Message face:
6month8日,国际金价反弹,但避险需求仍然受抑。美国非农就业数据意外改善,提振了对经济迅速复苏的乐观情绪,上日打压黄金跌至5month1日以来新低。市场关注焦点转向美联储政策会议,由于非农就业岗位意外增加,投资者已经不再预测美联储会采取负利率的可能性。欧洲时段,NYMEXcrude oilfutures价格转跌,交投于40Below the US dollar,OPEC+stay6month6日的会议上对减产计划仅延期一个月,而此前市场预计减产计划将延长三个月,美油和布油都需要更强劲的利好因素,才能将油价推回3month6日之前的水平。此外伊拉克和尼日利亚等OPEC成员国是否遵守该协议也仍是一个问题。OPEC面临着两难的局面,油价上涨刺激恢复生产,可能放缓石油市场再平衡的步伐。
Gold trend analysis:
黄金在上周五反转反弹修正之前两日大幅下跌后,周一开盘以来基本上再次延续弱势震荡走低;图K线连阴,MACD在零轴下方运行,说明当前价格仍然处于弱势中。从位置来看,价格最低走到1670区域,晚间企稳于1680一线,震荡延续态势进一步明朗。但是目前已经没有合适的位置参与空头。所以1700区域成为日线多空分水岭位置,站稳此位置多头仍有希望,不过,黄金仍受到全球宽松货币政策的支撑,国际紧张局势和可能爆发第二波卫生事件的风险挥之不去,且1670附近仍然为金价提供支撑,所以短线仍然需要警惕金价震荡反弹的可能,上方初步阻力参考5Daily moving average1704.14,若收复该位置则削弱短线看空信号,进一步阻力在布林线中轨1717.21附近,若收复该位置则增加短线看涨信号;后市仍然偏向震荡下行或低位震荡。综合来看,短线操作上把握不准的添加欧阳晓沫oyxm0611建议以回调做多。上方重点关注1704Frontline resistance, focus on below1680Frontline support.
解套方案
(1)Lock in position and price difference method: After being covered, it indicates that our judgment direction is wrong. The market and our prices in the opposite direction are moving, and when they rebound or fall to a certain height, it is estimated that they will reach a short-term high. We need to continuously increase the funds in the lock in position to ensure that the lock in position is greater than the position in the lock in position. By using this technique of taking advantage of the situation to increase the price difference earned by locking orders, and finally waiting for the total funds to make up for the loss, completing the removal of the bedding and making a profit, and then selling all of it?
(2)Bottom adding method: After being covered, one should be patient and dare to lock in the position, because of the characteristics of the product, some prices and bottom signals may appear, especially in large cycles such as the weekly chartK线出现反弹信号,见底信号,都会非常稳固,只要大周期底部信号出现,就要大胆解索,逢低不断买入,加大仓位,一但大周期反弹,就可以解出了