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美东时间周二,国际金价收涨,续创收盘历史新高。截止收盘,纽约商品交易所黄金futuresThe most active market trading8Monthly gold futures price28Daily increase compared to the previous trading day13.6US dollars, closing at per ounce1944.6USD, up by0.7%。9月交割的白银期货价格下跌20.1Cents, closing at per ounce24.3USD, with a decline of0.82%。在夺下6根亮眼的大阳线后,周一黄金终于成功上破历史新高;
金价冲高并不意外。全球经济严重衰退,增长预期低迷,叠加地缘政治因素,未来不确定性陡增。风雨飘摇之际,连比特币都重新站上了1.1万美元,避险是市场主旋律,黄金是最稳固的锚。连续一周来高歌猛进,历史纪录已经轻松迈过,2000美元关口只差临门一脚。当前投资者关心的是,金价上限在哪?
正常时间内,黄金与美元指数一般反向而行,但两者的相关性本身也有很大波动。今年以来,金融市场已经发生过诸多匪夷所思的现象,二者的负相关性也并非一成不变。高盛(Goldman Sachs)take12个月黄金价格预期从先前的2000dollar/盎司上调至2300dollar/盎司。美银美林(BofA)维持此前4月的金价预期,预计未来18个月金价就可能触及3000dollar/盎司。花旗集团(Citigroup)则表示,目前黄金市场所处的周期是非常独特的,金价或许会在很长一段时间里维持在较高水平。该行预计金价很快就能触及2000dollar/盎司大关,短期目标看向2100dollar/ounce. Technical aspects of Meijin:
The Ritu Bolin Belt runs three tracks upwards,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈金叉向上运行,KThe line intersects with the Bolin Upper Rail LineMA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线交金叉向上红色动能缩量,KDJ三线呈金叉向右走平,行情整体运行于多头趋势内;4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Belt runs three tracks upwards,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉向上走平,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACD快慢线呈死叉向下运行绿色动能微幅放量,KDJ三线呈死叉向上走平,金价短线有一定的回调风险,日内操作上建议低多为主。上方初步阻力在1989Nearby, the resistance in the next step is2000; Preliminary support below1960Further support on1949; Daily trading strategy(12Contract):
1Above1989-2000Short selling nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each300Point;
2Below1960-1949Short term long trading nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each200Point;
The content of the article is purely the author's remarks in the upcoming market(qsly1818)My personal opinion is that I do not recommend placing orders. The specific market situation is based on the intraday trend. There are risks in investing and caution is required when entering the market. writing/Market comments