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一直坚持写分析,也尽量写的通俗易懂一点,有些东西写出来很多投资者看不懂,也没有意义。要想把一件事情做好,那么必然是对别人有帮助,所以在分析上,我时常会写一些技术形态和趋势线的一些判断,还有一些个人经验总结的口诀和方向操作的建议,这样做不为什么,而是让更多人能够学会自己判断学习使之有效的技术分析,能从实战中收获利润。
goldnews flash:
现货黄金的震荡格局得到延续,美元指数回落提振金价,但全球股市回落也带来一定压力。业内分析师预计,在美元走势出人意料坚挺,且美股牛市趋势也依旧完好的背景下,现货黄金价格在1800美元上方持续预阻后或面临短线获利盘抛压导致的下行压力,可能短暂下探至1740美元后再死机重启升势。由于此后美联储将再度进入会议前的噤声期,本周五将是美联储官员发表政策观点的最后机会。关注工纵好“陈大宾”即可享有每日财经资讯热点解读、黄金crude oilA layout plan for the central line!
陈大宾认为,美元近期弱势的表现、地缘政治风险升温以及实际利率低迷,都为黄金提供支撑。市场对美联储引入收益率曲线控制的预期仍然很高。周五(7month17日)现货黄金的震荡格局得到延续,日内金价探底回升逾7美元,陈大宾桅型号是cbb8527但实际波动较为有限。向下看,短期是否会进一步打穿1790较为关键,这将导致回调的明显加剧。向上看,现货黄金迟迟未能冲上1820关口。美元指数回落提振金价,但全球股市回落也带来一定压力。
Analysis of International Gold Price:
昨日现货黄金下跌的原因,主要是来自于欧洲央行利率不变,无更多利好黄金消息的支撑,其次美元小幅的反弹给金价施压,金价美元呈现负相关,最后则是技术面走势末端的回撤调整。前期也说明过,日线结构,目前MA10Daily line1800是上涨通道下沿趋势支撑线,黄金再度跌破1800,不仅意味着短线上涨趋势的暂告段落或终结,同时或将意味着短线调整趋势的启动,按照此前的预期,1800再度跌破后,行情或将先下找20日线支撑,但是考虑到前期1790附近存在支撑,可先关注此位置,关键支撑带在1780-1783附近,今日谨防“黑天鹅”黑色星期五的出现,短线4小时走势来看,价格昨夜下跌在前期反弹点1794附近开始小幅反弹,说明短期支撑还是有效,但是从价格走势来看,昨夜的大阴线将价格整体拉低,走出区间顶底转换,上方1810变为短期阻力点,下方1790作为短期支撑点,当前MACDDead fork,KDJ三线朝下,但是快线有拐头趋势,将延续小幅的反弹,综合来看,操作上陈大宾建议上方短期重点关注1810-1815Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1790-1785一线支撑。有套单的朋友,可单线本人,由于笔者陈大宾不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况,不好给出相应的解套策略,需要解套的可单线陈大宾cbb8527是微信
Crude Oil News:
Friday(7month17day)European market, US crude oilfutures震荡微跌,交投于40美元上方,随着部分国家新冠肺炎病例激增,市场认为全球燃料需求复苏的不确定性越来越大,与此同时主要产油国准备放松产量限制。此前石油输出国组织(OPEC)和俄罗斯等盟友同意从8月起降低创纪录的减产力度,将今年稍早实施的减产幅度97010000 barrels/日削减约200万桶,不过由于伊拉克等国同意在8Month and9月加大减产力度,OPEC+实际增加的产量可能接近110万桶。伊拉克5Month to7月的减产幅度超过了其承诺的产能。
OPEC的代表称,技术委员会起草了5-6月没有完成减产目标国家的补偿减产计划。未完成减产任务的国家包括伊拉克、尼日利亚和哈萨克斯坦,这些国家将在8-9月补偿减产84.210000 barrels/日。此举可能缓和8monthOPEC开始恢复部分石油供应的影响。不过,该数字仍需在周三的部长级监督会议上进行讨论。
Analysis of International Crude Oil Prices:
原油昨日因美国经济数据不乐观,连续两日在高位收小的阴阳线震荡,上涨破位动能减弱。技术面MACD由金叉转变为死叉,但绿色量能柱还较为弱势。RSI9andRSI14开口向下,不过下方因有MA30andMA60均线的支撑,短线还有一定的反弹。通过近两日走势可以看出,原油高位承压明显,原油昨日承压41.5震荡回修,但是整体回修幅度不是很大,下方至40附近也明显有支撑作用,美油的整体状态还是保持居高震荡的。目前小时图结构上,进一步上涨动能已经不是很强了,且均线有交叉向下的迹象,预示短线行情或将会有空间上的回修调整。而4小时图上,下方40附近的支撑作用却是明确存在的,有可能会给美油带来一定的支撑作用。综合来看,短线操作短线思路上陈大宾建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注41.6-43Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40-39.5一线支撑。具体操作以实时行情盘面走势为主,投资有风险,盈亏请自行把控,详情请关注或咨询我进行解套、技术讲解、原油黄金分析指导官微:cbb8527
For some people, this market may already be physically and mentally exhausted, from hopeful exposure to gold investment to heavy losses and fear of entry, losing so much that they lack confidence to encourage themselves. Perhaps it is really not suitable for this market, whether in terms of strength or mentality, they cannot do well. They once sought a teacher who can help you, but ended up losing money. They are unhappy to continue staying in the gold market and unwilling to leave the gold market, This may be the current situation faced by many investors. Even though the current situation may be unbearable, please remember that there is no path to a black market, let alone investments that have been losing money. The market keeps going back and forth, with losses and profits made through operations. No one makes a complete profit, but it is all a result of trial and error, steady progress, and step-by-step management. In this mixed market, there are many people who are losing money, but to some extent, there are major trading problems. Whether it is a bad mentality, indecisiveness, not carrying stop losses, or liking to resist orders and lock in positions, losses are not accidental, and there will always be major problems. Investing is not something that can be done overnight. The only way is to abandon these bad habits, study tirelessly, control risks, and operate steadily, It must be the time for your rebirth.
希望大家可以克服市场交易最难熬过的阶段,给自己足够的时间和机会来走上稳定盈利的大道,而不是被短期的困难和压力压垮。我是陈大宾,非常感谢能够耐心得读完我个人的一些小的经验同时也祝愿每个投资者都能够克服困难,勇攀市场交易的高峰。
Chen Dabin (guidance)VLetter:cbb8527)Establish a fundamental change model to assess market sentiment changes and determine trends. More than ten years of technical analysis and judgment on short-term details. The central line is the main line, supplemented by the short line. I have in-depth and unique insights into major global financial markets such as the foreign exchange market, gold market, oil market, stock market, and bond market. This article is written by Chen Dabin, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. I hope the price is worth it, and the value is worth it; Due to the delayed nature of the article strategy; Consultation with Chen Dabin Obtain the latest real-time market analysis. |
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