Wednesday Beijing time(6month24day)In the early morning, the American Petroleum Institute(API)According to published data, as of6month19Day and WeekAPIIncrease in crude oil inventory174.9Ten thousand barrels, expected increase36.7Ten thousand barrels; Reduced gasoline inventory385.6Ten thousand barrels; Reduced inventory of refined oil260.5Ten thousand barrels; After the data was released, the US oil company quickly declined in the short term and closed the report40.02dollar/Barrel, decline1.74%。知名金融博客零对冲表示,API原油库存增幅大于预期,美油在数据公布后小幅走低。李昱山认为,石油需求前景不太明朗,因为一些国家的病毒病例出现了激增。美国石油协会(API)公布数据显示,上周美国原油库存增幅超预期,汽油和精炼油库存降幅超预期。APIAnnouncement, as of6month19Last week, US crude oil inventories increased174.910000 barrels to5.45Billion barrels; Reduced inventory of Cushing crude oil32.5Ten thousand barrels.APIAnnounced a decrease in gasoline inventory last week385.6Ten thousand barrels; Refined oil inventory decreased last week260.5Ten thousand barrels.APIData also shows that US crude oil imports increased last week9.710000 barrels/day
原油技术面来看,原油表现相当强势,价格已经突破前高,最高41.6,市场已经进入关键压力区。早间开盘后下跌走回调,今天强压已经上移至42Gateway,40.1这里是日内一个关键支撑位,进一步下跌关键支撑需要看至39.5Within the day39.5-40.1构筑了关键支撑范围,由于早间股市跳水带动商品下跌,加上原油进入关键压力范围,宽幅震荡整理是难免的。尽管短线原油偏多,但是经济复苏的预期可能慢于预期,同时疫情二次蔓延的风险可能会加剧这种不确定性。与此同时,随着油价持续走高可能导致部分厂商增产,加剧油市平衡的压力。李昱山认为,市场需要密切关注OPEC+此前未达标产油国的减产执行情况,尽管这些产油国近期承诺达标提振了市场的乐观情绪,但是这些产油国尚没有付出实际行动,同时如果他们持续不达标可能会加剧OPEC+内部的分歧,甚至可能导致减产协议再次破裂。综合来看,今日短线操作思路上李昱山威是lysa1918个人建议以反弹高空为主,上方重点关注41.5-42.0Resistance, key focus below38.5-38.0Support.
Analysis of Gold Market Trend:
黄金消息面:现货黄金创2012year10New high since the beginning of the month1773.2dollar/盎司,因美元走软,随着疫情打击经济前景,这刺激了黄金的避险需求。今年以来,金价上涨了近16%,受全球经济刺激措施的支撑,因黄金被视为一种对冲通胀和货币贬值风险的工具。各国的刺激浪潮不仅会引发通胀,还描绘了更加疲弱的经济图景,使黄金看起来更具吸引力。蒙特利尔银行(BMO)基本和贵金属衍生品交易主管Tai Wong指出:“目前黄金最大的敌人是其它市场是否吸引了关注和资本。”
黄金技术面分析:在6month23日美盘时间段,现货黄金价格终于突破7Since the beginning of the year1765dollar/盎司的高点,而后重新陷入高位震荡整理中,回观最近的金价走势一路震荡上行,每一次的上下破位后都是伴随着回调或者反弹,这次的破高后不排除会再回调到下方1700的支撑附近,望各位投资者需注意,切莫在高点追多,短线交易上严格设置好止盈止损,以免出现被套的结局。目前从盘面上来看日线图,四小时图,各项指标都是偏向多头运行,唯有小时图KDJ指标死叉向下运行形态,小时K线在开盘上行至1773.27后出现回调,前期的高点1765突破后形成支撑,今日短线操作李昱山个人建议可以依托此位置做多,上方先看1780dollar/盎司的阻力情况,如强势突破则可看向1800dollar/盎司。空单今日李昱山还是提醒各位谨慎参与。综合来看,短线操作思路上李昱山威是lysa1918个人建议以回调做多为主,上方短期重点关注1780-1785Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1760-1765Frontline support.
结语:下跌行情不言底,上涨行情不言顶,要善于观察并且等待机会的降临,能看懂的市场行情总是可遇不可求的,不要交易那些你无法弄懂的市场行情,也不要以为必须每个波段都进行交易。市场多数交易者都会错过70%The market situation is different in terms of the energy, market knowledge, and trading skills that each investor can control. Don't expect every profit in the market to be earned, and don't expect others to earn as much as they earn. There are always many trading opportunities that match your personality and your ability to interpret the market. Seize these and let go of other trading opportunities that are not suitable for you.