Fan Chenjie:7.27黄金美盘行情操作思路及美原油午夜价格分析

    大行情抓不住，小区间拿不准，不是在抗单就是在扫损！相信很多投资者朋友都遇到过的问题，那么问题的症结出在哪里？原因很简单，因为你做单没有章法、不懂理性，总是在追涨杀跌，凭感觉做单，老师实力不济，屡屡将你带偏，小赚即出，大亏却一个不漏！当你拿着大把的本金进入这个市场，你本来有大赚一笔的资本，但却将一把好牌打的稀巴烂。做单，首看趋势，其次看点位！有理由的操作，无论对错及时检讨，这才是投资！
    internationalgold消息层面解读：
    现货黄金上破1940The US dollar has risen by more than40USD, up to1944.35dollar/Ounces, with an increase of over2%. Spot silver surged by more than7%, from2013year9month9Breakthrough for the first time in recent days24dollar/The ounce level. goldT+DThe intraday increase exceeds2.5%The intraday increase of Shanghai Gold reached2.72%SilverT+Drise5.7%Shanghai Silver Rise5.6%。随后稍有回调。考虑到市场对全球经济状况的持续担忧以及日益加剧的地缘政治冲突，黄金价格将在接下来的交易时间内创下历史新高，更重要的心理门槛为每盎司2,000美元。美元的疲软和全球中央银行的持续宽松也是对黄金利多的因素。尽管市场普遍预期美联储将在周四凌晨维持利率，但鸽派言论可能导致美元抛售，黄金可能升至1950美元甚至更高。澳大利亚联邦银行还认为，未来几个月黄金可能会突破2000The US dollar barrier.
    国际黄金技术分析：黄金从日线上来看，日线5The bullish trend continues to rise, and the daily level is already outside the Bollinger Bands. Gold prices continue to rise and continue to rebound with the support of the above trajectory. The Bollinger Bands continue to open upwards, and the moving average below is arranged in a bullish pattern. On the indicator,MACDThe energy of the golden cross and red kinetic energy column increases,KDJMoving upwards again, the overall gold price is still optimistic and upward. Currently, the gold price has reached a new height, with no obvious pressure above, only room for upward movement1921The resistance to the historical high of the US dollar has shifted to support, followed by the upward trend1906强支撑，若金价出现回调，也不建议盲目高位做空，任何回调都可能是投资者买入的好时机。
    黄金四小时来看，早间低开后持续走高，让看多的情绪也更加浓厚，金价踩着MA10The moving average fluctuates and rises, with a tight upward phase at the tail end. Continuous volume increases to new highs, and short-term non closingMA10Below the moving average, the bullish trend has not changed. In this strong market, do not speculate on the top and keep trading with the trend. The current market would rather bear losses rather than be bearish. The intraday support position is easy for us to judge. BelowMA5/MA10都是目前比较合适做多的位置。综合来看，黄金今日操作思路上樊辰杰个人建议以回调做多为主，上方短期重点关注1950-1955Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1920-1915Frontline support.
    beautifulcrude oil消息层面解读：
    上周五因为美欧经济数据好于预期，凸显了解除封锁措施后全球经济逐渐复苏，这提振了市场的需求预期。同时市场预计美国将出台更多的财政和货币刺激，美元跌至22个月低点，也对油价构成支撑。但是数据显示，美国原油钻井数自3For the first time since the beginning of the month, there has been an increase, which is consistent with the increase in US crude oil production last week1010000 barrels/At the same time, the rebound in fracturing activity during the Permian period also suggests that US crude oil production will further increase. At the same time, the Brazilian national oil company also plans to increase production byOPEC+stay8月增产之际，加剧了油市平衡的难度。
    美原油技术分析：原油上周十字K线收盘，探高回落收平，最高冲击42.50.尾盘回落收盘在41.30附近。周线继续处于中性位置震荡当中，由于底部回升后指标还未完全拐头向上，使得周线处于中性位置中震荡蓄势。日图则延续星K线整理，虚破区间后回归区间整理，布林道紧紧收口当中，本周周初依旧看在区间内窄幅震荡。
    crude oil4小时和小时K线走得相对比较凌乱，加上均线指标凌乱发散，暂时看不出单边延续，短期还是震荡格调，亚盘空间不定，这种收敛行情。空间可大可小，重点看当日的震荡波幅。亚盘中性位置观望，等待欧美盘确定大概区间后再操作。综合来看，原油今日操作思路上樊辰杰个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注42.0-42.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40.5-40.0Frontline support.
    在趋势面前，任何逆向的想法都是愚蠢的，不要告诉我你抓到了底，也不要以为抢个反弹就自以为天下无敌，真正的交易是需要跟随趋势，大方向错了，抓个反弹，有什么用，每一笔交易，都应该有充分的进场理由，跟应该有严格和全部客观的技术分析，交易不是儿戏，不是错过了空，就可以做多，更不是抗就能扛得住的。失败必须总结，而成功也必须谨慎，很多人自誉为高手、神手、圣手、天下无敌，但却每天在做着追空，拼多的勾当，在趋势性下跌面前，即使抓到了一波反弹，我也不认为是多么高尚的事情。带实盘这么多年，我们深知客户的持单习惯和人性的弱点，逆袭，看似获利平仓，但客户实则不一定能跟上，一旦跟不上就会被深套，就是造成巨亏，所以，我们向来是杜绝一切的逆势操作和始终强调严格设置止损，这是交易的根本，更是每个投资者应该明白的根本。
    writing/Fan Chenjie 指导（fcj66886688）
    与凤凰同飞，必是俊鸟；与虎狼同行，必是猛兽！你能走多远，看你与谁同行。