Chen Zhaoxi6.18黄金原油还会跌吗？黄金原油今日如何操作建议

　　投资最重要之一是心态的调整，一个好的心态是成功的关键。大多数投资者在亏损的时候心态自乱阵脚，无论是投资还是人生最难宁可贵的莫过于冷静，这时候自乱阵脚不知所措，盲目问老师，操作失当。成功的投资者在任何时候要保持冷静，不动如山，运筹帷幄。投资心态很重要，亏损的时候更重要。市场不可能怜悯和同情任何人，很多时候，获利的机会近在咫尺，可愁肠百转、牵肠挂肚的却是以前不理想的画面，不要和市场谈恋爱，做错了或错过了，要懂得去总结经验和学习，而不是沉迷于过去。




　　goldMarket trend analysis




　　消息面分析：隔夜美国零售销售大好，黄金一度承压，美国经济重启的势头不减，隔夜美股也大涨。但亚洲地区的地缘局势紧张升级，令国内金银T+D纷纷走高，白银T+D表现更强势，因对经济复苏的信心更加充足，但鲍威尔表示，美国经济复苏的时间和强度面临严重不确定性。过去数周市场的震荡格局较为明显，由于没有一锤定音的消息或者数据来推动走势，因此行情略显疲态。投资者可能需要更多耐心才能把握到下一阶段的方向。同时还需要关注抗疫药物的进展，尽管此前类似的消息层出不穷，但是如果确实取得了突破性进展可能会大幅施压金价。




　　技术面分析；黄金日线来看：布林带三轨走平，近期整体在布林带轨道1650-1690宽幅震荡；KDJ高位超买有结成死叉迹象，随机指标高位承压拐头向下；MACD在零轴上方，双线粘合，绿色能量柱初显，指示黄金上方涨势不足，结下来有望展开回撤之势；下方关注本周低点1700Support, followed by1690布林带下轨一线支撑，破位该位置，则中线增加看空信号；由于布林带走平，近期没有大的消息面影响，黄金还是难以形成单边模式，黄金1小时来看：高位压制下跌；KDJ死叉随机指标向下发散；MACD死叉延续绿色能量柱放量，指示黄金上涨不足，接下来有望扩大回撤之势；下方先留意1710短线支撑。陈召锡从短线来看目前黄金相对看还是比较偏弱，再度反弹的可能性也不能排除，因为近期消息面反复无常，多空都未能延续，所以在没有破位1700-1735短线区间的话，还是震荡行情，由于上方1740-44区域属于强阻力区域，该区域如果不上破，金价仍然面临回落的较大风险。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议高空低多操作即可，上方关注1735-1737One line of resistance, pay attention below1712-1710一线支撑，行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略，可直接添加本人一对一指导交流微信【czxi000】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




　　crude oilMarket trend analysis




　　技术面分析；受美国原油库存增加以及围绕可能出现第二波卫生事件的担忧拖累。美国石油协会(API)北京时间周三凌晨公布的数据显示，上周美国原油库存意外增加390Ten thousand barrels, unexpected increase in gasoline inventory430万桶。引发市场忧心供应高企，给原油带来下行压力。陈召锡认为，鉴于全球刚萌芽的复苏还很脆弱，油市可能需要一些时间才能对相关消息不那么敏感。但美国原油库存增加以及围绕可能出现第二波新冠疫情的担忧拖累，料强化了供过于求的前景。原油也受美国原油库存增加以及围绕可能出现第二波新冠疫情的担忧拖累。上周美国APIMore than expected increase in crude oil inventory385.7Ten thousand barrels, unexpected increase in gasoline inventory426.7万桶，陈召锡认为全世界似乎不可避免发生病例小幅上升和局部爆发案例。鉴于全球刚萌芽的复苏还很脆弱，油市可能需要一些时间才能对相关消息不那么敏感。




　　技术面分析；目前原油震荡上行走势，原油上行在40关口下方遇阻，日线MACDandKDJ死叉运行，原油上涨动能明显减弱，短线需要警惕震荡回落的风险；5Daily moving average37.27This is the initial support below, and further support is needed20Daily moving average36.2附近，若下破该位置，则削弱后市看涨信号；布林线中轨支撑在34.83附近，若失守该位置则增加短线看空信号；不过陈召锡认为由于中国需求恢复较好，同时印度需求于5Significant repair and upregulation in the month2020Annual global demand5010000 barrels/天。此外，美国5Monthly retail data surged month on month17.7%，这都为原油提供一定支撑；且KDJ也即将结成金叉，若原油坚守20日均线附近支撑，则后市仍然偏向震荡上行；所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议低多为主，高空为辅，上方关注38.8-39One line of resistance, pay attention below36.5-36.7一线支撑，行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略，可直接添加本人一对一指导交流微信【czxi000】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




　　黄金投资被套，如何快速解套？




　　（1）Lock in position and price difference method: After being covered, it indicates that our judgment direction is wrong. The market and our prices in the opposite direction are moving, and when they rebound or fall to a certain height, it is estimated that they will reach a short-term high. We need to continuously increase the funds in the lock in position to ensure that the lock in position is greater than the position in the lock in position. By using this technique of taking advantage of the situation to increase the price difference earned by locking orders, and finally waiting for the total funds to make up for the loss, completing the removal of the bedding and making a profit, and then selling all of it?




　　（2）Bottom adding method: After being covered, one should be patient and dare to lock in the position, because of the characteristics of the product, some prices and bottom signals may appear, especially in large cycles such as the weekly chartKWhen there is a rebound signal or a bottom signal on the line, it will be very stable. As long as there is a bottom signal in the large cycle, it is necessary to boldly unwind, buy continuously on dips, increase positions, and once the large cycle rebounds, it can be resolved.




　　（3）降低均价法：被套后，如果是套在相对历史低点，就不用担心，因为黄金本身的价值决定了黄金不可能出现较大跌幅，必然会有反弹的空间，这个时候要不断的逢低加仓买入，逢低15%Increase the position once and lower the average price, so that when gold experiences a rebound, it can be eliminated. This technique is also known as the pyramid method.




　　（4）Single stop loss method: When you feel that your direction and trend are wrong and there are really no opportunities left, choose a certain rebound space for single stop loss. The gold market is very large on one side, especially when the opposite direction of high or low orders is trapped, you need to make a decisive single stop loss. Single stop loss is the most effective solution technique, because you can redo the order and ensure the principal.




　　陈召锡做单原则都是以压力、支撑为准，高空低多、以震荡极限为防守，不贪、不恋；注意方向，选择关键点，关键不破或不过，就是震荡，不猜测、不犹豫。以稳健为前提来布局！提醒各位，所有单子只要被套、方向做反，就一定不要盲目抗单。与行情对堵、盲目抗单，只会造成自己更大的亏损，从而无法挽回。一定要记住自己做投资的初衷：小亏大赚，稳健获利，积小胜为大胜！一旦产生亏损，要及时总结原因出现在哪里，要让亏损的资金产生他的价值，如果你在投资路上遇到了困扰，经常做错方向和进出点位把控不好的朋友，可和笔者一起交流，这样可以避免不必要的损失。



Wen/Chen Zhaoxi