郭禹缘：下周黄金原油实时指导，行情走势分析策略

Preface: Many friends ask me, why do I have to find a teacher? I can tell friends that a good teacher can not only provide real-time guidance, but also help you analyze the entire market more thoroughly. There's actually no need to operate a lot in a day, just keep an eye on the market1reach2次即可，人又轻松，又不用熬夜，稳健的盈利，这不就是你们想要的吗？白天正常的工作，晚上有时间有行情时顺势操作一波，然后就去休息，很轻松的一件事情，开心的赚钱，正常的生活，很好很完美，但最近总有些投资者跟郭老师诉苦，说每天都是熬夜、通宵，最后还是亏损的血本无归，郭禹缘也很无奈，这种情况我也不知道怎么去评说，相信各位心里也有数！郭禹缘也不想随意的去评价任何人，只想做好我自己。
　　
Beautycrude oilFundamentals:
　　
　　当下原油市场目前聚焦于未达标产油国对于减产的表述，OPEC+举行了部长级监督委员会会议。一直无法实现减产承诺的伊拉克表示，其将在7月份全面实施减产，并就如何弥补5月份未能达到的减产目标细节达成了协议。而与伊拉克一同表态的还有哈萨克斯坦。在此消息的影响下，原油目前重启涨势日内油价已经突破40The US dollar barrier.
　　
　　但是，目前石油市场仍很脆弱，库存大量过剩，第二波疫情爆发的威胁令油价涨幅受限。当下全球经济虽然已有了复苏的迹象，但由于疫情存在二次爆发的风险，美国新增确诊人数迟迟下不来，经济复苏受到疫情影响不确定性加大，因此原油需求可能无法达到市场预期，但投资者也无需过度悲观，随着美国政府新一轮的经济法案正在实施，预期会对原油市场形成一定的缓冲。
　　
Analysis of the trend of US crude oil market:
　　
　　从日线来看，震荡上涨；KDJGolden cross, random indicator with a tick up,MACDThe golden fork continues and the red energy column remains stable. Currently, the Bollinger Belt has three upward lines and the moving average is long, indicating that the strength of crude oil withdrawal is not strong, and it is expected to continue to rise in the future;KThe continuous low point of the line has moved up, reversing this week's decline. The first point we need to pay attention to below is still on the middle track of the Bollinger Belt35.7Nearby support, which has failed to break and rebound multiple times in a row, coupled with the impact of positive news, proves that the position is strong and will continue to move upwards in the future; The focus above is still on attention40.5的压力位，破位该位置阻力将继续上行。
　　
From4From an hourly perspective, high and narrow amplitude oscillations;KDJLow level golden cross random indicator turning head upwards;MACDThe red energy pillar of the golden fork remains stable, and currently the Bollinger Belt is turning upwards, indicating that crude oil is leaning towards a fluctuating upward trend; Crude oil belongs to the recent band adjustment, which has been mentioned multiple times. There is no market that only falls but does not rise, and the trend always passes through repeated cycles. No matter how the trend changes, the overall direction remains unchanged. Bullish adjustment is our main idea, and the current market has once again strongly pulled up and broken through daily highs40.5，否则我们不能随意的进行高空的思路。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加郭禹缘获得指导名额。郭老师综合来看，下周一操作思路上郭禹缘个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注40.5-41.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below38.0-37.5Frontline support.
　　
　　无论行情暴涨，暴跌，单边还是震荡，你是不是总是没把握住？就是所谓的一买就跌，一跌就割，一割就涨，一涨就追，一追又套，一套再割，这就像一个死套。资金不断的缩水，过程一直在循环。如果你处在这样的循环中，请停下来好好想想，总结一下经验和教训，整装再发。郭禹缘一直都说，我不是神，也会有错误，但是虽不能保证你单单都盈利，却会用认真负责的态度，精准的点位判断，稳健的做单方式来保证你整体长期获利。
　　
　　伦敦金基本面：
　　
　　gold行情围绕着疫情波动加剧，盘中一度刷新一周高点至1745美元，但是随着亚洲部分地区出现疫情好转的消息，昨日叠加美国初请失业金人数连续11周下滑，黄金较日高回落20美元。郭禹缘认为全球抗疫局势依旧严峻，在疫苗出现之前，任何好转的消息对于金价的打压有限，郭禹缘预计黄金仍交投于震荡区间。
　　
　　另一方面随着美国疫情二次爆发的风险增加，新增确诊人数迟迟下不来，美国经济复苏未达市场预期，对黄金形成支撑。郭禹缘个人预测全球经济可能会进一步下滑，此前IMF曾预期全球经济可能会下滑3%，此次最新预测可能会达到-5%，而美国经济可能会进一步下滑7%。
　　
　　伦敦金行情走势分析：
　　
　　从技术面来看，震荡的行情我们只需要看好区间就好，不能按照之前的极强极弱思路去对待，不然就是刀切豆腐两面光。其实震荡行情也是有方向可言，这需要我们细思极恐的去判断，目前低点不断上移，而高点也是在不断的虚破当中，这就是一个典型的看涨走势，虽然说均线方面表现的不是很理想，周线上MA5形成抬头之势，多头将随时间而慢慢走强，日线均线方面也是一样。目前前期的高点是1754目前依然没有冲破，下周不要过分看多，关注下双休的黄金消息面。
　　
From4小时走势来看，4小时三连阳，价格依托布林中轨上方运行，短期4小时需要重点关注1754阻力位，这里突破的话，金价必然一飞冲天，受阻的话，必然有一波小幅回撤，所以下周初暂时关注1726-1755区间整理，目前4Hourly short-term moving average indicatorMA5Clearly wornMA10The daily moving average is located at0轴上方运行，配合指标MACD金叉放量，下周一四小时看好震荡上行走势。有套单的朋友还请尽快处理，不知所措没有思路的朋友也可以私聊笔者寻求帮助。郭老师综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上郭禹缘个人建议以回调低多为主，上方短期重点关注1750-55Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1731-1726Frontline support.
　　
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