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gold市场行情走势分析:
黄金消息面:尽管本周未能继续改线近九年高位,国际金价仍实现周线六连阳,终盘收升0.65%to1810.42dollar/盎司。美国病毒感染病例破纪录上升,加剧了对经济复苏的不确定性,支撑投资者转向避险的黄金。市场预计美联储将出台更多刺激措施以缓冲疫情造成的经济冲击,也支撑了金市。吕文鸿认为随着美国病毒病例增加,经济有可能再次停摆,黄金正在受益,并将继续受益于美联储预期采取的行动。在实质利率受到打压且很低的情况下,金价的看涨势头没有改变。由于疫情还未消失,吕文鸿认为美联储短期内不会改变利率路径,这应该会支撑金价。另外经济复苏的中期前景仍很不确定,这令金价有充裕的上涨空间。关注公众号“吕文鸿”即可实时获得最新的操作建议、欢迎来询!
黄金技术面:从黄金日线来看,高位震荡,KDJThe golden fork and dead fork cycle repeatedly, and the random indicator is also50above,MACDThe golden cross red energy line is stable, and the moving average line is longer,MA5andMA10The Golden Cross signal exists,1790of10The daily moving average provides support for gold, with the Bollinger band opening upwards, indicating that bullish gold is still strong and is expected to continue to rise in the future. The first thing we need to pay attention to is this year's high and last week's high1818A line of resistance. To break this position, resistance is a test1830-40Area. Although the current short-term gold price is1818年下方受阻,但总体趋势是强劲的看涨格局,市场继续看到新高。黄金四小时VShape reversal, gold trend supported by the bottom of the upward channel from the new station1800Above the gate.KDJThe golden cross random indicator goes up,MACD死叉绿色能量柱正在收缩,布林带三轨收口持平,多空移动平均线转换,表明黄金回调有支撑,上涨有阻力,是宽幅震荡的走势。综合来看,下周一黄金短线操作思路上吕文鸿建议回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅。上方关注1820-1825One line of resistance, pay attention below1795-1790一线支撑。每一个正在交易的人都想盈利,这是毋庸置疑的,但前提是你要找对方向,如需帮助可联系吕文鸿.( wh35636)。欢迎来询!
crude oil市场行情走势分析:
原油消息面:国际油价延续过去几周的高位震荡态势,波动幅度收窄。受新增病例急升将削弱燃料需求的担忧拖累,美国能源企业继续降低钻探积极性,但OPEC+原油生产国准备在8月份增加产量。NYMEXcrude oilfuturesIncome increase0.37%to40.77dollar/桶,本周波幅2.19USD;ICE布伦特原油期货收跌0.16%to43.10dollar/桶,本周波幅2.05USD.OPEC在其月度报告中称,随着全球经济从冠状病毒大流行中复苏,2021年全球石油日需求量将创纪录地增加700万桶,但仍将低于2019年的水平。这是OPEC对明年石油市场进行评估的第一份报告。但这一预测的前提是2021年不会出现贸易局势紧张、债务水平高企或第二波病毒感染那样的进一步下行风险。现在的问题是,OPEC将向市场释放更多原油之际,恰逢市场对供应过剩的担忧再起。美国不断增长的病例会在多大程度上阻碍经济复苏,目前不得而知。何况全球其他地区的情况也不乐观。今年,由于各国政府实施封锁以阻止病毒传播,全球石油需求下降了三分之一。国际能源署(IEA)警告称,油市风险“几乎肯定偏向下行”。
原油技术面:原油日线上来看,窄幅震荡,布林带持续收口,现徘徊布林带中轨,MACD死叉但绿柱能量较弱,而KDJDead cross, index close60。技术面看,油价动能有限,短期料偏向窄幅震荡走低。上行方面,强阻力位先看向布林带上轨42.0,若上破则看向200Daily moving average43.8附近。一旦突破200日均线压制,将提振多头情绪,甚至可能测试3month3Daily high point48.6。原油从四小时级别来看,徘徊40关口震荡;油价承压于布林带中轨,MACD初步金叉但动能微弱,KDJ金叉但有拐头迹象。整体看,目前仍是处于震荡区间范围内,需要打开下方的区间才能够形成破位切换区间找寻37.0关口,同理,上方需要打开43上方区域才能够打开上方的区间找寻更高的压力位置。综合来看,下周一原油短线操作思路上吕文鸿建议回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅。原油上方关注41.0-42.0One line of resistance, pay attention below39.5-39.0Frontline support.
该如何以正确的心态投资黄金原油:
黄金原油投资:难在行情,Trapped in cooperation,Death from misleading
1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.
2Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities to avoid the market trend being opposite to personal wishes and bearing heavier risks.
3Be prepared to accept failure at any time - investing in gold and crude oil carries risks, and trading failure will be inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. In the face of investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.
4Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.
5Develop investment plans that are suitable for oneself - life requires planning, investment requires planning, and investment is not an overnight process. Only by strictly executing can one profit from it. So how to become a profiteer in the gold and crude oil investment market is crucial. How is your profit from investing so far?
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