Zhou Hongjin:6.26晚评！黄金、原油走势分析交易策略

Summary:goldTrend analysis, gold trading strategy, gold market analysiscrude oilTrend analysis and crude oil operation suggestions
　　
To continue to thrive in this market for a long time, it is necessary to have a complete trading system, including position skills, risk control, and technical systems. This way, in a volatile market, it can provide you with clear guidance, even if the profit is small, it is easy and there is a sense of achievement;In a unilateral market, it can make you have a trend in your mind. If you are right, strive for maximum profit, but when you are wrong, you can control risks and objectively adjust your thinking to turn losses into profits, instead of blindly and subjectively sticking to your own thinking, blindly adding positions to reverse orders, and placing positions on the edge of risk.
　　
Message interpretation:
　　
　　6month26日，国际金价日内持稳，但料连续第三周录得涨幅。尽管美元走强，且股市上涨削弱了避险需求，但全球新冠病例重新快速增加令人担忧，也支撑了黄金价格。美国上周初请失业金人数高于预期，暗示劳动力市场可能需要数年时间才能从新冠疫情造成的影响中恢复过来。在疫苗研制成功之前，感染病例激增的可能性可能仍将对美国经济构成威胁。
　　
　　国际油价上涨，由市场对全球燃料需求复苏的乐观情绪所带动的涨势得以扩大。全球主要经济体的交通流量强劲回升，暗示燃料需求改善。尽管美国部分州的感染病例数量激增，且有迹象显示美国原油产量反弹。在美国最大的石油和天然气生产企业中，超过一半此前决定减产的高管预计，他们有望在7月底恢复部分产能。
　　
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
　　
　　技术面来看，尽管全球央行的宽松政策仍支撑金价，但黄金避险吸引力不敌美元。再加上金价此前触及逾七年半高位，部分投资者获利回吐，也限制了金价上行动能。日线布林线轨道开口，金价走势受上轨压制；现货黄金前一交易日触及逾七年半高点，但未能守住涨势，再度转跌，日线收倒锤线。MACD金叉、但红柱动能相对有限，KDJ有转死叉迹象、指数位于80附近。目前走势来看，金价涨势受到一定阻力，需要警惕下跌风险。 下行方面，先下看10Daily moving average1745.80Nearby, this is6月初以来多次测试的点位，具有较强支撑。若跌破料测试布林带中轨1729.33附近，进一步支撑位看向60Daily line1715.00附近。下方强支撑位留意1700.00关口，若该关口失守，甚至可能回踩布林带下轨1687.48附近。上行方面，先简单留意布林带上轨1771.20附近，强阻力位留意1780.00，这也是本周测试的逾七年半高点附近。一旦该点位被突破，将进一步打开上行空间，料为后续试探1800.00Accumulate momentum at the checkpoint.
　　
　　四小时来看，金价涨势在1780受阻后小幅回调，现处于高位窄幅震荡；布林带收口，金价下破中轨；MACD死叉、KDJ死叉；从技术面来看，金价短线面临下行风险。下行方面，初步支撑在布林线中轨1749.06附近；若继续走低，可能回踩60average1742.00Nearby. Further support and attention100average1729.50附近。上行方面，先简单留意布林带上轨1774.89Strong resistance level, pay attention to the front high1779.53。
　　
　　综合来看，鸿金认为金价短线存在一定下行风险，但在失守布林带中轨1729.33附近支撑直线，长线仍以看涨为主；所以短线操作思路上周鸿金zh66646个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；中长线机会则要耐心等待；
　　
Focus on resistance above:1771.20、1780.00；
　　
Focus on support below:1758.29、1745.40；
　　
Real time market changes, strategy for reference only, consult Zhou Hongjin for real-time entry and exit points and medium to long term layout!
　　
2、 Analysis of the trend of US crude oil
　　
　　技术面来看，由于美国部分州新例不断增加，全球经济和地缘局势动荡的加剧，限制了油价上涨。油价运行于布林带上轨与中轨之间；MACD死叉但动能较弱，且KDJ死叉。目前油价回落40关口下方，尽管日内走高，但若不能重返该关口上方，后续料进一步走低。下方支撑先简单留意布林带中轨37.09，若下破则看向布林带下轨32.64附近；强支撑位下看60Daily moving average29.13，这同时也是油价在4month3日测试的高点。上行阻力位先看向41.63，这与布林带上轨几近重合，同时也是3month9日跳空下跌以来的最高点，有较强阻力；若上破则看向200Daily moving average44.50附近。进一步阻力位留意3High point at the beginning of the month48.66And may even test2month20Daily high point54.66。
　　
　　四小时来看，MACD死叉、但绿柱持续减弱，KDJThe golden cross and index are located at60。技术面看，油价短线偏向多头，但想要进一步打开上行空间，首先要突破布林带中轨的压制。上行阻力方面，先留意布林带中轨39.44，强阻力位上看41.63，这是本周触及高点，同时也接近布林带上轨。一旦上破，将进一步打开上行空间。下行方面先留意38.23附近，强支撑下看37.00关口。进一步支撑位留意200average35.20And may even go undercover6month15Daily low point34.36。
　　
　　综合来看，鸿金认为，油价上行仍然受到关键阻力位压制，短线仍然存在回调需求，所以操作思路上周鸿金zh66646My personal suggestion is to prioritize high altitude and prioritize low altitude; The central line focuses on the daily line, the Bollinger Line, and the middle rail37.11附近支撑，该位置不失，中线看涨不变；
　　
Focus on resistance above:39.44、41.63；
　　
Focus on support below:38.23、37.11；
　　
Real time market changes, strategy for reference only, consult Zhou Hongjin for real-time entry and exit points and medium to long term layout!
　　
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
　　三、体验福利：凡是有意向咨询合作的投资朋友，便于后期合作互相信任，可凭实仓截图体验3Tian Shou Dan, you can choose whether to cooperate based on your earnings in the future! I believe this welfare is a good turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether you seize the opportunity depends on your choice.
　　
　　四、关于解ㄒ：因为周鸿金不知你的ㄒ单点位、仓位风险等具体ㄒ单情况，不能给出相应的解ㄒ策略。那么有需要的朋友可以咨询周鸿金或者关注“周鸿金”在此本人还是建议各位投资朋友以后做单不要抗单，仓位不要过重，避免下次再ㄒ，不是每次都是可以成功解ㄒ，不是每次都顺心如意，每一次的做单是应该有计划的做单，详情解ㄒ思路周鸿金将会在实盘实时在线给出，风险掌控及后续方案将会做出规划。
　　
Investment is a long-term strategy, not a day or night, so it should not be rushed. Even if you are losing money now, there is nothing to be afraid of. After all, temporary losses do not mean investment failure. As long as you choose correctly, what you have lost will come back. For investment friend Zhou Hongjin, who often gets caught up in scams, he tells you to remember the following5点禁忌：①、重仓操作。②、不带止损。③、逆势操作。④、频繁操作。⑤、心态不好操作。缘来不拒，缘走不留，茫茫人海相识成为朋友也是一种缘分。素不相识的投资朋友只因看了我的文章信任我，所以每位找到我的投资朋友我都会给予最大的帮助，让这份信任变的更有价值。希望周鸿金的文章能给你带来收获，在接下来的投资里顺风顺水。没有不成功的投资，只有不成功的操作！解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资趋势，对黄金、原油投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友，订阅“周鸿金”zh66646你给我一份信任，我还你十分财富。下半年中长线布局开始，大好机遇就在眼前，机会是留给有准备的人，周鸿金期待与你成为朋友！
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