今博：7.16昨夜黄金为何暴涨，黄金原油今日行情走势如何操作

　　文章简介：2020.7month16investmentgoldWhy is it always losing money?7.16Is gold bullish or bearish in recent trends?7.16foreign exchangeHow to untie the gold long empty single quilt cover?7.16Does the rise and fall of the US dollar have an impact on gold?7.16黄金美crude oil、人民币黄金 Trend analysis and operational suggestions?7.16Is gold still bullish today?7.16How to layout the golden medium and long term line?7.16What do you think of the daily support and pressure level of gold?7.16How can beginners operate gold without losing money?7.16What do you think of gold and crude oil being bullish today?7.16黄金原油空单被套怎么解套？
　　
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　　原油快讯:
　　
　　油价周三上涨2%，受美国上周原油库存大幅下降支撑，但进一步上行受限，因随着全球经济逐渐从新冠病毒大流行中复苏，石油输出国组织(OPEC)及其盟友拟从8月起降低减产力度。美国能源信息署(EIA)On Wednesday, as of7month10Daily and weekly crude oil inventory decrease750Ten thousand barrels, to5.317亿桶，主要是由于进口减少，这表明沙特阿拉伯过度出口的局面结束；同时，美国汽油需求连续11周增长，达到3月下旬以来的最高水平。王今博表示：“这份报告告诉我们，未来几周库存将进一步减少。我们将看到供应收紧，市场发出的信号显示，我们很快就会需要更多石油，可能会在8月之前。”
　　
　　OPECAnd its alliesOPEC+联盟自5月以来一直在实施97010000 barrels/日、占全球供应量的10%的减产协议，此前疫情导致全球需求骤降三分之一。7月之后，产油国计划降低减产力度，将在12月之前减产77010000 barrels/日。王今博表示，由23个国家组成的联盟将在8月份将每天的减产规模从目前的960万桶降低至770万桶。不过沙特能源大臣在OPEC+视频会议开始时也表示，伊拉克和尼日利亚等一些国家将在8Month and9月额外减产，以弥补在5Month and6月时未能履行的减产承诺。
　　
Technical analysis of crude oil:
　　
　　因美国部分经济数据改善，同时数据显示OPEC+of6月减产合规率达到了107%AndOPECThe monthly report shows that,2021年全球石油日需求量将创纪录地增加700万桶，周三凌晨公布的API原油库存也超预期下降，也暗示需求出现改善的迹象，美原油收复所有跌幅，重新交投于40上方；日线布林线轨道水平运行，MACD死叉但绿柱能量较弱，而KDJ重新结成金叉的迹象，指示油价动能较弱，短期预计仍将维持窄幅震荡走势。上方初步阻力首先关注41关口，油价上周多次在该位置承压，该位置目前具有一定的压制力度；进一步阻力参考3month9日跳空下跌以来的最高点41.63，该位置同时接近布林线上轨，阻力相对较强，若突破，若突破，则新的上行空间将被打开。
　　
　　不过，由于卫生事件二次蔓延和国际经贸的担忧情绪，尽管周二一系列利多消息推动美原油反弹，并在周三进一步刷新四个交易日高点，但是油价仍总体承压于近期关键阻力位下方，若油价再次在41关口受阻，则仍需警惕再次震荡回落的可能，下方支撑首先关注布林线中轨39.3，上周低点支撑38.54附近，若下破，则油价将进一步回踩布林线下轨36.64附近支撑，另外，6month25Daily low point37.08附近也还存在一定支撑。综合来看，今日短线操作短线思路上王今博个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注41.6-42.1Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40.0-39.5Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
　　
　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break41.9-42.1Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target41.0-40.8frontline;
　　
　　2Unable to break under the crude oil40.0-40.2Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target41.2-41.4frontline;
　　
　　3The market is constantly changing, and the points are for reference only. Investment is risky and entering the market should be cautious. For more details, please follow Wang Jinbo's personal website||Wei:wjb9393；
　　
Golden News:
　　
Wednesday(7month15day)With the progress in the development of COVID-19 vaccine, the stock market rebounded, and the risk sentiment in the foreign exchange market rebounded. The dollar index hit a new low of nearly five weeks to95.77EUR/USD3month10New high in recent days1.1452. Spot gold slightly rose and closed at1810.29dollar/盎司，美元走软支撑了金价，但欧美股市攀升，令金价涨幅受到限制。美国库存骤降推动油价攀升2%HoweverOPEC+拟降低减产力度，油价涨幅有限。
　　
Technical analysis of gold:
　　
　　黄金日线图上来看，金价继续在近9年高位附近盘整，目前徘徊在1810关口附近，等待进一步的突破，关注能否彻底站上这一水平。日图MACD红色动能柱继续减弱，KDJ随机指标交投在超买水平下方，指示黄金或继续震荡，或小幅走低。不过，黄金昨日小幅回升后，成功回到了短期均线MA5的上方，这对于多方而言是一个不错的积极信号，虽然现阶段速率减慢，但整体趋势并没有发生太大转折，加上短期均线保持多头排列，后市可能仍有一定的上升空间。
　　
Gold4Hours accompanied by a downward probing crossKThe line quickly rebounded and recovered, and the continuous positive rebound is currently fluctuating at a high level, while drivingMACDindex0The low gold cross near the axis is pointing upwards, indicating that the correction correction has ended, and bulls are expected to further charge higher.4Hours are bullish. Hour chart due to closing at1810-1813Near the high point, if the US market directly rises, it is not advisable to directly pursue the high. Gold inH1andH2之间形成明显的一个矩形形态；如果综合之前的上涨趋势那么黄金处于一个上涨旗面的旗型整理之中。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上王今博个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1815-1820Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1800-1795Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
　　
　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1820-1822Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1810-1808frontline;
　　
　　2Under the gold, it cannot be broken by stepping back1798-1800Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1812-1814frontline;
　　
　　3The strategy is for reference only, and the specific entry points for real-time changes in inter market prices can be found on Wang Jinbo's WeChat account(wjb9393)The actual offer shall prevail;
　　
　　王今博团队投资风险管控:
　　
Step 1: Clarify your goals, which means planning your intended investmentForeign exchange transactions的资金，赚取多少盈利、能承受的亏损范围大概是多少，通过这些基础目标才能做出合理的资金管理方案。不过也要提醒广大外汇投资者，外汇虽然是一门低成本、高收益的投资，有百倍杠杆进行增益，但是也要注意成本的控制，避免频繁交易增加成本。
　　
Step 2: Plan the steps, such as what trading mode to use to gain profits, whether you are good at frequent short-term trading or prefer a long-term fishing model to make orders, how much trading to stop every day, how much money to withdraw from the market when losing, and how much money to close positions when earning, all of which need to be well planned.
　　
Step 3: Test the plan. No matter how perfect the theory is, it cannot be determined whether it is effective without combining it with practice. After roughly formulating your trading strategy, you can use the mini account provided by the platform to test whether the formulated strategy is available and see if it can bring stable profits to yourself.
　　
　　第四步：严格执行。这一步才是整个计划的核心所在，任何一次的随性操作所带来的损失都可能是致命的，外汇交易经不起任何偏差。有计划地交易才能更好地控制风险，精准追随市场大势，实现盈利都是水到渠成的事情了。投资有风险，入市需谨慎！
　　Wen/Wang Jinbo