Chen Zhaoxi6.10黄金原油今日走势分析及操作建议黄金多空策略布局

The market is a big stage, not all market trends can be stated. People need some kind of belief to motivate and restrain them. People can be calm and stable after peace, and past fluctuations can only be beautiful with a smile after no regrets;The success or failure of a game depends on the smile after the harvest, making it more colorful;The ups and downs of funds, smiling after doubling, are only exciting! Don't fantasize that every transaction is round and perfect, profit and loss need to be balanced, and gains and losses also need to be felt. Investing in the market is like traveling, always in a hurry, with so much confusion and confusion. Only by calming down can one dispel the clouds and mist that envelop one's eyes;Taste a cup of tea quietly, and you will realize that there are many opportunities in front of you.




　　goldMarket trend analysis




　　消息面分析；因美元指数处于近三个月低位附近。投资人继续探索美联储加大购债的可能性。美联储“主街贷款”工具可能很难收到预想中的效果。现货黄金盘中反弹逾25USD to1720dollar/盎司下方附近，日内避险情绪升温，投资者对贸易局势的担忧情绪重燃，商品货币纷纷大跌，而美元日元瑞郎等避险货币走高，恐慌指数（VIX）It also reached a new high in a week, and the attractiveness of gold has also increased. In addition, gold is also supported by expectations of more easing actions by the central bank in the future. The Federal Reserve relaxed the conditions of its "main street" loan program on Monday. Regarding this week's Fed rate decision, the market expects the Fed to maintain interest rates unchanged, but undoubtedly will still pay attention to the Fed's attitude after such employment data.




　　技术面分析；对于上周五的空头不可一世，目前多头可谓将空头按在地上蹂躏，不过当前这种走势无非告诉我们一点：行情没有单边！昨日早盘黄金震荡走高，打破了隔夜市场高点后同时还刺破了1702Key resistance points, but4The hour chart ended up closing at1702Below, it can be said that the main force's early morning wave of lure is quite perfect, and the retreat speed is also very fast. Those who chase more and rush to enter more have become meat on the main force's chopping board. Coincidentally, the low point of the retreat after the Asian market rose is1692Confirming the position of support after breaking the downward trend line of the high point and retreating, it is also an area that has received support multiple times in the early trading session. After the price bottomed out and rebounded, it briefly rose and stabilized strongly1710On the first line, gold also gradually strengthened and broke through during the evening1720附近，最终收线在高位，召锡目前从4小时来看价格下探回升之后目前一直运行在布林带中轨之上，但黄金一直受压于中轨之下，指标上来看中轨走平行情有点震荡，所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议高空低多操作即可，上方关注1725-1730One line of resistance, pay attention below1705-1710Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【czxi000】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




　　crude oilMarket trend analysis




　　消息面分析；周一因为沙特决定7月停止额外减产，冲淡了OPEC+延长减产的利好，同时油价近期处于此前跳空缺口所在的位置，美原油一度下跌3%。同时有消息称，利比亚已经重启了最大的油田，加上近期美国页岩油厂商也重启生产，因此也对油价构成压力。受此影响，高盛和摩根士丹利都转为短线看空油价。但是总体而言，近期市场对于经济复苏的乐观预期持续升温，受此影响，周一纳指创出历史新高，同时能源板块大涨，也限制油价的跌幅。陈召锡认为油市将在7月陷入供应短缺，并因此上调油价预期。因此近期市场仍需关注全球经济数据表现，同时还需关注疫情的进展，这都对原油需求产生直接的影响。日内关注EIAMonthly report andAPI数据，这也对油市产生直接的影响。




　　技术面分析；原油昨日亚盘受38.8一线承压走回撤，欧盘反弹收复了亚盘的回撤空间，美盘开盘延续高位震荡整理。日线MACD金叉但红色动能持续减弱，KDJ初步死叉，油价在前期缺口上沿41.05下方遇阻，连续失守多个关口支撑，短线面临进一步下行的风险，下方初步支撑在10Daily moving average36.23附近，该位置同时靠近3month11日高点，若跌破该支撑，则油价可能再次回踩20Daily moving average35.96；1小时上看，隔日原油打破震荡上行趋势，展开连阴回撤，并触及中轨位置后持于中轨附近运行，当前布林带处于开口期，MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量，4小时来看快慢线死叉向下，目前仍有回撤需求。目前整个顶部呈逐步收窄迹象，多空博弈会在此期间继续进行。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议反弹做空为主，低多为辅，上方关注39-39.5One line of resistance, pay attention below37-37.5一线支撑，行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略，可直接添加本人一对一指导交流微信【czxi000】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




　　陈召锡投资个人心得；




　　市场从来都是明白人挣糊涂人的钱。在市场经济中，只要你参与到经济中来，就是经济人了，经济人当然就以盈利为目的，特别在资本市场中，没有慈善家，只有赢家和输家。无论你在其他方面如何成功，到了市场里，赢输就是唯-标准。在市场中生存，要向溪水一样，不急不躁，狭隙生存，寻求最简单，最单纯的状态。我的理念是点位到了我们就干，点位没到，我们就看。我是陈召锡，无论你是新手、还是老手。投资迷茫了或者亏损了都可以咨询笔者。在机会面前：聪明人永远是宁可抓错，决不放过。



Wen/Chen Zhaoxi