Wen Jun discusses the market 6.18黄金原油最新行情走势分析及多空策略操作建议指导

周文军跟朋友们交流止损的问题的时候，经常会听到投资者说到每当设了止损后，老是扫了止损后行情就马上反转，确实是在支撑位或者阻力位做单，而且止损也设在支撑位与阻力位之上或者之下，本来方向做的是对的，但是行情偏偏要扫了你的止损然后就往你本来做对的方向走，这样的事情确实让人头疼。有时候确实是不带止损做单很多时候可以避免被扫损，然后转亏为盈，但是习惯了之后你不会每次都会转亏为盈，绝对会有被套的时候，你们可以想下被套的滋味好还是扫损的滋味好，被套了搞不好让你的净值越来越少不说，而且还影响你做单，一直套着扰乱你生活晚上也睡不着。
　　
　　-----gold今日行情解析-----
　　
Wednesday(6month17day)During the Asian period, the US dollar index hovered around97Near the checkpoint, commodity currencies are under collective pressure, and geopolitical tensions in the Asian region are fermenting within the day. Asian stock markets are also under pressure. In addition, investors are also worried about the outbreak of the second epidemic, and commodity currencies are further moving away from the high point of a week ago. The US dollar further fluctuated against the Japanese yen as international geopolitical risks provided renewed support for safe haven yen. Despite the overnight surge in US stocks, Asian stock markets were under pressure today, while Japan5The monthly decline in exports expanded. At a time when the COVID-19 led to a decline in trade, exports to the United States fell by half. Spot gold has fallen into a narrow range of volatility, and due to the tense geopolitical situation, Asian stock markets have been under pressure, providing some support for gold. Mei Oil plummeted at one point3%，受美国crude oil库存增加以及围绕可能出现第二波新冠疫情的担忧拖累。
　　
From a daily perspective, the gold daily level closing line is a small bullish cross star, with a closing band and a sticky moving average. Therefore, the gold outlook is not very clear and is in a range of fluctuations. Gold is touching1704There was a wave of upward movement after the position was reached, and it happened to be delivered1745-1704Retreat position%76.4position1732. Yesterday, gold was1733-1716The range fluctuates and hovers, with the moving average sticking together and a probability of retracement if the high point does not break. Short term bullish and bearish gold are evenly matched, with range pressure1732Further strong resistance from above1737But I expect the probability of further increase in the short term to be extremely low. from4From an hourly perspective,4On an hourly basis, the following day, gold began a volatile decline and staged a rebound after reaching a new low. In the short term, it broke through the middle track and fell back, still running below the middle track. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are in a flat period,MA5The daily line is about to communicate withMA10Helical shaped golden fork,KDJRandom indicator three lines up, reaching overbought,MACDThe green kinetic energy column of the indicator continues to shrink, with the fast and slow lines parallel forward. Gold is currently operating below the mid rail and is hindered by1735关口位置，仍有冲击的可能性，但当前技术面到顶，短期内面临回撤。综合来看操作上张周文军建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅。上方重点关注1730-33Frontline resistance, focus on below1710-13Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operational strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance and communication【zwj964646】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.
　　
　　-----Analysis of Today's Crude Oil Market-----
　　
Wednesday6month17Japan International Energy Agency(IEA)Up regulation2020Estimated annual oil demand, and the United States5Record monthly retail sales growth, according to shipping data and industry sources, Iraq6Month to date oil exports have declined8%Or daily30Ten thousand barrels, indicating that this Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)The second largest oil producing country is closer to fulfilling its commitment to production reduction agreements. However, oil prices were also weighed down by the increase in US crude oil stocks and concerns about the possibility of a second wave of COVID-19. Last week in the United StatesAPIMore than expected increase in crude oil inventory385.7Ten thousand barrels, unexpected increase in gasoline inventory426.7万桶。张周文军认为，全世界似乎不可避免发生病例小幅上升和局部爆发案例。鉴于全球刚萌芽的复苏还很脆弱，油市可能需要一些时间才能对相关消息不那么敏感。受美国经济复苏与战胜疫情希望的推动，日内美油回升至38dollar/Above the bucket; However, due to the impact of weather on the Gulf Coast region, production has declined and imports have decreased, leading to an expected decrease in crude oil inventories in the market;APICrude oil inventories have unexpectedly increased, and refined oil storage has also experienced continuous growth11An increase in weeks; The lifting of partial lockdown measures has had a partial impact on gasoline consumption, but has not yet had a direct impact on industrial diesel demand.
