章仓兴：6.30黄金蓄势能否突破，黄金原油走势分析操作建议

　　行情就是一个大舞台，不是所有的故事都可以陈述，人是需要某种信念来激励和约束的，人静而后安，安而能后定，过去，在无憾中微笑，才美丽；博弈，在眼泪中微笑，才多姿；成败，在坚强中微笑，才精彩！有因有缘集世间,有因有缘世间集；每一波行情的出现市场都会究其原因，看懂者永远成为市场赢家。不要总以为行情辜负了你什么，在这个市场，没有谁活得比谁容易，交易简单就迷人：往往许多行情都如此，当你刻意追逐它时，它就会跑得飞快，当你摒弃表面的凡尘杂念，为了策略，为了计划，专心致力与每一波行情时，有些利润反而能轻易地得到。

　　goldMarket trend analysis

Monday（6month29日），美元指数日内微跌，但整体仍相对乐观。因市场对二次疫情的担忧升温，令拥有避险属性的美元仍受投资者青睐，基本面仍偏向利好。与此同时，本周市场将迎来一系列重磅经济数据和消息的挑战，美元走势更受基本面消息左右。现货黄金徘徊逾七年半最高水平，投资者越来越多涌入黄金支持交易所交易基金，全球持仓量创历史新高，市场乐观预期金价将在短期料测试1800The US dollar barrier.

　　黄金昨日窄幅区间震荡，最高1775.minimum1765.60.High level contraction consolidation closing, daily chart harvest with small yin starsKLine. entityKThe line is too small, and the long and short continuity is insufficient. The daily chart is still in10Strong consolidation of high positions above the daily line. There was limited room for yesterday's pullback. Indicating short-term or bullish strength. Organize and accumulate momentum horizontally. Underneath backtesting not broken1747低点。日图维持看涨趋势不变。易鑫从4The hour is undergoing a cycle of yin and yang conversion. entityKThe small size of the line causes the space to begin to shrink, temporarily after the large positive line, the starKLine organization and accumulation. At present, there is no room for a breakthrough. HoweverKIn terms of line structure, last week we retreated and held on1745Above all, this week, before breaking this level, the short-term trend is mainly bullish, especially4小时完成了下探回升的收复。短线局部停顿倾向整理蓄势上涨。留意后市再次的发力冲高破高，既然没有顶部止涨。横向整理就当作是多头的蓄势准备。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上章建议高空为主，低多为辅。上方关注1780-1785One line of resistance, pay attention below1760-1755Frontline support.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis

　　因为疫情反弹的忧虑盖过了经济复苏的预期，同时美原油在40-42美元附近遭遇关键阻力，此外上周美原油产量增加5010000 barrels/日。因此短时间面临回调的风险。部分分析师认为，当前市场对于油市的前景可能过于乐观，因为经济复苏和原油需求疲软，同时疫情反弹加剧了这一局面，从长期看，2020年油价均值可能交投于30-34Between US dollars.

　　原油昨日下探回升收高，最低回踩37.50Steady recovery, hold on37.0Low point rebound to recover lost ground, while recovering in the late trading session39.30High point. The daily chart shows a positive line in the harvest, recovering some of the previous losses and closing at39.30Above. Reconnect the perimeter30周线附近。留意今明两日能否蓄势突破，不破则会继续在高位震荡拉锯。当然大方向看涨不变，短线局部修正也是为了蓄势。只是突破的时间不定，目前短线开始进入拉锯震荡当中。4The hourly low rebound failed to continue the correction of the second wave, while the consecutive positive rebound closed at39.30Above, the small periodic structure steps down the channel. Start stable in37.0Above. This week's thinking needs to be adjusted appropriately, relying on37.0Defend at a low point and take a pullback, but the process is expected to be volatile and circuitous. fall drastically37.0It will deepen the adjustment space. At present, we have already shaken off a certain distance from the low point and have also broken through at the same time39.30.短线相对偏向震荡，但是考虑到周线处于夹角区间当中，暂时走不出单边。综合来看，今日原油短线操作思路上章建议高空为主，低多为辅。原油上方关注40.6-41.1One line of resistance, pay attention below38.4-37.8Frontline support.

　　投资新手如何看实时图把握行情：

　　1、交易之前，可以先看4小时图，确定趋势和方向；再看1Hour chart, pay attention to the trend of the transition period, and predict the trend of the next period. The transition period is important and serves as a bridge between the past and the future.

　　2、时间周期越短，反映越快，灵敏度越高；5分钟适合做超短线，灵活多变，趋势不稳，只是，可以先知先觉，嗅出后市的走势和趋势。可以选择很好的进仓与平仓点位。尤其是价位运行到支撑或阻力附近，可以研判后市。

　　3、15Minute chart, suitable for short-term trading, generally suitable for beginners to practice and be practical. Watch carefully15minuteKPlacing an order based on the trend, making a profit in one go2点是没有问题的。同时，5Minutes are only suitable for ultra short term operations and cannot distinguish a trend, therefore, it is not recommended for beginners to operate.

　　4、均线也有背离，指标更不在话下。如果均线在小时图是上行，但是在15The minute chart shows a downward trend, indicating that a reversal is imminent. If the moving average is15分钟图是下行，但价格欲上涨，价格迟早会下行，比如被枢纽点弹回。此时此刻，你可以抉择，最好准备了。

　　5、时间周期短的均线背离比时间长的更能反映后市走势，15The deviation of the minute chart moving average is more important than the hour chart, as it refers to the opposite direction of the moving average and price fluctuations.

　　6、控制风险，然后赢利。做10Next time, I may be wrong3次，三次的损失应该保持在一定范围以内，自己的获利就可能远大于小的损失。

If there's nothing more today than yesterday, then what's the meaning of tomorrow,Trading not only precipitates money, but also leaves behind a sense of enlightenment. Coagulation of these through thinking is a form of growth. Optimistic people see opportunities in every crisis, pessimistic people see crises in every opportunity. The market doesn't care who got it right once or twice, but more importantly, it decides who stays. At every critical moment, it looks like everyone is the same, and there are always some differences here. Many people watch the market continue to rise and then rise as soon as they do it. Yesterday, those who first went long and ate meat were beaten, and those who went long were either brainless or mixedK线的一点直觉与经验让我们与众不同，避险的造成上升的行情往往不那么牢靠，后续暂时没有下文，行情也就趁机回调，看到这里可能有人说章马后炮，但是懂的人自然懂，更多的不是看单子连对多少单，而我希望的是大家能掌握思考行情的技巧。

　　本文由章仓兴（指导レ信：zg13908  公纵号：黄金章华 ）供稿，解读经济要闻，研判市场情绪变化，剖析投资趋势，传递有价值的投资理念，对黄金、原油、等全球主要金融市场都有深入而独特的见解。由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，建议仅供参考，据此操作风险自负！转载请注明出处。