Zhou Jinrui7.14原油还会跌吗?Will crude oil continue to rise?期货原油走势分析操作建议

　　盈亏就像坐过山车，有高峰，也有低谷，这意味着，无论眼下是好是坏，都只是暂时的。又何必把一时赚赚亏亏看的那么重要！在这个过程中或多或少会有伤痕和不顺心的时候，但伤痕是过去，过去不等于现在，更不等于未来，无论过去多么不幸，多么伤痕累累，这都不重要，重要的是当方向错了，有没有学会停止，态度决定成败，但方向一定比努力要更重要，再好的船手在海面上当方向错了后，任何方向吹来的风都将是逆风。

The market is a big stage, not all stories can be told. People need some kind of belief to motivate and restrain them. After being quiet, they can be calm, and after being calm, they can be determined. In the past, smiling in the absence of regrets is the most beautiful thing; Game, smile in tears, only then can you be colorful; Success or failure, smiling in strength, is the most exciting! Gathering the world with reason and fate,There is reason and fate in the world; Every wave of market trends will be investigated by the market for its reasons,看懂者永远成为市场赢家。不要总以为行情辜负了你什么，在这个市场，没有谁活得比谁容易，交易简单就迷人：往往许多行情都如此，当你刻意追逐它时，它就会跑得飞快，当你摒弃表面的凡尘杂念，为了策略，为了计划，专心致力与每一波行情时，有些利润反而能轻易地得到。周金瑞指导微信（zjr5857）！
　　
　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
　  黄金消息面：周一（7month13Japanese goldT+DClosing up0.22%to401.1element/克；创2month25日以来的四个半月新高。现货黄金在上周先涨后跌的波动后，目前仍然稳定在1800dollar/盎司上方。上周是黄金市场连续第五周收高，整体趋势仍然非常偏上行。美国疫情继续严重，令整个市场的避险情绪浓厚，支撑金价走高，而美元弱势向下，黄金吸引力上升。整个大宗商品表现强势，尤其是工业金属板块，这实际上带给黄金一定支撑，尽管亚洲股市大涨，黄金避险需求有所降温，但贵金属与工业金属整体趋势向上。同时由于各国央行大规模宽松，黄金获得提振，货币则在下跌。在利率低迷的情况下，股市持续走高令投资者担心错过，同时黄金又是避险保值的选择。关注公众号“周金瑞”即可实时获得最新的操作建议、欢迎来询！
　　
　　黄金技术面：黄金日线上来看日线收带上下影线阴线，目前处于短期线上方运行，5Japan and Japan10The daily moving average runs upwards, and the medium-term line runs upwards,MACDRun up,KDJRunning downwards, the direction of the indicators is not clear. 金价冲高回落，但整体仍保持在1800附近震荡，均线形态仍然向上，短期上行格局没有被打破，仍然保持着高位震荡偏多格局，收线受阻并不明显，这样的K线形态看起来更像是高位震荡蓄势，后面仍可能继续拉升冲击新高，所以目前日线仍不能说已经受阻要转空。黄金4小时图显示，金价处于回落调整，目前处于短期线下方运行，短期线死叉形成，中期线向上运行，MACDRun down,KDJ向下运行，指标看跌。4小时拉升突破1800后进一步拉升到最高1818附近，目前短线偏空还有可能进一步回调，不过4小时仍处于均线多头排列结构中，第一波上涨是从1773附近开始到1818附近结束，那么只要金价保持在1785-1790支撑上方回调企稳就还有二次拉升，二次拉升要关注是否新高，若新高就会延续上涨格局，若不能新高受阻可能形成二次顶部，之后再下跌跌破颈线位就确立顶部开始转空。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上周金瑞建议高空为主，低多为辅。上方关注1815-1820One line of resistance, pay attention below1790-1785一线支撑。每一个正在交易的人都想盈利，这是毋庸置疑的，但前提是你要找对方向，如需帮助可联系周金瑞微信（zjr5857）Get real-time guidance. Welcome to inquire!
