吴承梁：6.4黄金昨晚为何暴跌？今日看空，下方还有空间

　　吴承梁：6.4gold昨晚为何暴跌？今日看空，下方还有空间
　　
　　昨日早间给出破位顺势做，下午给出看向1710，虽然赚了但没想行情一再下跌下破1690。来时风雨不惧，走时便不惧风雨，在暴涨暴跌的行情中，避免不了的就是亏损。
　　


　　Message surface:
　　
　　最新经济数据显示，美国5monthADPDecreased employment population276万，远远低于市场预期的900Ten thousand, the previous value was corrected to decrease1955.7万。对于这份ADP报告，这一数字远低于道琼斯调查经济学家估计的875万。造成这种巨大差异的原因尚不清楚。但白宫经济顾问委员会主席哈塞特表示，美国经济接近触底。ADP就业数据公司副总裁AhuYildirmaz称，疫情危机的影响继续给各种规模的企业带来压力。尽管劳动力市场仍在受流感大流行的影响，但失业人数可能在4月份达到峰值，因为许多州已经开始分阶段恢复营业。
　　
However, another risk event broke out within the day, according toCNBCAccording to the latest report on Wednesday, the Trump administration will ban Chinese passenger airlines from flying to the United States from later this month, coinciding with China's ban on American airlines resuming flights to the United States. This order will be announced on Wednesday and will be released on6month16Effective date, but may be advanced. Sources said that the order applies to Air China, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Hainan Airlines Holding Company. After the release of the new US documents, the US Department of Transportation has requested that Air China, Capital Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, Hainan Airlines, Sichuan Airlines, and Xiamen Airlines resubmit their flight schedules to the US Department of Transportation. The implementation of the "no fly order" will further intensify the tension between China and the United States, thus increasing the uncertainty of the future situation. It is believed that it will to some extent offset the impact of economic optimism, which will provide some support for the price of gold.
　　
　　Gold trend analysis:
　　


Currently, gold has plummeted30The US dollar has ample bearish momentum, and1700Defensive failure, continue to be bearish in the short term. The current market belongs to the low level market of retracement testing after accelerating upward trend,1682The region is the temporary low point of this round of market trends, so in terms of the current decline, I think it's almost enough. Of course, the space is already quite large, especially when the market is facing obstacles. It takes time to brew from bullish to volatile, and compared to the previous rise, the current decline is a one-step approach. Therefore, after the short-term profit closing of short positions, the price is about to approach1680First line, then1710就成了高点阻力了，顺势下跌的情况下前期的高点不会破，但是下跌应该要趋缓反弹了。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上吴承梁个人建议高空为主，做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1708-1710Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1682-1685一线支撑。破位顺势跟进。
　　
　　Operation suggestions:
　　
　　1、1708-1710Short nearby, stop loss4Points, target1695Nearby. Break the position to see1685frontline;
　　
　　2、1695-1688Long nearby, stop loss4Points, target1700-1705Nearby, break down and take a look1710frontline;
　　
Is investment a balance between long-term and short-term, between oneself and the market, or between expectations and reality. From a micro perspective, investment is also a balance between data and perception, an absolute and relative balance. Of course, investment is still a balance between long and short positions, a balance between risk and return, and a balance between persistence and abandonment. Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding balance and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness.
文：吴承梁
WeChat:wcl6538