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市场是多棱镜,不同的角度,看到不同的结果。同一时间有人看空,有人看多,才会产生博弈。但总有一个方向是错的,当大部分人都看好一个方向的时候,很可能大部分人都错了。失去的机会已时过境迁,无需纠结。你认为的机会也许一文不值,你认为没有价值的东西或许最终改变你。繁华三千,看淡即是云烟;烦恼无数,想开就是晴天。带着盈利的心态才能做出盈利的交易,机会就在思想的拐角处出现。只要信念还在,希望之光就会驱散绝望之云。交易如同攀爬,只有登上绝顶,才能享受奇观胜景;若遇难而退,中途放弃,只会于机会擦肩而过,在交易中,最重要的就是要敢于出手,面对机会,果断出击,这样才不至于错失机会,追悔莫及。彩虹总在风雨后,人面对的最强大的敌人是自己,很多时候是迷失在自我设置的障碍里无法自拔,突破自我,才能掌控人生。正确分析失败的原因,及时补救,方能扭亏为盈。磨练心智,提高交易技巧,磨刀不误砍柴工,没时间学习,就没有机会成功。周金瑞指导微信(zjr5857)!
goldMarket trend analysis
尽管经济逐渐放开的希望提振市场风险偏好,一度令美股反弹、美元与美债收益率走高,令金价承压,但对疫情二次爆发的担忧仍令上周金价收涨。与此同时,美联储暗示疫情或对经济造成永久伤害,同时承诺将继续购买资产,强化了市场对于美联储持续宽松的预期,因此美元跌至3个月新低,推动黄金刷新逾一周高点。整个市场又迎来了巨大震荡,美股出现了3月中旬以来最大单日跌幅,差一点又要熔断,黄金市场则在冲高后回落,再一次受到股市拖累。凯投宏观大宗商品经济学家表示,由于中短期通胀预期仍将低迷,这是看空黄金的一大理由。关注公众号“周金瑞”即可实时获得最新的操作建议、欢迎来询!
黄金日线顶点在1743/1745附近,这个点位试探了很多次,但一直没有破位,有很良好的压制表现,还是技术要领,压制点位下看震荡回落,因此,这种走势不要看极强极弱,而是看震荡。4小时图来看,更加明显的是H4周期布林高点压制下,目前H4收大阴,因此弱势会延续,日内低点在1722,金价有可能会继续试探,小周期布林收口也是这样的表现,关于本周的操作,周金瑞提醒,黄金趋势明显看持续慢跌,力度不大看均线支撑1726,力度过大看日内低点1722,整体形成先涨后跌的走势。如果黄金在处于1722下方,那么黄金表现弱势还是可见1700低点,反之,则还是在高位上下盘整。综合来说,周金瑞认为只要1745and1720区间不突破的情况下就守上下,高空低多跟随,一旦突破则调整出局看区间延伸。若是破位了1720支撑位,那么行情将会是一路下跌的趋势,反之黄金反弹冲击前压制点1745成功破位,行情将会迎来一波春天。综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上周金瑞个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1737-1742Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1715-1710Frontline support. Everyone who is trading wants to make a profit, which is beyond doubt, but the premise is that you need to find the right direction. If you need help, please follow Zhou Jinrui's official guidance on WeChat(zjr5857)Get real-time guidance. Welcome to inquire!
crude oilMarket trend analysis
油价终结连续六周的上涨步伐,美油油价跌逾6%,在美联储警告新冠疫情对经济造成长期损害之后,市场情绪恶化;此外,对第二波疫情的担忧有可能破坏需求恢复。尽管在OPEC+减产的支持下,油价已从4月创纪录的零下水平回升,但市场基本上没有理会该联盟最近延长减产的举措。PVM Oil Associates分析师表示,过去24小时证明了低估新冠疫情经济后果以及新封锁威胁的危险性,这不是市场第一次为自满付出代价,也不会是最后一次。石油市场最大的ETF之一在周四遭遇创纪录的赎回,可能也增加了原油压力;根据申报文件,WisdomTreeofWTIcrude oilETF遭遇超过1.28亿美元的资金流出。高级分析师表示,油市正处于十字路口。如果需求继续改善,石油市场还有很大的上行空间,如果出现新冠疫情导致我们走回头路的状况,市场就会下跌。
原油从日线上来看,下探回升收复失地,日图重新转阳收盘。基本上将前一交易日的回踩空间收复,技术面则是守住假性双高颈线34.70之上走反弹日线布林线轨道开口向上,油价仍然承压于布林线上轨,MACDGold forks but red can start to shrink, yesKDJ三线粘合且运行在超买区域,油价上行受到一定阻力,短线需要警惕筑顶回调的风险。日线上价格破位两个支撑位,目前将价格拉入震荡的节奏中,当前基本面没有更多利好原油的消息,不排除短期见顶的趋势,技术面上回调节奏已经开始,均线度处于空头震荡排列。从4From an hourly perspective,4小时震荡反弹,布林带走平,KDJGolden cross, continuation of random indicators,MACDDead cross, green energy column reduced, moving average arranged in a bullish pattern, indicating strong bullish crude oil, which is expected to be explored in the future37.8布林带上轨阻力位;油价自底部上涨以来,中途回调修正的空间相对较小,基本上都是横向上涨整理为主。下行方面,先留意34.7支撑附近,这受布林带中轨支撑;若跌破,下看33.5一线支撑附近,这在前期多次被测试位,有一定支撑性。综合来看,今日原油短线操作思路上周金瑞个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注39.0-39.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below36.5-35.9Frontline support. Real time changes in inter market prices: specific operations for gold, crude oil, trend analysis, operational suggestions, and unwinding. [Zhou Jinrui Official WeChat:(zjr5857)The final offer is subject to confirmation. Welcome to inquire.
There are sayings in military books about "going back to war" and "completing one battle", and there are many successful cases, but contingency does not necessarily mean inevitability. In fact, putting soldiers on the brink of death is just a form of gambling, which occasionally works and often violates military taboos. Although Zhuge Liang's "empty city strategy" cleverly retreated the enemy soldiers, Sima Yi was also frightened into a cold sweat after leaving. During World War II, when Hitler opened up two fronts, east and west, and threw all his reserve forces into battle, it was also the day when he approached complete collapse. The investment market is also like a battlefield, and investment is like a war. When you cut off your own path and step forward, don't forget that the praying mantis is catching cicadas, and the yellow sparrow is behind. It is not only necessary but also necessary to be vigilant in times of peace, deploy troops, use funds reasonably, and scientifically control positions.
建立基本面变动模型,研判市场情绪变化,用以判断趋势。十余年锤炼的技术分析研判短线细节。对汇市、金市、油市、股市、债市等全球主要金融市场都有深入而独特的见解。本文由周金瑞撰写,用心写好每一段分析,传递有价值的投资理念。希望价有所值,值有所得;由于文章策略具有延时性;咨询周金瑞(zjr5857) Obtain the latest real-time market analysis. |
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