Last week,WTI原油依然徘徊在40美元附近,未有新突破。根据CFTC持仓报告,上周原油投机性净多仓数量减少8508手,为连续第二周下跌;其中多仓数量锐减17580手,显然,油市需求前景蒙阴再度令多头开始质疑短期原油反弹能否持续。展望本周,欧佩克+about8月的减产计划成为了焦点。正如前文提到,不延长减产甚至削减减产,似乎是更可能的选择。第二波疫情可能会令原油消费再度暴跌,第一次爆发期间出现数十亿桶原油库存积压的噩梦可能会重演。如果欧佩克+选择在市场动荡期间增加供应,那么原油价格可能会再次崩溃。
===国际原油价格解析===
原油从位置来看,上周一度跌破40位置后,仅仅在40下方持续不到一个交易日时间又再次回升到40上方,多空双方的拉锯战仍然在持续中。41.6区域是重要阻力区域,该区域不能直接上破,那么价格仍然继续震荡。而从4小时图上看,目前原油在40dollar/桶暂时获得支持,或正构筑上升旗形形态,考虑到新冠疗法的进展,OPEC部长级会议结果还没公布,短期内油价还有上升的可能,或将上探前期重要阻力位41dollar/桶。日内短线操作上张钜诚建议高沽低渣操作,短线上方关注41.0-41.6First line pressure, following below39.0-38.5Frontline support.
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注:张钜诚给的操作策略都是经过无比细心的分析才会推送出来的,但由于个平台点位不同,所以钜诚老师提供的操作策略仅作参考,若是你现在手上的单子很棘手或是操作上面遇到不懂的地方可以直接向张钜诚老师咨询。你的盈利我来指导,我的实力你来验证,只要你成为我的实仓,每天早上会为你推送一天的投资策略分析,每次行情来临之前会给你进行提前通知,然后提示你建仓、平仓。为你负责,也为我负责