基本面,上周的基本面美国非农数据表现的很好,这和周三美国ADP就业一致,使得美指在上周拉升,但随后美国议员对中国问题以及欧盟轮值国对中国同时发难,这对市场拉说是很大的避险事件,加之中国周边的地缘局势紧张,以黄金为代表的避险商品尾盘反弹,而这种趋势必然也影响到了商品futures市场,所以国内农产市场大豆也跟随性拉升,下周的基本面主要看周一17:00的欧元区零售销售月率,随后看22:00The United States of AmericaISM非制造业指数,周二关注12:30的澳洲联储利率决议和16:30的中国foreign exchange储备。周三关注22:30The United States of AmericaEIAcrude oil库存,随后周四关注上周9:30的中国CPI晚间关注美国当周初请失业金人数和随后看22:00的美国批发销售。周五关注22:30The United States of AmericaPPI月率即可。
————黄金走势分析
黄金上周下探回升收平。周线收盘十字KLine, highest1789 minimum1757。最终收盘在1775.相对此前的波幅整体空间不算大。周线仍处于多头强势整理修正当中。日图星K线整理。短线上行放缓,边整理蓄势边慢性上扬的走法,踩着10日线震荡向上,在探高的过程中伴随回踩确认,过程迂回反复。拉锯的频率加大。4小时布林道显示短期开始收缩震荡,上周从上轨摔到上轨,再反抽至中轨附近震荡,上下轨收口状态。加之本周消息面清淡。周初可能维持在布林道收缩区间内拉锯,空间走得不会太大。上方压力1785 Lower support1765.下方不跌破1757低点,暂时回调的深度有限。短线先看区间震荡。小时图钝化静态整理,目前处于区间中性位置,暂时看不出单边延续。亚盘先行观望。等待靠近区间上下轨附近再临盘安排。以免区间收窄,进早了持仓难受且被动。对黄金等投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友,欢迎单线吕文鸿wh35636Is Weixin getting the latest information and daily market trend analysis!
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