国际金价运行在不到5美元的狭窄区间内,尽管受到避险资金流动的支撑,但美国新冠疫情大幅反弹,一些投资者更愿意持有美元,限制了金价涨势。美国迎来独立日假期,市场交投趋于淡静。黄金T+DClosing flat to397.52element/Ke, hit a new low in the trading session for over a week, with spot gold hovering around1770Above, due to various bullish and bearish factors, the overall gold price remains high and volatile. On the one hand, the epidemic situation remains severe globally, which may put pressure on the momentum of economic recovery; On the other hand, against the backdrop of recent easing, risky assets have surged, leading to a panic indexVIX创近四周新低,全球股市集体走高,大国股市表现更是强势,这令黄金吸引力有限,难以进一步突破性走高。因金价上涨推动黄金生产企业的利润率上升,黄金矿企股票的基本面也有所改善。
黄金技术面分析:首先从日线级别来看,目前依旧是较强势的走势,起码5-10日均线依旧是一个多头向上的排列形态,但是目前多头之中亦蕴藏着一定的危机,为什么这样说?因为连续的震荡或者是一阴一阳的交替走势下,5-10日均线目前逐渐走平,5-10日均线逐渐的走平,就面临着一个方向的选择,如果向下收大阴,那么直接50日均线将会掉头向下,如果向上收大阳那么5-10日均线将被拉起,所以日线级别目前我们能得到的结论就是震荡偏多,并且1768是处于日线级别10The support position of the daily moving average.
所以目前从4小时来看,也是一个较多的走势。4小时最后一次回撤的低点在1750附近,而上周回撤的最低点也仅仅在1760, distance1750还有10美金之遥,所以4小时我们也是比较看好上破1787附近,再次冲击高点位置。高点已经破位,表示着上方的压力没有或者是很小,很多人喜欢在高位搏空,这是对行情的意淫,在目前没有任何转空迹象的情况下,建议大家谨慎对待空单,以低位做多为主,除非有明显的转空信号。综合来看,今日短线操作上雪姗建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅。上方重点关注1785-1788Frontline resistance, focus on below1765-1760Frontline support.
7.6Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:
Empty order strategy:
Gold rebound1780-1782Short (buy down) two tenths of a position nearby, stop loss5Points, target1770-1665Nearby. Break the position to see1660frontline;
Multiple order strategy:
Gold Callback1763-1765Nearby long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss5Points, target1775-1780Nearby, break down and take a look1785frontline;