吴承梁：6.3今日黄金还会跌吗？大胆做多，涨势以定

　　吴承梁：6.3todaygold还会跌吗？大胆做多，涨势以定
　　
Life is always about making choices and waiting for results. The road cannot be smooth sailing, there will always be obstacles, and mediocrity is not the goal that everyone pursues. The investment market is also the same, it cannot be smooth sailing, and windfall profits are everyone's dream, but there are always various temptations and traps along the way. Accustomed to unilateral behavior, one is always stifled by shocks and washes, which is the law of the market. In the face of life, we are making choices. Difficulties cannot be overcome, detours can be avoided, and rivers cannot be crossed. We always need to resort to other methods, and the market is also the same. Don't blindly pursue operation. Some market trends may see profits, but may not necessarily lead to profits.
　　


　　Message surface:
　　
Tuesday(6month2day)现货黄金窄幅震荡，涨幅0.03%。周一因美国活动叠加国际贸易担忧情绪升温，推动黄金刷新逾一周高点至1744.69美元。不过随着美欧的制造业出现复苏的迹象，推动全球股市上涨，这使黄金回吐涨幅。总体而言对于经济复苏的预期短时间抵消了美国活动叠加国际贸易担忧情绪升温的影响，因此市场需继续关注全球经济数据表现，如果经济数据持续好转，可能会继续打压金价。受股市回升的影响，基金经理减持了黄金ETF持仓。但是分析人士指出，全球经济下行压力依旧高企，这可能推动更多的刺激措施。
　　
　　goldTrend analysis:
　　


　　黄金技术面来看，黄金日线趋势上，高位震荡；布林线轨道接近水平运行，留意布林线轨道1682-1752区域突破情况；由于KDJ金叉运行，短线存在试探布林线上轨1747附近阻力的可能性，若能顶破该阻力，则增加后市看涨信号。黄金底部不断抬高的情况下说明多头依然强势，震荡是为了蓄力再次上行。黄金4From an hourly perspective, there is a fluctuating upward trend;MACD金叉并初步上破零轴，KDJ金叉，布林线初步开口，留意1745附近阻力，若顶破该阻力，料将进一步试探年高1765附近阻力，能否进一步上破该有待观察。当前行情回调支撑位置，1730先多，行情至少还有一波再次反弹测试1745的压力，不破后可以反手空。而下方就关注1720的支撑，此位置上黄金还是多头走势，破位则开启再次下地走势。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上吴承梁个人建议以回调做多为主，上方短期重点关注1747Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1720一线，破位顺势跟进。
　　
　　吴承梁寄语：
　　
Is investment a balance between long-term and short-term, between oneself and the market, or between expectations and reality. From a micro perspective, investment is also a balance between data and perception, an absolute and relative balance. Of course, investment is still a balance between long and short positions, a balance between risk and return, and a balance between persistence and abandonment. Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding balance and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness.
文：吴承梁
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