FOMC声明公布后,COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract in Beijing Time02:00-02:03The trading volume within four minutes is1182Hand, the total value of the trading contract exceeds2.04亿美元。大量的交易使得黄金急剧下跌
美联储声明发表后,美元兑欧元、英镑和瑞士法郎跌至三个月低点,兑日元跌至三周低点。低利率前景推高黄金,涨逾20USD, refresh6month20The highest point since the beginning of the day1739.76dollar/附近。黄金周三上涨逾1%,创一周高位,此前美联储再次承诺将采取行动缓解新冠病毒大流行带来的经济影响,提振了黄金的避险吸引力。利率将保持在非常低的水平,直到2022年,这对可能算是好消息。美联储周三重申了将继续为经济提供非常规支出的承诺,同时政策制定者预计今年国内生产总值(GDP)Will shrink6.5%,年底失业率将达到9.3%。尹溢海认为,黄金将在12个月后达到1800dollar/盎司的水平,且通胀高于目标的尾部风险,将成为黄金攀升至2000dollar/附近上方的潜在驱动因素。
早间黄金走势分析
Gold from4小时走势来看,因美国非农数据好于预期,黄金下挫,目前正在测试斐波那契78.6%Callback bit1693,跌破后进一步支撑位见前低1671。若黄金受支撑反弹,上方较近阻力位为斐波那契61.8%Callback bit1701。黄金从日线走势来看,跌破斐波那契23.6%Callback bit1691支撑,盘整跌逾40美元。若黄金继续下行,下方较近支撑位为斐波那契38.2%Callback bit1645,跌破后未来或将进一步看跌至1645.若黄金上行,上方较近阻力位为1691,突破后未来或将进一步测试前高1765附近阻力。多周期技术信号显示日内市场情绪看跌。综合来看,今日短线操作上尹溢海个人建议反弹高空为主;回调做多为辅,上方关注1745-1753One line of resistance, pay attention below1725-1720Frontline support.
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