Wen Jun discusses the market7.28黄金暴跌晚间行情实时分析，原油美盘交易策略

　　goldMessage analysis: Tuesday（7month28Japanese goldT+DClosing up0.29%to425element/Ke, charge high and fall close3%; silverT+Drise2.52%to5645element/Kilogram, high level sliding500Yuan! Long positions in spot gold chose to take profits and fell within the day70Multiple US dollars, spot silver is even more volatile, from the highest26.188dollar/Ounces dropped to22.319dollar/Ounces, amplitude reached15.7%. The record breaking rise in gold shows signs of losing momentum, while silver has briefly fallen as investors begin to evaluate whether prices have risen too high or too fast. In addition, as some traders took profits, the US dollar also regained some of its earlier losses. In the short term, the upward trend of gold prices is somewhat excessive, and a correction may have already begun. Gold in8Rising within trading days10%By any standard, it is in an overbought state.
　　
　　国际黄金技术分析：现货黄金在早盘盘初时段涨势凌厉。小幅低开后迅速反弹，一度上破1980At the critical juncture, reaching a new historical high; The US dollar index has fallen for the eighth consecutive trading day, hitting its lowest point during trading2018year6month15The current low point. Before the two-day meeting of the Federal Reserve began, funds were reducing their holdings in the US dollar. Breakthrough of spot gold1980The US dollar continued to hit a record high, but then plummeted rapidly50The US dollar, taking back all recent gains, is mainly due to the impact of profit taking by investors. Despite a pullback in gold prices, there are still many positive factors supporting the gold market on a fundamental level, coupled with the demand for bargain hunting, which will further increase in the future.
　　
From a daily perspective, gold prices have continued to soar, and as of today8Lianyang, wave amplitude exceeding185USD. In terms of indicators,MACDThe energy of the golden cross and red kinetic column has increased, coupled with the upward movement of the Bollinger Bands, the bullish cloud band has also remained intact, and the signals of various lines remain bullish. The gold price is still optimistic and upward, but it is worth noting that due to the impact of fund smashing in the morning, the gold quickly plunged below today's starting point, andKDJSending a serious overbought signal,The random indicator is turning downwards and attempting to form a dead cross, indicating that gold is facing a decline or high level adjustment. From the hourly line, the price of gold fluctuates back and forth, directly reaching20On the front line of the daily moving average, after a wave of retreat, short-term gold will enter a correction, and bulls will continue to exert strength in the future;KDJ低位有转头金叉迹象，尽管金价盘中大幅跳水，但仍建议不要盲目做空，任何回调都可能是投资者买入的好时机。综合来看，黄金今日晚间操作思路上周文军个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1945-1950Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1920-1915一线支撑。目前仓位上有单的朋友，由于笔者周文军不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线本人（官微：zwj964646）
　　
　　crude oil消息面解析：油价周二一度刷新三个交易日高点至41.93美元。因美国出台新一轮的财政刺激措施，且美元走软使得原油对国际买家来说较便宜，也助油价一臂之力。但是总体而言美原油仍总体交投于震荡区间内，因市场仍在评估疫情二次蔓延对于需求的影响，此前OPEC+减产使得油市短时间处于一个相对平衡的状态，而疫情二次蔓延是当前最大的不确定性因素。同时国际关系紧张情绪也会对油价构成打压。
　　
　　美原油技术分析：原油昨日先抑后扬，亚欧盘价格小幅冲高受制41.7一线快速回落，晚间连续下行至40.5区域企稳震荡回升，凌晨价格依托40.5一线支撑迎来V型反抽，收盘价格重回41.5上方强势报收，日线继续企稳5日均线迎来探底回升小阳，今日来看整体走势依旧以窄幅震荡区间内运行为主，下方支撑40.5一线，上方压力前高42.5关口，多空在此区间内来回震荡运行，日线级别依托40关口强支撑继续呈现阴阳交互，短线企稳40关口有望延续上行冲击前高42上方压力，保持近期多头进二退一节奏。
　　
Looking at the crude oil daily line, the Bollinger Belt's three tracks are gradually moving towards the right,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average shows a gentle upward trend with a golden cross,KTransit between tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located above the zero axis and form a dead cross, easing downward. The green kinetic energy is weak and increasing,KDJThe third line runs with a dead cross and a turning head upwards, and the overall performance of the daily chart is somewhat strong;4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Belt runs three tracks to the right,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average crosses upwards and diverges,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACDAt the initial intersection of the fast and slow lines, the upward momentum of the golden cross is showing in red,KDJ三线呈金叉向上发散运行。综合来看，原油今日晚间操作思路上周文军个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注42.5-43.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40.5-40.0一线支撑。行情实时变化，添加笔者周文军WeiXinNumber（zwj964646）Get daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout. We welcome like-minded individuals to come and have a long conversation!
　　
　　周文军赠言：投资就像开车一样，开车谁也不能保证不会出事故，但是只要我们遵守交通规则，不酒驾不违规，带好刹车控制好风险，我们就可以将事故发生率降到最低，甚至不发生。我们做投资也一样，只要严格执行操作建议，控制好仓位，严格止损，外加精准的操作点位，我们就可以最大程度的提高赚钱的胜算，使得风险最小化，收益最大化，每一位在读这篇文章的人，感谢与你相遇！
　　
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　　撰稿人：周文军
　　
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