　　
At present, international crude oil is striving to maintain the upward trend of the previous day's income, and oil producing countries are further reducing their crude oil supply. After the weekly bullish streak, the closing candlestick briefly entered a correction, targeting a correction in the bottom-up trend. The second daily high detection40.0承压回落，上周五伴随横向整理时间的拉锯震荡，但最终收盘依旧在低位。目前仍处于蓄势阶段，短线或许有一定空间的回踩确认。周文军4From an hourly perspective, there was a small bullish rebound correction after a consecutive bearish correction. Reverse drawing confirmation to break through the low point37.8Be hindered and then fall back close to the low point.1The adjustment pattern of small double height is continuing. After confirming the neckline, the pressure is on again, and in the short term, we will continue to look for a pullback. And the neckline37.5This is the critical point for early week retesting, and below this level, we will continue to observe short-term correction. Of course, the pullback is oscillatory, combined with resistance pressure falling back, while the support rebounds and crude oil rebounds4From an hourly perspective, the low rebound,KDJGolden cross, random index divergence upwards,MACD在零轴下方结成金叉，红色能量柱扩大放量，指示原油涨势得到延续，接下来有望继续上攻，所以综合分析操作上张周文军建议低位做多为主，上方关注38.5-39One line of resistance, pay attention below36-36.5Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operational strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance and communication【zwj964646】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.
　　
Investing in gold and crude oil, you must know!
　　
　　1Reasonably control the position. The essence of making money through trading is to make money through compound interest, not through explosive profits. Everyone has different ideas about the model of making money through compound interest, and they can summarize it in practice. Here's a mnemonic for everyone: light storage and small quantity, go with the flow;Little water flows long, little makes many.
　　
　　2Always bring a stop loss. To combine the stop loss position with one's own position adjustment, and also with one's own operating cycle. If doing a midline operation, the stop loss will be slightly enlarged, generally10-15Point around. Perform short-term operations, average stop loss level4Point around. To divide the invested funds into3One opening trial order, and two additional orders to be added midway. In the specific operation process, it is necessary to use a small amount of funds, make appropriate short-term transfers, and not cover it all at once. We need to combine technical stop loss with financial stop loss.
　　
　　3、顺势而为，切忌逆势操作。每当市场上演逼空行情或杀多行情都会打爆很多人的帐户。究其原因就是一味地死多或死空，不会灵活应变，顺势调整。而且越错越加码，加死码，幻想有一天价格回头，能够反败为胜。结果没有等到反败为胜那一天，“子弹”早早打光，死在半途当中。
　　
The market has neither bulls nor bears, only slippery ones can survive in the long run. In such situations, investors need to strengthen their learning, practice hard, and improve their technical analysis skills. Improve one's psychological quality, strengthen mental training, and strive to achieve the unity of knowledge and action.
　　
Without much ado, risk control must be done well in the operation. The market is constantly changing, and trading also needs to be flexible and controlled. Pay attention to every support and resistance in the market, as it may become the driving force for market continuation or reversal!
　　
Message: Strictly stop profit and loss, strictly grasp the position, and strictly prohibit heavy position operations! To make a market, first look at the trend, then at the point, and finally at the time. What we emphasize is understanding and observing the market situation. Regardless of whether the operation is right or wrong, there must be a reason for the operation. Reasonable operation, whether right or wrong, requires timely review, which is the true investment. Otherwise, it will only becomeduBo. We make stable profits, seize opportunities, make steady profits, control positions, and do a good job in a virtuous cycle of investment. Remember not to make orders with emotions! Any investment related issues can be discussed together. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.
　　
　　本文由张周文军（微信：zwj964646---公众号：张周文军）供稿，多年黄金、原油、foreign exchangePractical experience, as a contributor to major financial websites, focusing on investment concepts, trend analysis, risk control, and other fields, with unique insights into market trends. The operation suggestions are for reference only and do not serve as a basis for placing orders. The specific operation is subject to the actual offer.
　　
　　后可凭实仓截图体验3Tianshou order, you can choose whether to cooperate based on the income in the future! I believe this welfare is a great turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether the opportunity is firmly established depends on your choice.
　　
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　　全方位指导老师：周文军分析团队
　　
　　撰稿人：周文军
　　
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Author's message: May you and I start with words, adapt to character, fall into technical difficulties, persist in kindness, and finally have character.