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  交易之路慢慢,随波逐流者多之!然不谋全局者不足谋一城,市场风云,变幻莫测,定其心,观其势,谋定而后动,不乱于心,不困于情,运筹帷幄之中,方能决胜千里之外。怀疑能过滤风险,但也同样能错失机会,要想抓住机会,就要勇于尝试。若胸无大志,纵使贵人相助,也终将难成其事。另外,作为一个合格的投资者需要谨记,大部分时间应该以观望为主,耐心等待最佳的时机,需要避免频繁进场,操作上不要试图抓获所有波幅,也不要奢望对每一段行情都判断正确,应该少而精!
  
  张鑫溢————专注gold、crude oil行情分析!当很多人看空的时候,可能多头正即将要到来,多空的快速转换,总是令人措手不及,强弱的转换只在那一瞬间。交易就是要做对的事情,把事情做对,跟对思路,才能做对事。准确率和利润是检验实力的唯一标准!趋势投资,大道至简;盈利第一,风控为王!我们不做死多头,也不做死空头,要做市场的滑头,顺势而为!基本面决定一切,价格包容一切,KLines reflect everything, technical aspects interpret everything! If there are no trading principles and discipline, technology is zero and everything will be lost!
  
  Analysis of spot gold and London gold market trends:
  
  Monday(7month27day)亚市盘初,现货黄金延续涨势,再次小幅刷新2011year9月以来高点,至1909.86dollar/盎司;因美元疲软且全球经济担忧提振避险需求,最活跃的黄金futuresCOMEX 12月份合约更是再度刷新历史高点至1937.5dollar/盎司;投资者需要留意本周一系列GDP数据和美联储利率决议等风险事件对金价的影响情况。本周(7month27day-8month2Day and Week)多国将公布包括CPIandGDP在内的重要经济数据,重点留意澳大利亚二季度CPI,德国、欧元区及美国二季度GDPCanada5monthGDP和中国制造业PMI等,央行方面,美联储将公布7月利率决议,美联储主席鲍威尔将召开新闻发布会,此外美国国会还会对一万亿财政刺激计划激烈争论,全球疫情相关的进展也需重点留意。
  
  黄金技术面来看,黄金目前已经冲破1900的关口,上方上次的高点还是2011金融危机到达的1921的高点,今年金价从1450起涨到现价1900附近已涨450个点。目前涨势还在延续,并没有一点触顶的迹象。近日美元极弱给予黄金支撑,黄金伴随着回踩中蓄势再向上放量。日图依旧收盘大阳线,黄金日线目前6连阳,多头非常的强势,指标上来看,均为多头排列,同理看空暂时为时过早。回顾月线可以发现,2011年达到历史高点1912as well as1920是相邻两个月的高点,8月份见顶到1912,一直到9月份才刷新高1920。 and4H的双顶1896就在面前,虽然上周五确实出现了破位,但是高位追多确实风险较大。4小时处于上涨浪形的尾部,同时每次的冲高都开始收出上影线,伴随回踩确认。1小时图开始出现三重高点,每次冲出新高都有一定空间上的回撤。伴随连续的冲高回踩,高点离得近。回落的风险就大。综合来看,今日短线操作思路上张鑫溢个人建议以回调做多为主,上方短期重点关注1940-1945Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1900-1905Frontline support.
  
  国际原油、美原油行情走势资讯分析:
  
  美国原油期货在上周五收高,盘中在平盘上下波动,上周累计涨幅为1.7%;美原油9月价格上涨22美分,收于每桶41.29美元;布伦特9Monthly crude oil futures rise3美分,收于每桶43.34美元。美元跌至1月份以来最低提振了以美元计价大宗商品的吸引力;与此同时,库存增加和冠状病毒疫情升温而导致需求放缓的担忧也增加。Confluence Investment Management执行副总裁Bill O’Grady表示,“市场受到两种强劲而相反的作用力推动:一方面,库存压力持续存在,另一方面,美元疲软,实际利率为负,这些因素通常对大宗商品有利,特别是原油”。
  
