Chen Zhaoxi6.11原油晚间走势分析，黄金原油操作建议策略

　　心态很重要.每一个做现货的朋友都应该能理解心态的重要.记得有句话叫做"希望越大,失望越大",千万不能对它抱有太大的希望,只有以平和的心态去面对银市的风起云涌,你才能从中获得一定的盈利.交易市场是一个充满诱惑的地方,一旦你把控不住自己的贪念,大量亏损就会随之而来.这也就是为什么很多人能在模拟盘上做出惊人的"profit",而在实盘上却"满盘皆输"的原因.所以你想在保证成本资金不受损害,利润又能有所上升的话,就千万不要冲动操作.下面本人陈召锡为你带来简单的一篇文章，希望可以帮助你。




　　goldMarket trend analysis




　　消息面分析；周三因美国财长努钦对于经济复苏的乐观预期使得黄金一度跌至1708.13美元，但是随着美联储暗示疫情或对经济造成永久伤害，预计今年美国GDPWill shrink6.5%，同时承诺将继续购买资产，强化了市场对于美联储持续宽松的预期，因此美元跌至3个月新低，推动黄金刷新逾一周高点。总体而言陈召锡认为全球宽松和经济下行的压力是提振黄金的重要因素，但是需警惕经济逐渐放开的希望将一定程度上提振市场风险偏好，短时间施压黄金。




　　技术面分析；日线来看黄金昨日收出实体大阳线，亚盘开盘黄金以1712一线支撑开始展开反弹，因全球股市在最近反弹之后走软。同时美联储会议结果，以从中寻觅有关经济状况及未来刺激举措的线索所以支撑黄金上涨，欧盘开盘价格企稳1720一线，我们按照策略小幅回落做多顺势看涨，随后价格继续走高但我们的思路一直没有改变，价格受虽然价格几次触及1720一线被承压下来，但行情下来我们就是果断进场做多，晚间行情最终还是选择向上破位1720一线，最高反弹1727Frontline, we1718Many,1715多也是全部抓住，但价格最高触及1727附近之后承压走低并且破位1715一线支撑点位，最低回落1712附近，后半夜受美联储主席鲍威尔将召开新闻发布会。面对疫情造成的就业岗位史无前例地严重流失，所以导致行情出现暴跌暴涨最低触及1708一线，但受数据影响快速拉升反弹并且强势破位日内高点1727Frontline, highest touch1739附近，但受1740压制走出小幅回落最终收线在高位，召锡目前从4小时来看布林带中轨强势企稳中轨一线，而且布林带中轨向上，周期多头排列行情有点强，所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议低位顺势做多为主，上方关注1738-1740One line of resistance, pay attention below1725-1720Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【czxi000】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;




　　消息面分析；周四美原油跌逾3%Current report38.32USD, decline3.23%。EIA原油库存意外大增，使得美原油一度跌至37美元附近。不过随着尼日利亚表示将会实现合规目标，同时沙特的减产推动OPEC减产执行率升至79%，好于此前一份调查所显示的74%，加上美联储表示将会维持宽松使得美元跌至三个月低点，这使得美原油随后反弹近3USD to39.91美元。不过随着美联储暗示疫情对于美国经济造成了冲击，今年美国国内生产总值(GDP)Will shrink6.5%，年底失业率将达到9.3%。同时抗议活动导致美国二次蔓延风险回升，这使得美原油随后回吐部分涨幅。陈召锡认为，随着油价近期过快的涨势，同时仍总体承压于缺口位置附近，短时间美原油存在回调的风险，高盛甚至认为会回调15-20%，市场需保持警惕。本交易日主要关注美国初请失业金人数及美国PPI数据，此外关注G7领导人峰会。




　　技术面分析；原油从日线来看：持续反弹；布林带三轨向上，MACD金叉但动能微弱，KDJ初步死叉随机指数位于80附近。目前油价看涨动能明显减弱，后市恐有回落风险。原油阶段性顶部成立，昨日EIA数据大幅利空，但是原油并没有出现破位下行，而是在再次反弹测试前高40.0压力，很明显多头上涨乏力，最终承压再次回落，现在是维持高位区间震荡整理走势，我们此前的观点依然没有改变，原油必将会再次下的，所以还是维持高空策略不变。召锡从4小时来看：涨势受阻；MACD死叉绿色能量柱持稳，KDJ金叉随机指标略微走弱、随机指数接近50；技术面看，油价短线偏向回。原油昨日美盘提示顶部震荡行情先多后空，随后行情也是最高再次触及39.6位置后开始回落，今日早盘继续空，40.0下维持波段回调看跌不变。原油涨势已经是极限，接下来必是长时间的震荡，而再次上涨的可能极小，所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议反弹做空为主，低多为辅，重点关注上方关注39.8-40One line of resistance, pay attention below37.2-37.8Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【czxi000】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




　　投资注意事项有哪些？




　　1In precious metal investment, it is necessary to fully understand the risks and benefits, the probability of winning and losing money, and several major issues to prevent. If there is no clear understanding of risk prevention and buying and selling at will, losing money is inevitable. Generally, as long as strict stop loss and stop profit measures are set for orders, and light positions are placed for orders, risk can be well controlled.




　　2Knowing oneself and the enemy, one will never be defeated in a hundred battles. But in the gold market, self-awareness is paramount, and investors need to understand their own personalities, as those who are prone to impulsiveness or emotional tendencies are not suitable for this investment. Most successful investors are able to control their emotions and have strict discipline, effectively restraining themselves. So, only those who know themselves can ultimately win in the gold market.




　　3In a sense, sometimes misreading the market trend or suddenly reversing the situation after placing an order can lead to the order being trapped, which is a normal phenomenon that even experts cannot avoid. However, the stupidest behavior in decision-making and post event handling stems from the mentality of small business owners. Successful investors will not blindly follow the opinions of others. When everyone is in the same investment position, especially small investors who are also following suit, successful investors will feel dangerous and change their course.




　　4The market is real, don't be sentimental, overly yearn for the future and reminisce about the past. A senior trader said: A person full of fantasy, rich emotions, and very exposed is a beautiful and happy person, but he is not suitable for being an investor. A successful investor can separate his emotions, fantasies, and trading.




　　扑朔迷离的投资总是充满着惊喜和变故，而很多人总在扑朔迷离的行情中迷失方向，在这个涨涨跌跌的市场，坚定自己的思路是一件很难的事情，操作交易，定当控制好风险，坚定自己的思路，错了及时止损，对了坚持持有到目标附近，不要人云亦云，畏惧出错，从而导致思路混乱，操作变形。我叫陈召锡，任何市场也都是在遵循自然法则；适者生存优胜劣汰，一想二干三成功，一等二看三落空；想是问题，做是答案；输在犹豫，赢在行动！



Wen/Chen Zhaoxi