都让我们明白，人生需要一个好的心态。人生的进退，生活的好坏，有时取决于我们的心态，努力是一种结局，放弃也是一种结局。只是不同的心境，有着不同的结果，你笑天是蓝的，你哭天是阴的。学会投资，需要一个好的心态，走好人生，需要一个好的心境，心态有时决定着你投资的成败。

    --------goldTrend analysis

    Tuesday（7month28Japanese goldT+DClosing up0.29%to425element/Ke, charge high and fall close3%; silverT+Drise2.52%to5645element/Kilogram, high level sliding500Yuan! Long positions in spot gold chose to take profits and fell within the day70Multiple US dollars, spot silver is even more volatile, from the highest26.188dollar/Ounces dropped to22.319dollar/Ounces, amplitude reached15.7%. The record breaking rise in gold shows signs of losing momentum, while silver has briefly fallen as investors begin to evaluate whether prices have risen too high or too fast. In addition, as some traders took profits, the US dollar also regained some of its earlier losses. In the short term, the upward trend of gold prices is somewhat excessive, and a correction may have already begun. Gold in8Rising within trading days10%By any standard, it is in an overbought state.

    黄金技术面来看，从日线上来看，金价连续飙升，截止今日目前已8Lianyang, wave amplitude exceeding185USD. In terms of indicators,MACDThe energy of the golden cross and red kinetic column has increased, coupled with the upward movement of the Bollinger Bands, the bullish cloud band has also remained intact, and the signals of various lines remain bullish. The gold price is still optimistic and upward, but it is worth noting that due to the impact of fund smashing in the morning, the gold quickly plunged below today's starting point, andKDJSending a serious overbought signal,The random indicator is turning downwards and attempting to form a dead cross, indicating that gold is facing a decline or high level adjustment. From the hourly line, the price of gold fluctuates back and forth, directly reaching20On the front line of the daily moving average, after a wave of retreat, short-term gold will enter a correction, and bulls will continue to exert strength in the future;KDJ低位有转头金叉迹象，尽管金价盘中大幅跳水，但仍建议不要盲目做空，任何回调都可能是投资者买入的好时机。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上王金尧个人建议以回调做多为主，上方短期重点关注1965-1970Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1935-1940Frontline support.

    --------crude oilTrend analysis

    Beijing Time7month29In the early morning of the day, the American Petroleum Institute(API)According to published data, as of7month24Day and WeekAPIReduction in crude oil inventory682.9Ten thousand barrels, expected increase0Ten thousand barrels; Increase in gasoline inventory108.3Ten thousand barrels; Refined oil inventory increase18.7万桶；数据公布后，美油短线小幅走高，收报41.08dollar/Barrel, decline narrowed to1.25%。由于市场对美国经济刺激计划的希望逐渐消退，且两党在经济问题上存在巨大分歧，加上美国职业棒球大联盟(MLB)的“暂停”减缓了需求的反弹力度，日内石油价格下跌。尽管API数据显示美国原油库存降幅大于市场预期，但考虑到上周数据录得意外大幅增加，且汽油的消费需求亦存疑，WTI原油价格在数据公布后触及41dollar/桶后有所回落，市场情绪喜忧参半。

    日线布林带趋于水平运行，原油仍窄幅震荡于中轨和上轨之间；MACDDead fork but weak kinetic energy,KDJDead fork; Indicating that the overall kinetic energy of crude oil is weak and tends to fluctuate and decline in the short term; The lower support should first focus on the middle rail of the Bollinger belt40.36If it breaks below this position, a short-term bearish signal will be added, and crude oil will further step back on the Bollinger Line's track38.4Nearby support; Meanwhile,7Tested in mid month39It also has a certain degree of support. Overall, crude oil is still trading within a volatile range as the market is still evaluating the impact of the second spread of the epidemic on demandOPEC+减产使得油市短时间处于一个相对平衡的状态，而疫情二次蔓延是当前最大的不确定性因素。同时国际关系紧张情绪也会对原油构成打压。郝承斌认为原油短期仍将维持窄幅震荡的格局，等待方向性突破，布林带中轨目前仍为原油提供良好支撑，若原油坚守该位置，则仍将维持目前小区间震荡的走势，所以综合分析今日操作上郝承斌建议高空低多操作即可，上方关注42.0-42.5One line of resistance, pay attention below40.3-40.5Frontline support.

    承斌寄语

    行情并不可怕，可怕的是自我信心的丧失，可悲的是交易思路的错乱，没了方向你再奔跑都是一场灾难，总是抱着侥幸的心理在博弈一个没有一点把握的未来，某次的赚钱只能是个意外，而长期的亏损却成为了常态，这一次，错过了是遗憾，做错了就是悔恨，往往有时候为了前面某一单的亏损，而不停的交易，只是想在自己限定的时间内让之前的损失捞回来，这样的态度却会影响后面理性的判断，好比手里握着沙子，越用力发现反而握不住，握的越紧流失的越快，投资何偿不是如此。