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
　　原油消息面：周一(7month13day)European market, US crude oilfutures价格震荡下行一度下破40美元，交易商关注将于7month15日召开的石油输出国组织及其盟友(OPEC+)联合部长级会议，预计会议将建议放宽供应削减措施，OPEC+于周末表达了缩减减产规模的意向，理由是全球燃料需求有望复苏。此前OPEC及包括俄罗斯在内的盟友自5月以来连续三个月减产970万桶，创下纪录，从而成功地将油价提升了一倍，带动油价从4月的几十年低点大幅反弹。随着疫情每日新增确诊病例数量激增至超过20万，疫情在全球多个国家(尤其是在美国)出现了第二次大规模流行。通过对二次疫情的影响进行建模分析，预计2020年全球原油需求或将下降至865010000 barrels/日，低于基于疫情恢复估计的890010000 barrels/日。从影响程度上看，预计第二波疫情对原油需求的影响相较3-4月份更加温和，主要是由于限制性措施将仅在特定地区和部门实施，一定程度上熨平疫情对需求端的冲击。从波峰对比来看，第一波疫情对原油需求的冲击最大值发生于4月，全球原油需求量下滑达到260010000 barrels/日，预计二次疫情导致需求下滑的规模将在9月份达到最大，接近180010000 barrels/Day.
　　
　　原油技术面：原油日线布林线轨道收口后偏向水平运行，油价运行在上轨与中轨之间；MACDDead fork,KDJ金叉但接近超买区域，金瑞整体来看，油价动能有限，周金瑞预计油价短期仍将维持窄幅震荡格局；上方初步阻力首先参考3month9日跳空下跌以来的最高点41.63，该位置同时靠近布林线上轨，阻力相对较强，若突破，则新的上行空间将被打开；进一步阻力看向3month2Daily low point43.32附近；不过金瑞认为随着美国确诊数持续激增，打压油市需求前景，且美国石油库存持续上升，这加剧了市场对供给过剩的担忧；油价迟迟无法突破41.63附近关键阻力，随着KDJ指标进入超买区域，油价短线存在一定筑顶回调的风险。综合来看，今日原油短线操作思路上周金瑞建议高空为主，低多为辅。原油上方关注40.5-41.0One line of resistance, pay attention below38.5-38.0Frontline support. The article can only provide you with a temporary direction and ideas. As for the specific entry points and timing of closing profits, Zhou Jinrui guides WeChat（zjr5857）Will be provided in real time, welcome to inquire!
　　
Don't always think that the market has let you down. In this market, no one lives easier than anyone else. Trading is simple but charming;Often, many market trends are like this, and when you deliberately pursue them, they will run very fast;When you abandon superficial mundane thoughts, focus on executing every market trend for strategy and planning, some profits can be easily obtained. Wherever your attention is, the results are there. The more you express, the less you lack. When your mindset and execution continue to improve, money is just a gift. Attitude determines hardship and joy, concept determines success and failure, and the simpler a person is, the more peaceful their trading becomes. Many times, you would rather be killed in battle against the tide than reflect on yourself. A drop of ink can stain a glass of water, but it is difficult to muddy a river because a generous heart can accommodate it;One sentence can ruin a temporary mood, but it is difficult to determine a person's life, because fate is in one's own hands;An accident can make your footsteps heavy and difficult to erode your persistent pursuit, because you are "alive" in the market, and because you are strong, the road is ahead. Don't easily stop walking.
　　
　　周金瑞微信（zjr5857）：从事金融分析多年，每日策略指导，技术分析，独家策划，解锁解套，从看到周金瑞文章起，恭喜你开始走上投资理财轨道，相信我们不仅是投资理财的良师益友，还是生活中的知己朋友。做单需要勇气，持单需要分析！成功不是靠运气，选择大于努力！做对行情赢一次，跟对人赢一世！更多黄金，原油，期货，现货，foreign exchange，及时联系周金瑞实时解答。读万卷书不如行万里路，行万里路不如阅人无数，阅人无数不如名师指路，名师指路不如紧跟周金瑞的脚步。