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goldTechnical analysis:
This week, gold has been a tumultuous week, with almost every day being a positive oneVAnd invertedVDue to poor entry points, it is easy to be punctured and damaged, and even return to the expected target level. Since the release of non agricultural data, although there has been continuous turmoil in the United States and geopolitical risks have increased, the price of gold has remained stagnant and has been consistently increasing1725The US dollar is on the central axis and remains neutral, with not much fluctuation. Yesterday, there was still no escape from the shock, and early morning gold was in the1730Narrow range fluctuations below, with a sudden abnormal rise in the European market during the trading period, quickly measuring pressure to1737After being nearby, it quickly fell and fell in one breath17The trend of the US dollar, such as this, is all shocking, and subsequently the market remained fluctuating in the range, with the daily line once again closing with a cross star.4When the hour passed, the pressure on the track on Bollinger Road fell back, and Bollinger Road began to close,1The hourly chart temporarily entered a local oscillation,KThe line passivation has no obvious unilateral effect. After yesterday's surge, an upper shadow line was left behind. Today's weekly closing, the oscillation was still observed before the triangle broke, We can only sell high and buy low within the triangle, and tend to move back and lower in the short term, breaking through in the second time1737高点前,此位形成短期空头防守点。所以综合分析操作上周文军建议高空低多操作即可,上方关注1735-1740One line of resistance, pay attention below1715-1710Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【zwj964646】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.
crude oilMessage surface parsing:
原油价格上涨,石油输出国组织(OPEC)产油国及其盟友誓言遵守减产承诺,且有两家大型石油贸易商称需求在强劲复苏,给油价提供支撑;伊拉克和哈萨克斯坦计划进一步减产以弥补5月未完全遵守减产的做法支撑了油市。该承诺是在OPEC+的联合部长级监督委员会(JMMC)会议上做出的。即便OPEC+不把减产举措延长至7月以后,如果在履约方面落后的产油国确实回调过去三个月的过量生产,实际也会减低市场过剩供应。周文军表示,全球石油交易商维多和托克(Trafigura)评论称6月石油需求反弹,这也支持油市。但周五成交量较低,CMC MarketsChief AnalystMichael McCarthy称,这意味着大涨的背后缺乏信心。技术面看,他指出美国原油在40-41美元之间面临强劲阻力。周文军认为,油价在该水平将促使更多美国产油商重启关闭的油井。McCarthy说,“这不利于积极的多头交易”。
Technical analysis of crude oil:
原油日线震荡反弹,KDJ金叉随机指标向上发散;MACD死叉绿色能量柱缩减,指示原油多头强势,接下来有望继续上行。油价K线连阳低点上移,收复了本周的跌势。不过由于布林带收口,下方首先我们需要关注的点位仍然在布林带中轨35.7附近支撑,连续多次未能破并反弹。4From an hourly perspective: low point oscillation rebound;KDJThe golden cross random index is upward;MACDThe golden forked red energy pillar expands, and the opening of the Bollinger belt faces upwards,5Daily moving average10日均线金叉延续向上,指示油价有望继续反弹。所以综合分析操作上周文军低位做多为主,上方关注40.5-41.0One line of resistance, pay attention below37.5-38.0Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【zwj964646】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.
——黄金原油被套频繁亏损最直接的原因——
1.Likes to buy at the bottom but doesn't know how to buy at the bottom, especially at historically low prices. Seeing that my own costs are lower than others, my heart is filled with joy. But I didn't expect that since the price has hit a historic low, there may be many new lows to come. It was supposed to be the market's last chance for you to make an appearance, but you went against the trend and even had your account funds cut in half within a week. I don't know how to copy the bottom and end up copying myself.
2.Not willing to stop loss: There are actually many articles related to this issue online, and talking too much doesn't make much sense. It can only be said that if you lose more, you will know the importance of stop loss. Some retail investors see that after a stop loss, the gold price rises again within a few days. "Next time, they will have a lucky mentality and stop cutting losses, which is obviously not feasible." Cut off losses and let profits run "is a wise saying. But then again, if you don't have your own profit model, your outcome is to buy, stop loss, buy again and stop loss, which is meaningless, and eventually slowly grind down your capital.
3.Don't dare to chase high: Many retail investors have a fear of heights, thinking that once the gold price rises, they will be trapped in chasing after it. What should they do? Perhaps you think this is chasing the rise and killing the fall, but I can tell you that the trend of the market is not directly related to the high or low price of gold. The key to whether to chase after the rise and kill the fall lies in looking at the "trend", which is precisely because our retail investors do not have enough control over the trend, so they mistakenly think that chasing after the rise and killing the fall. The safety of intervening after the formation of an upward trend is very high, and in the short term, there is actually a lot of profit. The core issue is how to determine whether the upward trend has formed, which has different standards in different market environments. If you lack the ability to control trends, it is recommended that you do not blindly operate alone. Learning or teacher guidance are both good choices.
4.Countering the trend and resisting orders: Operation against the market-If the direction is reversed, resist; Resisting losses intensifies; If it really doesn't work, stop loss; The direction of the stop loss has returned, or when the market rises, it falls; when buying, it rises, and it can never keep up with the rhythm.
5.Frequent operation: Frequent operation-无论单子理不理想,“负责任”的老师一个劲儿的给你做思想工作,说什么这个单子必赚无疑,不甘心的你听之任之,结果亏得灰头土脸,“不负责任”的老师可能找各种借口不给实时指导,给个区间让你来回操作即可,这我就搞不懂了,仓位是自己的,自己不知道控制?难道要等到爆仓才幻想着有没有后悔药吃?
后可凭实仓截图体验3Tianshou order, you can choose whether to cooperate based on the income in the future! I believe this welfare is a great turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether the opportunity is firmly established depends on your choice.
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))
全方位指导老师:周文军分析团队
撰稿人:周文军
Guide WeChat(zwj964646)
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