  原油技术面来看,原油日线MACD死叉,但动能微弱,KDJ在接近超买区域重新结成死叉;布林线轨道持续收口,原油始终窄幅震荡于布林线中轨和上轨之间,指示原油目前仍然处于多空胶着状态,等待方向性突破。上方阻力首先参考布林线上轨42.09,上周高点阻力在42.51Nearby, further resistance3month2Daily low point43.34附近,该位置接近200日均线,阻力相对较强,原油需要突破该位置,才能进一步打开上涨空间;张鑫溢认为总体而言,美原油已经连续5周围绕着40美元上下2美元的区间波动,说明近期总体油市处于平衡的状态,原油一直未能有效突破布林线上轨压制,也指示原油上行没有足够的动能;短线仍然需要警惕原油震荡回落的风险,综合来看,今日短线操作思路上张鑫溢个人建议以反弹高空为主,上方短期重点关注42.3-42.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40-40.5Frontline support.
  
  【黄金原油投资亏损了该如何去补救!】
  
  1Moderate trading
  
  More and more is better than less and more refined, blindly holding the attitude of "investing more and earning more", and cannot closely follow the market and control the quality of orders when losses occur. It's better to keep a detailed trading diary, identify the reasons for failure and success, and make timely adjustments to stop losses. If the losses continue to persist, you need to take a break, build a virtual market in your mind, organize your ideas, and then verify your point of view. If your investment method really doesn't work, change it. Read books written by successful individuals and see how they succeed. But pay attention to those so-called investment secrets and successful strategies.
  
  2Familiar with the market
  
  Knowing oneself and the enemy is the key to victory in all battles. Gold investors cannot simply pursue the mastery of technical analysis. The level of understanding of the fundamentals of gold investment can often affect the probability of success in gold investment. At the same time, it can also accurately grasp and compensate for gold losses. Maintain a detailed transaction diary. If you can keep a trading diary, it will remind you that you can trace the source of the investment market, identify clues to failure and success, and make timely adjustments.
  
  3Acting according to plan
  
  Even if there are occasional situations where the plan cannot keep up with changes, it is necessary for gold investors to develop and follow a reasonable investment plan. Blindly entering the gold investment market will only be a lost lamb, letting the market lead by the nose. For medium to long-term investors, there is no need to do it every market. As long as the overall situation is accurately judged and the position in hand conforms to one's own judgment, one can set a long line to catch big fish.
  
  4Believe in oneself
  
  如果自己都怀疑自己的投资理念,又何来对黄金投资市场的运筹帷幄。一种投资方法没有效果,那就换另外一种,总有适合自己的投资方式。切记识别鱼龙混杂的投资技巧;咨询张鑫溢及时了解市场资讯,把握大趋势行情助你稳健获利!
  
  5Leaving decisively when making mistakes
  
  When it is clear that making mistakes leads to losses and the losses continue to expand beyond expectations, perhaps no remedial measures will be taken and leaving the field as soon as possible is the best remedy. Unfortunately, only a small number of people can achieve this method.
  
  结语:市场就像是一片大海,而你只是大海里的一叶小舟。船在大海行驶需要船长,如果没有一个好的导航,你怎么能把广阔的市场玩转得游刃有余?处理情绪的速度,就是你迈向成功的速度!如果你现在控制不住自己还在疯狂的不知方向的做单,请你停下来,不要拿自己的资金开玩笑!如果你已经亏了很多了,不知道该怎么办,请你控制住自己,不要对你的账户为所欲为!赚钱的,也请提醒自己,落袋为安,谨防获利回吐!还有那些场外关注的,请不要以为行情没做就可惜了,观望就不要有任何的后悔最近行情波动比较大,赚到钱的朋友都比较多,亏损较大的朋友也不在少数,找到张鑫溢就有机会验证现价指导实力,让你从此相信这个市场,自己还有希望。
  
  望对你交易带来帮助,我是张鑫溢老师,最后我还是要带上格言:止损永远是对的,错了也对;死扛永远是错的,对了也错。横批:止损无条件!最后祝大家交易愉快。 |
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