Liu Jingcan:7.2黄金小非农为何暴跌？今日依旧危机四伏，附稳健布局！

    晚间数据利多，为何gold暴跌呢？晚间你的单子是否又被套了呢?Any investment that comes to the end is just a trial and error. Those who have a heart, those who are tired, those who have no heart, it doesn't matter. The trading is voluntary, there is no regret for missing, there is no negative rise or fall, and there is no complaint. Don't make it too tragic. Every participation is your execution, but there are people who are thoughtful, some who are blind and hasty, some who profit infinitely and recklessly, and some who fail are lost forever. In this market, neither victory nor failure will last forever. As long as you are willing to reach out to me, I will help you out of confusion!




数据利多黄金为何暴跌？后市黄金会涨吗？
   
Wednesday(7month1day)纽市盘中，金价从八年来高点大幅下滑，现货黄金一度跌破1760关口，刷新本周低点至1759.36dollar/盎司，盘中早些时候曾触及2012year10The highest since the beginning of the month1789.28美元；因美国制造业数据好于预期并且冠状病毒疫苗试验进展侵蚀了对黄金的避险需求。
　　
　　根据早期试验结果，辉瑞和BioNtechSE开发的一个试验性新冠疫苗展现出安全性，并使患者产生了新冠抗体，令人们燃起希望；备受关注的一项美国制造业指数在6月升至一年多来高位，表明经济在防疫封锁措施结束之际恢复增长。
Federal Reserve6月会议纪要显示，美联储官员认为应更明确表达利率路径前瞻指引，在购债方面也更明确，暗示青睐将未来行动与通胀挂钩，对是否控制收益率曲线存疑。纪要公布后，三大美stock market index短线走高，10年期美债收益率上扬。随着美国股市上涨，黄金在四个交易日中首次下跌，并且创近一个月来最大跌幅。纽约商品交易所8月交割黄金futuresPrice decline1.1%, closing per ounce1779.90美元，盘中一度上涨0.4%。周二主力合约自2011年以来首次升逾1800美元。今年金价仍上涨约17%。

    原定于北京时间周五(7month3day)20:30Published in the United States6月季调后非农就业人口变动和失业率，因美国独立日假期提前至北京时间周四(7month2day)20:30Announcement,ADP就业报告的欠佳令市场对非农报告欠佳的预期升温，预期显示美国6月非农就业人口料增加309Ten thousand, the unemployment rate has decreased12.5%，平均每小时工资年率降至5.3%，若非农报告整体表现不佳，那么在全球疫情二次反弹忧虑升温的背景下，黄金价格有望继续走升，国际现货黄金价格此后仍有进一步上行空间。
晚间行情回顾：

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后市黄金行情走势分析：黄金仍有上涨空间！
    黄金在刷新八年高点最高触及1789.28后大幅回落，连续失守1770、1760两大关口，日线MACD金叉，但是红能开始萎缩；KDJForming a dead cross in overbought areas, gold price falls1780关口并下破5日均线，短线存在进一步走低附迹象，下方初步支撑参考10Daily moving average1760.55，若进一步下破，则关注1747附近，该位置在6月多次被测试，若下破，则金价将进一步回踩布林线中轨1732.78Nearby support;
　　不过，刘敬灿认为美联储会继续压低利率，刺激经济，全球病例与日俱增，使得投资者对黄金的避险需求保持活跃，这都为金价上行提供支撑；且MACD指标金叉信号仍在，金价在10日均线附近获得支撑，若坚守该位置，则仍然存在震荡反弹的可能；1770关口是上方初步阻力，该位置同时是5日均线所在，若突破，则削弱短线看空信号，进一步阻力在布林线上轨1786附近，金价需要若突破并企稳该位置，才有可能冲击1800；

from4小时来看黄金直线下滑本来许多人预测的会涨的，可是市场给我们开了一个大大的玩笑，一波诱多后直线下挫24美金；目前来看黄金将会下行到1762附近之后在进行回撤，但是大趋势还是看多，雅源说过本周防守1745看多，所以不必猜高。综合来看，个人建议以反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注1770-1775Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1760-1755Frontline support.


今日黄金操作建议：
刘老师认为黄金防守1755，稳健者可在1760-1755Long nearby, stop loss4USD, target1771；
Ranters 1779-1774Near light warehouse test empty, stop loss4美金，有盈利就出具体个人把握；

Author of this article: Liu Jingcan
Weixin account:Ljj1632/Gong Zonghao: Liu Jingcan
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Author's Message: Integrity is the foundation, virtue is the world, work with a grateful heart, take responsibility with a responsible heart, pave the way with strength, and lead the market trend with a pattern!