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Qi Xinyun:7.8gold回撤千八门口转向看空!新油价战风险解除重点关注EIA数据!
黄金强势上涨至9年高位,发生了什么?新油价格战偃旗息鼓后市重点关注EIA库存数据!
一方面,有分析指出,是因为交易员“逢低买入”,现货黄金日内最低跌至1773美元水平。另一方面,周二有6位美联储官员相继发表讲话,多数透露出对经济状况的担忧,一定程度上加强了市场对美联储或将采取新宽松措施的预期,支撑金价的突破。除此之外,美国疫情的持续加重也导致更多资金涌入黄金。此外黄金市场短期恐怕还有修正的风险,尤其是在目前市场这种持仓水平下;ComexLong positions in futures are still increasing, but if the gold price can break through1800,那么大量目前观望的买家可能涌入。
crude oil方面:首先是EIAtake2020Expected increase in global crude oil demand growth rate in1910000 barrels/Solstice-81510000 barrels/日,此外,欧佩克+不继续深化减产的可能性加大。另外,安哥拉已经妥协,沙特发起新油价战的风险基本解除。还值得关注的是,虽然没有特意减产,但由于储备容量将耗尽,伊朗的原油产量跌至近40年来低位。今晚22:20To be announced from the United States to7month3Day and WeekEIA原油库存,前值为大减719.5Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease340万桶。不过今日凌晨公布的API库存意外录得增加,若EIA库存也录得增加,恐打击油价。
Gold market analysis:
Looking at the daily chart, gold yesterday closed with a substantial positive line, and the Asian session saw a slight rebound in gold1776After the first line, it fell under pressure, but hit the lowest point1770Nearby stop falling and rise, followed by a volatile rise in European prices, which briefly broke levels1776On the first line, the surge in new cases in the evening overshadowed expectations of a comprehensive economic restart, leading to an increase in gold hedging. After the opening of the US market, gold continued to rise and stabilize1790Above, due to the continued better than expected data from the United States and Europe offsetting some of the impact of the second spread of the epidemic, the recent rebound in market risk sentiment may continue to hinder the rise of gold. So the highest price hit in the second half of the night1796After the vicinity, the momentum of the market's upward trend has been insufficient, and it has been1795附近盘整,目前来看黄金会在1796Nearby consolidation, unable to break through in the future market1800If so, those who wait and see will buy in large quantities; Therefore, based on comprehensive analysis and operation, Xinyun suggests that high altitude should be the main approach, and low altitude should be the secondary approach! Top Focus1797;
鑫韵综合来看:黄金1798-1795Short nearby, stop loss4USD, target1789;多单待黄金回落低点1785-1780附近再布局;
原油技术分析:原油昨日继续十字K线震荡收平,日图已经长时间星K线整理当中,上方高点41.50始终未破,而回测的空间也不算大,以横向整理代替回调修正。多头强势整理当中。后市仍看好上涨,只是短线在蓄势当中,留意附图指标修正后的再次发力。当然目前还没有显示何时放量的迹象。短线收敛震荡当中。4小时维持在布林道上下轨之间收缩震荡,同时日布林道上轨也有所收口压制,短期或许还要横盘较长时间。目前还没有明显的突破迹象。1小时图小区间内来回拉锯,短期多空延续不足,尽量卡小区间超短线应对。大方向看涨,小方向收缩震荡。区间盘中待定。由于目前节奏较为缓慢,暂时当作慢性震荡多头,在台阶低点39.80上方先择机低多,如若意外被损,则等快速下探后启稳盘中再择机多。所以综合分析操作上建议低位顺势做多为主,高空为辅。短线上方关注41.0-41.6First line pressure, following below39.5-39.0Frontline support.
投资理不是一朝一夕的事,前期的亏损,不代表后期的亏损。前期的获利,不代表后期的获利。所以,亏损的朋友不要气馁,获利的朋友不要自满,让自己以平和的心态理性的投资。想说的是如果你处在这样的循环中,请停下来好好想想,总结一下经验和教训,整装再发。如果你相信我或者只是看到过我的文章,就能认同我讲的,我不能保证你单单都盈利,但是老师用认证负责的态度,精准的单位判断,稳健的做单方式来保证你整体获利。对黄金,原油等贵金属投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友,一次合作,一生的朋友。一定要牢记:人生最大的浪费是犹豫,成功最大的障碍是怀疑;智者创造机会,强者抓住机会,弱者等待机会,愚者才放弃机会,给自己一个选择,带给自己无限惊喜!
Editor in charge: Qi Xinyun
V-Letter official account: Qi XinyunV-Letter:qxy3356
The most regrettable thing I have ever heard is: Teacher, if only I had operated with you earlier!
The most heartbreaking words I have ever heard are: Teacher, I lost my money, but I am still not willing!
The happiest thing I've ever heard is: Teacher, our list has come to an end again!
If you are still stagnant and do not make the right choice early, it is equivalent to rejecting the hope of rebirth, the opportunity to change the status quo, and the possibility of making a profit from everything you can! If you really want to make money and recover losses, follow my friends and you will definitely have hope for rebirth in a short period of time! Although there are few orders, each one excels. Refuse all frequent transactions and increase the burden of handling fees! |
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