Han Lingyu:7.12黄金下周延续涨势，精准布局，空单速解

　　Han Lingyu:7.12gold下周延续涨势，精准布局，空单速解
　　
Friday(7month10day)纽市盘中，金价走低，现货黄金一度较日高回落逾16The US dollar has reached its lowest point in the past two days1794.24美元，可能接近找到新冠特效药的迹象提振股市，纳指再创历史新高，削弱了黄金的避险需求；接近周末的时候，获利了结盘使黄金失去了一些动力。一个星期跟，志同道合，携手共赢。
　　


　　黄金暴涨过后的宁静
　　
　　凌雨认为，现货黄金价格目前处于2011year11月以来的最高水平，但是保持在1800美元每盎司上方仍是金价面临的首个关键考验。尽管黄金基本面依然强劲，但是获利回吐活动在当前水平仍相当有吸引力。
　　
　　加上各国央行继续维持低利率，并且采取宽松政策，同时保持印钞机运转，这将在未来数年里推动金价上涨。2011Annual high level1921美元每盎司将是买家长期的关键上行目标，但考虑到买家可能获利了结并重新评估市场形势，因此金价或许会在1800美元附近盘整一段时间！



    下周关注消息面
　　
    下周又将是一个令人瞩目的“央行周”，投资者需注意三大央行是否透露未来会祭出更多宽松措施：周三两大头部央行——加拿大央行和日本央行将公布利率决议。周四欧洲央行也将公布利率决议，欧洲央行行长拉加德召开新闻发布会。


　　数据方面，投资者需关注周四将公布的美国6月零售销售月率，同日美联储将公布经济状况褐皮书，将显示美国经济最新情况。
　　


　　Analysis of Gold Technology
　　　　　
　　黄金日线布林线轨道开口，MACDandKDJ金叉运行，金价企稳1800上方，市场看多情绪得到大幅提振；上方阻力首先关注前一交易日高点1818.02This is from2011year9月来触及的最高位置，同时与布林线上轨基本重合，若突破该位置，则金价将进一步试探2011year8-9Support resistance level for monthly testing1827.7附近；若进一步上破则依次参考1850and1880附近阻力。且KDJ指标在超买区域向下拐头，在金价进一步走高之前，短线仍然需要警惕多头获利了结造成的回落；下方重点关注1800关口得失，若下破，则市场看多情绪将被削弱；进一步支撑在10Daily moving average1784.32附近，若意外失守该位置，则金价可能进一步回踩布林线中轨1751.78附近支撑；布林线上轨始终对金价上行形成压制，且金价短线涨幅较大，随着技术指标进入超买状态，在金价进一步走高之前，仍然需要警惕多头获利抛盘造成的回落。
　　


　　综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上韩凌雨个人建议以回调做多为主，上方短期重点关注1812-1814Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1790-1792Frontline support.
　　
　　投资注意事项有哪些？
　　
　　1、在黄金crude oil投资中，要充分认识风险和效益、赢钱与输钱的概率及防范的几个大问题。如果对风险防范没有一个确切的认识，随意进行买卖，那么输钱是必然的，一般只要严格设置单子止损和单子止盈，轻仓做单做单下，就能很好的控制风险。
　　


　　2Knowing oneself and the enemy, one will never be defeated in a hundred battles. But in the gold market, self-awareness is paramount, and investors need to understand their own personalities, as those who are prone to impulsiveness or emotional tendencies are not suitable for this investment. Most successful investors are able to control their emotions and have strict discipline, effectively restraining themselves. So, only those who know themselves can ultimately win in the gold market.


　　
　　3In a sense, sometimes misreading the market trend or suddenly reversing the situation after placing an order can lead to the order being trapped, which is a normal phenomenon that even experts cannot avoid. However, the stupidest behavior in decision-making and post event handling stems from the mentality of small business owners. Successful investors will not blindly follow the opinions of others. When everyone is in the same investment position, especially small investors who are also following suit, successful investors will feel dangerous and change their course.
　　
　　4The market is real, don't be sentimental, overly yearn for the future and reminisce about the past. A senior trader said: A person full of fantasy, rich emotions, and very exposed is a beautiful and happy person, but he is not suitable for being an investor. A successful investor can separate his emotions, fantasies, and trading.
　　
Editor of this article: Han Lingyu


Author's Message:Choose the investment method that suits you well, establish and firmly enforce operational discipline, think more about risks rather than returns before each operation, constantly summarize experience and lessons, as long as you can persist in doing so, success may not be far from you.