Fan Chenjie:7.28黄金原油双双暴涨今日行情分析及操作建议

    Investment is a long-term process, accompanied by losses and gains. It is normal to make profits. If you lose confidence or hope due to a temporary loss, I personally feel that the gains and losses outweigh the losses. Temporary losses do not represent investment failure, but can only indicate that you have not really mastered the control of funds during this period. Losing confidence due to losses undoubtedly gives you a way out, I have found an excuse for my temporary failure, and I think everyone doesn't want it to be like this. They all hope to find a sense of achievement and joy in investing successfully! I think you should adjust your mood now, summarize the reasons for your past failures more, and think about how to do well in order to make money. Leaving quietly will only cast a shadow on your psychology, leaving a lasting regret in your heart! If that's the case, it's better to be bold, stay brave, believe in yourself, believe in each other, the market is very fair to everyone, you just haven't achieved it yet. Believe that this day is not far away!
    gold消息面解析：黄金面，美联储维持超级宽松货币政策，以及美国政府多重经济刺激法案，向市场投放大量资金，令美元一路走弱，支撑金价走强。本周还将公布美国GDPThe data, Federal Reserve resolutions, and progress of the US economic stimulus plan suggest that the super loose policy is expected to continue, which is beneficial for gold prices.
    近期全球最大的两个经济体在多领域进行较量，令国际贸易局势以及地缘摩擦持续升级，并且这种紧张的关系大概率将维持更长的时间，黄金由于其避险增值等功能而受全球资本青睐，令金价获得支撑。新冠疫情方面亦未获得有效控制，全球范围内新冠确诊病例超1600Million cases. Before the COVID-19 is effectively controlled, the global economy is under great pressure, and the global easing tone will remain, which is good for gold bulls.
    国际黄金技术分析：从日线上看，随着六连阳的拉起，目前的黄金已走出了一个历史的新高位，打破了自2011Year of1920Frontline, it can be said that it is a historic beginning. Since the spread of the epidemic, it has directly led to economic problems in the United States. For the US economic system, I believe everyone knows that the most direct way to eliminate internal conflicts is to cause external conflicts, thereby achieving a unified external policy. This has also led to the intensification of geopolitical tensions and the continuous rise of gold risk aversion. From the daily trend, we can also see the strength of the bulls, which is accompanied by a pullback. For slow rises, they are generally more persistent. Therefore, in terms of direction, we will mainly focus on a pullback, unless there is a clear reversal pattern. Last week was the best confirmation.
    从四小时看，黄金昨日三次冲高于1944，并未形有效突破，虽美盘冲高至1945一线，但急速回调并未扩大空间，那么足见黄金多头动能上升有所不足。从指标上看：均线的多头排列仍在持续，MACD二次放量但开始收缩，rsi处于超买状态开始回落，另外四小时收线，进一步加大回调概率。综合来看，黄金今日操作思路上樊辰杰个人建议以回调做多为主，上方短期重点关注1960-1970Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1940-1930Frontline support.
    crude oil消息面解析：美国WTI9Monthly crude oilfuturesElectronic disk price Monday(7month27day)Closing up0.36USD, increase0.87%，油价周一上涨，因市场希望刺激措施将扶助重振美国经济，但涨幅受限，因新冠新增病例数上升引发对需求的担忧。樊辰杰认为，如果我们能把更多钱放到消费者口袋里，他们就会把钱花在商品和服务上，这应该会带来更多的汽油需求、旅行和购物。
    疲软的美元使以美元计价的大宗商品对持有其他货币的投资者来说更便宜，这也扶助提振油价。受国内经济担忧和国际关系恶化的影响，美元指数跌至2018year6The lowest since the beginning of the month. At the same time, the cumulative number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 infection in the world exceeded1600There are tens of thousands of cases, and the number of infections in some regions of the United States is skyrocketing. Oil prices are still expected to rise for the fourth consecutive month, while US oil prices are expected to rise for the third consecutive month, influenced by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)Support from reduced production in countries such as Russia.
    美原油技术分析：原油日线窄幅波动，布林带三线呈收口状态，油价现徘徊在布林带上轨与中轨之间。MACDDead cross but weak green column energy,KDJIt's also a dead cross, with an index close to60. From a technical perspective, the short-term momentum of oil prices is limited, and it is expected that oil prices will fluctuate slightly downwards. The strong resistance level will first look at the upper limit of the Bollinger Line43.0If there is a breakthrough, it will depend on43.8nearby200The daily moving average. Once we break through200天移动平均压力，它将提振看涨情绪。
    原油从四个小时的水平来看，原油在41Fluctuations near the checkpoint. Oil prices are under pressure on the middle track of the Bollinger Belt.MACDThe golden cross turns into a dead cross, but the kinetic energy is weak, andKDJ的金叉却显示出转头的迹象。总体而言，油价需要打开区间震荡范围，才能打开方向。综合来看，原油今日操作短线思路上樊辰杰个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注42.5-43.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below41.0-40.5Frontline support.
    黄金原油解套建议：
    1、套牢时，根据图表分析，如果所买入的原油处在高位必须立即单子止损。如果所买入的原油处在中位，可以依据当时的情况暂时观望，以求的解套离场或者逢高减少仓位降低损失。
    2、如果所买入的原油处在低位，则不必急于单子止损，应该在所买入的原油下跌企稳之后，在重要的支撑位敢于低位补仓，摊薄成本，在接下來的反弹行情中将高位套牢的仓位一同救出來。如果所买入的原油的处在上升趋势，则不必单子止损，耐心的持有一段时间，必然会解套，甚至还会有较大赚钱的可能。
    3、如果所买入的原油处在平衡震荡趋势中，也不必立即单子止损，耐心等待该原油进入震荡循环高位，一旦解套或者损失很小的时候，应该果断离场出局。如果所买入的原油处在下跌趋势，一旦确认下跌趋势已经形成，应该立即单子止损，决不能患得患失心存幻想。任何的迟疑和犹豫，都有可能换來深度的套牢难以自拔。
    辰杰赠言：侥幸是加大风险的罪魁，犹豫则是错失良机的祸首。如果说长线是金，短线是银，那么波段操作就是钻石。耐心是致胜的关键，信心是成功的保障，好战者必不善战，善战者必不好战。希望樊辰杰的文章能给你带来收获，在接下来的投资里顺风顺水，如果有不懂的地方，可以找我聊聊，我不仅是一位指导老师，也是你生活中值得一交的朋友，欢迎志同道合之士前来促膝长谈！
    writing/Fan Chenjie guidanceV（fcj66886688）