Guo Yuyuan7.16黄金走势蓄力酝酿看反弹，黄金现价分析上保持低多

　　市场上有一句老话：趋势是你的朋友，顺势交易，是胜算最高的交易，当你逆市操作时相当于是与市场抗衡，试问一个人怎么赢得过市场。另一个是趋势的分析，当趋势越接近趋势线时，风险与收益的比率也越理想。郭禹缘老师希望自己对广大投资者投资方向有所指引！如果你对行情把握不准，不要再盲目操作导致亏损越做越大，找到郭禹缘本人一切迎刃而解。最及时的操作策略，最全面的市场宏观趋势分析，最轻松的攻略，都可以加本人了解。 拒绝马后炮，你来我便让你见证实力！理性和判断力是投资与建仓最基本的能力，投资最重要的不是你一次能够赚取多少，而是你能不能控制风险，落袋为安，长久的立足生存。
　　
InternationalgoldMarket trend
　　
　　尽管6月的复苏进度远超市场预期，但不具备可持续性。6月新增非农就业人数以低收入、低学历劳动者为主，且收入水平仍不及疫情前，因此带动美国的消费较为有限。此外，7月美国疫情再次出现反弹迹象，部分地区暂停娱乐及外出活动，预计近期美国经济复苏速度边际下滑。其次，尽管美联储并没有直接表明采取收益率曲线控制，但其通过大量购买国债从而压低了长端收益率，预计在未来较长的一段时间内，美国的名义利率将处于较低的水平，随着经济活动逐步复苏，未来通胀预期逐步走强，将推动实际利率进一步下行，导致黄金价格不断攀升。最后，也是最重要的一点，美联储的无限量QE，必然造成货币超发，纸币的不断贬值给黄金打开了上涨的空间。
　　
　　昨日金价维持高位整理运行，盘中在美国经济数据出炉普遍好于预期表现的情况下小幅走弱，结合技术面看多空围绕1800关口的争夺，暂时多头略占优，毕竟还有基本面的加持，如全球性风险事件持续走高、美元指数接连失守关键支撑、以及地缘局势紧张因素等，促使多数投资者普遍看好黄金后市。今日早间黄金高位窄幅整理，截止发稿国际黄金交投于1809一线（国内黄金现报400.70element/克）；日内数据面主要集中在美盘时段，数据较为密集，包括欧元区央行主要再融资利率、美国初请失业金、美国6月零售销售月率等，投资者需多加留意，另外美元指数是否再创新低一定程度有望决定黄金买入机会成本的出现，而高位整理的黄金一旦放量，后市空间有望打开。
　　
　　黄金技术面：黄金高位整理下探后反抽的力度，以及向上结构良好的运行轨迹，多空双方多头的优势还是较明显，但高位并未突破，整理时间周期也并不长，一旦上突破后市空间还需结合基本面来做预期，另外突破前，可能的调整结构从日线级别看回撤空间不算小，只是短周期的调整在1790一线已出企稳信号，接下来该位置不二次触及，金价短线很可能会再上一个台阶。综合来看，黄金短线操作思路上郭禹缘建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方关注1816-1818One line of resistance, pay attention below1798-1800一线支撑（破位关注重点1790一线关口）。
　　
　　新手该如何正确投资黄金和crude oil？
　　
　　1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.
　　
　　2Starting with small-scale trading - For beginners in the market, it is necessary to start with small-scale trading, gradually grasp trading patterns and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.
　　
　　3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities, and bear heavier risks based on the opposite market trend and personal wishes.
　　
　　 4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - Gold investment carries risks, and trading failure is inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. When faced with investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.
　　
　　5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.
　　
　　6Develop investment plans that are suitable for oneself - life requires planning, investment requires planning, and investment is not an overnight process. Only by strictly executing can one profit from it. So how to become a profiteer in the gold investment market is crucial.
　　
　　本文由郭禹缘分析团队独家撰写官方热线：gyy7819