7.15黄金走势持久震荡磨灭心智原油操作高位寻求接盘侠

A downward trend does not speak for its bottom, and an upward trend does not speak for its top. Be good at observing and waiting for opportunities to come. A market trend that can be understood is always hard to come by. Do not trade market trends that you cannot understand, nor do you think it is necessary to trade in every band. Most traders in the market will miss out on it70%The market situation is different in terms of the energy, market knowledge, and trading skills that each investor can control. Don't expect every profit in the market to be earned, and don't expect others to earn as much as they earn. There are always many trading opportunities that match your personality and your ability to interpret the market. Seize these and let go of other trading opportunities that are not suitable for you.

没有不赚钱的投资，只有不成功的做单！是否赚钱在于买涨买跌时机的把握，赚钱靠机会，投资靠智慧，理财靠专业。郭禹缘专注分析现货goldBeautycrude oilforeign exchangeProduct. Our professional team provides online analysis and one-on-one guidance to help investors avoid risks, expand profits, and stay informed of international market trends anytime, anywhere, making the most stable orders.

郭禹缘个人观点：因美国小企业乐观情绪大幅改善，同时卫生事件特效药进展的希望，因此黄金一度跌至1790美元关口附近。但疫情二次蔓延叠加国际贸易担忧情绪，黄金随后自日低反弹20美元。同时世界黄金协会最新报告显示，预计在下半年仍能保持旺盛的需求。虽然美联储和美国政府及时伸出援手，但摩根大通、花旗和富国银行第二季度的不良贷款拨备近280亿美元，仅比2008年第四季度金融危机最严重时期好一点。在经济大范围封锁以减缓疫情传播之后，美国更多州于6月重新开放经济，不过由于感染病例激增，一些州在6月底暂停甚至取消了重新开放计划。疫情再度加重可能会削弱企业和消费者的信心，同时减缓经济的复苏，因此限制了黄金的部分跌幅。

————Analysis of Gold Market

尽管6月的复苏进度远超市场预期，但不具备可持续性。6月新增非农就业人数以低收入、低学历劳动者为主，且收入水平仍不及疫情前，因此带动美国的消费较为有限。此外，7月美国疫情再次出现反弹迹象，部分地区暂停娱乐及外出活动，预计近期美国经济复苏速度边际下滑。其次，尽管美联储并没有直接表明采取收益率曲线控制，但其通过大量购买国债从而压低了长端收益率，预计在未来较长的一段时间内，美国的名义利率将处于较低的水平，随着经济活动逐步复苏，未来通胀预期逐步走强，将推动实际利率进一步下行，导致黄金价格不断攀升。最后，也是最重要的一点，美联储的无限量QE，必然造成货币超发，纸币的不断贬值给黄金打开了上涨的空间。

从技术面日线上看，布林带三轨小幅收口运行，MA5/MA10The closing of the moving average golden fork,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACDFast slow line0轴上方金叉收口接近粘合，KDJ三线转死叉缓和下行，黄金日线多头减弱但整体依旧处于上行趋势内；4小时图上，布林带三轨小幅开口，MA5Mean Square andMA10The closing of the moving average golden fork,KThe line intersects between the middle and lower tracks in Bolin,MACDFast slow line0轴上方死叉下行，绿色动能再次放量，KDJ三线死叉下行，金价短线有一定的下行需求。综合来看，短线黄金操作郭禹缘建议高空为主，低多为辅。上方重点关注1811-1813Frontline resistance, focus on below1794-1792一线支撑。文章只能给你一时的方向和思路，至于具体进场点位和出场点位，郭禹缘实时盘中给出，欢迎关注！

International gold short-term trading strategy:

1Gold advice1811-1813Short in batches, stop loss1817, Objective1803-1796；

2Gold advice1794-1792Long in batches, stop loss1788, Objective1801-1805；

————Analysis of crude oil market

周二美原油一度跌至39.07美元，但是因为美国部分经济数据改善，同时数据显示OPEC+of6月减产合规率达到了107%AndOPECThe monthly report shows that,2021年全球石油日需求量将创纪录地增加700万桶，这都提振了市场的乐观情绪，美原油收复所有跌幅。目前油市最大的不确定性因素仍是疫情二次蔓延的风险。重点关注补偿减产，这将对三季度甚至下半年油市走向产生影响。日内还需关注EIAdata

技术面分析；原油日线收盘阴线小实体线，高价没有破前高，低价没有破前低，出现内包线形态，MA20均线出现了拐头迹象，油价运行在均线下方，多空指标出现了死叉发散中，下行支撑方面首先关注38.3位置，该位置是近期油价下跌最大值，同时在该位置得到了一波较为强劲的反弹走势，若进一步下破38.1位置，原油下行空间有望打开，进一步考验37.5附近支撑。原油从四小时图上来看，布林带三轨逐渐向下发散，原油价格运行在布林带中轨和下轨之间，均线依然是收死叉下扬，目前短线偏空运行。综合来看，今日短线操作郭禹缘建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注40.8-41.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below38.3-38.1一线支撑。行情实时变化，策略仅供参考

Short term trading strategy for US crude oil:

1Suggestions for crude oil40.8-41.0Short in batches, stop loss41.4, Objective39.9-39.4；

2Suggestions for crude oil38.3-38.1Long in batches, stop loss37.7, Objective39.0-39.7；

最容易亏损的看看你占了几点！

1、下单后到处去看黄金原油评论

The international gold and crude oil market will always have two voices. If there is only one voice, there will be no one making money and no one losing money. I was used to this at first, but I found that when I saw comments that were the same as when I placed an order, I felt refreshed and sure to make a lot of money in the future. When I saw comments with different directions, I became extremely nervous and wanted to leave quickly. Make oneself mentally nervous and easily make wrong decisions when disturbed.

2Lock up positions after losses

郭禹缘认为止损是需要很大的勇气的，人都有不认输的心理，尤其关系到认输就会损失很多钱。另外现在有些平台也在误导客户，比如锁单后反还保证金，提供对冲功能。关于锁仓的坏处很多网站上都有资料，我也没必要再去总结了，我的体会是，锁仓后什么时候解，什么时候再锁的选择真的非常痛苦，如果变成单边市的话，就不只痛苦了，而是心痛和极大的损失。

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