李瑜菲：6.4早盘黄金震荡下跌，非农前夕是涨还是跌？

　　李瑜菲：6.4Morning marketgold震荡下跌，非农前夕是涨还是跌？
　　
　　再苦再累，只要坚持往前走，属于你的风景终会出现；只要是自己选择的，那就无怨无悔，青春一经典当，永远无法赎回；过去只可以用来回忆，别沉迷在它的阴影中，否则永远看不清前面的路；不要期望所有人都懂你，你也没必要去懂所有人；聚散离合是人生的规律，无须伤春悲秋。
　　


Message face:
　　
　　现货金银昨日震荡走低，盘中纷纷扩大跌幅。现货黄金早盘企稳，但在欧盘时段持续下挫，好于预期的小非农数据公布后加速下行，美盘盘中连破1720、1710、1700and1690四道大关，日内最高跌逾2%, creating5month7日以来新低。现货白银同样大幅走低，亚盘时段便早早失守18美元关口，日内最高跌近3%。
　　
　　美、布两油昨日高开低走。WTIcrude oilfutures在午间大涨逾3%, refresh3month6日以来高位的情况下，受欧佩克+减产会议可能推迟和沙特、俄罗斯不满减产执行率过低的消息影响，在欧盘时段转跌，一度失守36美元的大关；好在尾盘有所回升，收复部分失地。
　　
　　布油变化轨迹与美油相似，早盘一度大涨2%Upper rupture40美元关口，上述不利消息传出后倒跌逾1%，重新回到40Below the US dollar.
　　
　　汇市方面，美元指数继续收于98关口下方，录得近期罕见的7连跌，前途令人担忧。
　　
Gold technology:
　　
Technical analysis of gold: From a daily perspective, the golden dayKDraw a solid yin line and directly swallow the previous yang line, forming a clear reversal pattern of high yin wrapped in yang. This kind of yinKThe signal is a sudden appearance in the rebound and upward trend, causing gold bulls to temporarily lose their strong upward momentum4From an hourly perspective,4After a slow rise in the hour, there is a large bearish candlestick that retreats, and there is a lot of room for retreat, especially on Tuesday1745Horizontal consolidation took a long time, but ultimately broke through without success and fell back under pressure. Yesterday, the market opened with1727Below, the short-term chart seems to have further room for retreat.
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Currently, gold has plummeted30The US dollar has ample bearish momentum, and1700Defensive failure, continue to be bearish in the short term. The current market belongs to the low level market of retracement testing after accelerating upward trend,1682The region is the temporary low point of this round of market trends, so in terms of the current decline, I think it's almost enough. Of course, the space is already quite large, especially when the market is facing obstacles. It takes time to brew from bullish to volatile, and compared to the previous rise, the current decline is a one-step approach. Therefore, after the short-term profit closing of short positions, the price is about to approach1680First line, then1710就成了高点阻力了，顺势下跌的情况下前期的高点不会破，但是下跌应该要趋缓反弹了。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上个人建议以反弹做空为主，上方关注1708-1710One line of resistance, pay attention below1685-1688Frontline support.
　　




Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:
　　
Empty order strategy:
　　
Gold rebound1708-1710附近做空十分之二仓位，止损5Points, target1695-1690Nearby. Break the position to see1685frontline;
　　
Multi order strategy:
　　
Gold Callback1685-1688Short two tenths of a position nearby, stop loss5Points, target1695-1700Nearby, break down and take a look1705frontline;
　　
Crude oil from4From an hourly perspective,4The consolidation acceleration after breaking through the rectangular interval on the track during the hour. Following the short-term moving average, a unilateral increase is reflected in theKFrom a physical perspective, there is not much room for retreat,4When I was young, I still watched the bulls continue,1The hourly chart is bullish and bullish, forcing the market to rise. At present, there is no signal to stop rising and reach its peak. Short term bullish positions will not end until the correction of the low point on the previous day is missed. The hourly chart shows that oil prices are running in an upward channel, and the moving average system is running in a multi head arrangementkBelow the line support oil prices. Overall, in terms of short-term operation strategy today, Jin Shengfu's personal suggestion is to focus on a pullback and buy long, supplemented by a rebound in high altitude, with a focus on short-term attention above38.0-38.2Frontline resistance, short-term focus below35.6-35.8Frontline support.
　　


　　原油操作策略参考：
　　
Empty order strategy:
　　
Above the rebound of crude oil37.8-38.0附近做空，十分之二仓位，止损0.5US dollars, look at the target37.0-36.5Nearby; Dislocation36.0Near.
　　
Multi order strategy:
　　
Below the crude oil correction35.8-36.0附近做多，十分之二仓位，止损0.5USD, target37.0-37.5Nearby; Dislocation38.0Near.
　　瑜菲温馨提示：判断行情，只是做交易的一个部分而已，投资者还需要对市场有敬畏之心，牢记交易纪律，同时对仓位做严格的把控，减少贪婪，克服恐惧，尽量保持一个平常心做交易。有任何困难和问题可与瑜菲交流v：liyufei9214