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期市言论:美联储会议即将召开 金价短线大涨至1720dollar

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美东时间周二,国际金价收涨近1%,收复1720The US dollar threshold. As of closing, New York Mercantile Exchange goldfuturesThe most active market trading8Monthly gold futures price9Daily increase compared to the previous trading day16.80US dollars, closing at per ounce1721.90USD, up by0.99%。分析师表示,本周的焦点将是美联储决议,我们预计基调依然鸽派,可能重新激发人们对黄金的兴趣,尽管股市上涨可能会逆转避险资金流,但推动黄金上涨的基本主题并未改变,各国央行仍致力于在可预见的未来维持其货币支持。
黄金从强劲非农的跌势中迅速反弹恢复元气,突显出潜在人气的强劲,以及投资者对建立头寸的观望兴趣。尽管如此,整体来看近期黄金仍处于相当稳定的下行趋势,很有可能是受过去几周股市大涨的影响。股市大涨可能导致“快钱”继续逢高抛售。但从中期来看,全球央行的“印钞机”模式最终应该会为黄金提供支撑。
投资者本周将关注美联储为期两天的政策会议,决策者在会上极有可能讨论就业报告。这将是自4月美联储主席鲍威尔表示,美国经济可能在未来一年多的时间里都因经济停摆而承压后的首次会议。
投资者预计美联储在周三结束的两天会议上将继续部署全套流动性支持,即使有些措施目前几无需求;流动性增加和低利率趋向于支撑黄金。
道明证券大宗商品策略师Daniel Ghali表示:“美联储将继续推行鸽派政策,他们将继续压低实际利率,这是过去几个月购买黄金的主要推动力。”他补充称,宏观影响将继续支撑金价。
另一位道明证券策略师Bart Melek也表示,本周的焦点将是美联储决议,我们预计基调依然鸽派,可能重新激发人们对黄金的兴趣,尽管股市上涨可能会逆转避险资金流,但推动黄金上涨的基本主题并未改变,各国央行仍致力于在可预见的未来维持其货币支持。
Technical aspects of Meijin:
日图布林带平行向右运行,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉拐头向上运行,KThe line intersects between the middle and lower tracks of Bollinger,MACD快慢线呈死叉缓和下行绿色动能逐渐缩量,KDJ三线呈金叉向上发散,行情日图上来看的话表现上涨形态;4小时图上,布林带三轨开口朝上运行,MA5On the moving averageMA10均线交金叉向上,K线交投于布林中上轨一线交投MA40andMA60Nearby,MACD快慢线位于零轴下方交金叉上行红色动能弱势放量,KDJ三线呈金叉向上发散运行,金价短线有一定的反弹动能,日内操作上建议反弹高空为主。上方初步阻力在1730Nearby, the resistance in the next step is1745; Preliminary support below1714Further support on1700;
Daily trading strategy(08Contract):
1Above1708-1720Short selling nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each300Point;
2Below1691-1680Short term long trading nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each200Point;
文章内容纯属作者个人观点,不做下单建议,具体行情以盘中趋势为准,投资有风险,入市需谨慎。
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