6.22黄金原油晚间多，空如何把握，黄金原油现价策略解析附解套

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Internationalgold消息面；上周的基本面市场风起云涌，中国周边乱局不断，虽然明眼人都能看出这是目前疫情下各国民粹高涨掌权者也为转移国内矛盾而导演的紧张局势，但转移矛盾的目的并不是为了战争而是让舆论和民族的视线转变给自己政治失败腾挪的时间，但在目前的经济困境下也许这样的政策将成为世界的新常态，而美国方面尽管疫情的疫苗有尽快推出的希望，但由于靓丽风景以及上周的初请失业金人数比预期又有增强，加之疫情有二次抬头的迹象，所以美股尾盘回落，金银和美元避险功能被激发尾盘拉升，投资者需继续关注这样的风险事件，本周的基本面主要关注周一22:00Sales of existing homes in the United States, following on Tuesday22:00New home sales in the United States and the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index. Follow on Wednesday22:30The United States of AmericaEIAcrude oil库存，周四关注20:30The number of initial jobless claims and durable goods orders in the United States for the current week;


Analysis of Gold Market Trend:


Long term level of the gold monthly line: For several weeks, it has been emphasized that the trend is bullish and unchanged, and prices remain in a long position above the short-term moving average. It is easy to see at a glance, just pay attention1754Dividing pressure, breaking through the station can impact1790-1800, also2011-14Top pressure during the year; In terms of gold weekly level: In the medium term, the upward channel remains bullish and unchanged. The previous week's close was positive while the previous week was negative. Last week, it was pointed out that the price will continue to rise after a short-term decline, which is generally in line with the expected judgment. Based on the1704Backdraft1745Key node resistance, breaking through this position on the station, can impact the test channel on the track1785The probability of the first line may also directly pierce the resistance of the testing lunar line1790-1800Then adjust the height and fall back.


In terms of gold daily level, it bottomed out and rose last Monday, and basically closed at a cross like level from Tuesday to ThursdayKThe pattern is that on Friday, the sun is full and the bulls are expected to win after several days of fighting. Next week, they may further break the high and rise,1745Under multiple pressures, pay attention to this position on Monday, andKIf the line closes steadily above, it will further open up upward space. If it still closes below after piercing, there will be repeated consolidation within the range; From the current situation, it is clearly biased towards breaking through the high and continuing to pull up, with the operation being mainly low this week; gold4In the short term, after several days of consolidation, we effectively broke through the triangle contraction consolidation range last Friday. We choose to break through upwards and rely on the breakthrough point to retest next week1738Continue to be bullish on dips, focus on short-term resistance1753、1765Strong pressure refers to weekly and monthly pressure1785、1790-1800； For this diagram, only pay attention to the position of the upper track of the channel. Currently, if there is pressure to support and the support remains unbreakable, then maintain a low level mentality,K线上连阳一路开始上涨，慢涨之后一般有加速上拉动作，注意进一步的突破上行风险；综合来看，今日短线操作思路上王今博个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1760-64Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1742-1738Frontline support. The operation suggestions in the article are for reference only. Specific suggestions are given at the current price of the actual offer. Friends who are not ideal in operation or cannot grasp the market direction can add guidancevYour words:wjb9393Obtaining guidance quota


　　原油消息面分析：国际能源署（IEA）It is predicted that global inventory is expected to rapidly decrease in the next six months, and theoretically,2021Each quarter of the year will decrease;IEAestimate6Monthly global oil production will decrease to864010000 barrels/Day, create2010The lowest level since the beginning of the year. Baker Hughes, an American oilfield technology service company19The data released on the day also shows that the number of active oil drilling rigs in the United States during the week was189Number, decreasing month on month10Continuous14The circumferential ratio has decreased. These news are all positive for oil prices; As of the close of the day, the New York Mercantile Exchange7Monthly delivery of light crude oilfuturesrise in price0.91USD, closing at per barrel39.75USD, up by2.34%。8London Brent crude oil futures for monthly delivery have risen in price0.68USD, closing at per barrel42.19USD, up by1.64%。


　　原油技术面分析；原油震荡反弹，KDJ金叉随机指标向上发散；MACD死叉绿色能量柱缩减，指示原油多头强势，接下来有望继续上行。油价K线连阳低点上移，收复了上周的跌势。不过由于布林带收口，下方首先我们需要关注的点位仍然在布林带中轨35.7附近支撑，连续多次未能破并反弹。再加上消息面利多的影响，证明该位置较强，后市还是偏上行，上方重点还是关注40.4The pressure level at which the resistance is broken is expected to continue to strengthen, and further resistance is expected to41.0附近，破位该位置阻力，则中线增加看涨信号。王今博目前从4小时来看，低点震荡反弹；KDJThe golden cross random index is upward;MACDThe golden forked red energy pillar expands, and the opening of the Bollinger belt faces upwards,5Daily moving average10The daily moving average gold cross continues to rise, indicating that oil prices are expected to continue to rebound. Preliminary resistance above40.4Pass, followed by41.4Near the high point, breaking through the resistance at that position increases the bullish signal; Move the lower low point up,5日均线形成短线支撑逐步上移；综合来看，由于油价上方前高40.4区域依然有明显的压力，所以还是等待破位再继续参与多单，不然还是有回调的需求。综合来看，今日操作短线思路上王今博个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方关注40.5-41One line of resistance, pay attention below39.5-39Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【wjb9393】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.


　　今博寄语：


To continue to thrive in this market for a long time, it is necessary to have a complete trading system, including position skills, risk control, and technical systems. This way, in a volatile market, it can provide you with clear guidance, even if the profit is small, it is easy and there is a sense of achievement;In a unilateral market, it can make you have a trend in your mind. If you see it right, strive for maximum profit. However, when you see it wrong, you can control the risk and objectively adjust your thinking to turn losses into profits, instead of blindly and subjectively sticking to your own thinking, blindly increasing positions in reverse orders, and placing positions on the edge of risk. I have posted these things countless times. I have been talking so much, but I just want to change everyone's traditional views, habits, and mentality. Remember that for order makers, technology is not important at all, and habits and principles are the most important!王今博会从基础技术指标、行情趋势、做单方案、投资心理等全面系统地帮你解答


This article is written by Wang Jinbo (WeChat:wjb9393---Official account: Wang Jinbo), I interpret the world economic news, analyze the global investment trend, and have in-depth research on crude oil, gold, silver and other bulk commodities. Due to the delay of online push, the above content is personal advice, and because the online posting is timely, it is only for reference, and the risk is borne by myself. Please indicate the source for reprinting