5month28日,国际原油价格延续上日大跌势头,此前美国石油行业数据显示原油库存意外增加,浇灭了石油需求将走出新冠病毒封锁而平稳回升的希望。美油和布油上日分别暴跌6.2%and4.5%OnOPEC+即将举行会议之际,俄罗斯大幅减产的承诺还存在不确定性。现货黄金价格自上日录得的5month12New low since the beginning of the day1694.31dollar/盎司反弹,因国际关系对抗程度进一步加深,美国宣布将结束允许他国企业继续在伊朗核设施进行工作的制裁豁免。同时各国央行及政府实施宽松政策以缓解疫情冲击,也令金价获得支撑。发达国家今年经济前景在过去一个月再度趋于黯淡,经济活动低谷将比不久前预期的更深。
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
技术面来看,金价周三一度跌逾22USD, lowest touch1693.66dollar/盎司低点,但随后自低点大幅拉升逾20USD, highest hit1715.26dollar/盎司。最终收于1709.16dollar/盎司,日线MACDandKDJDead fork operation,5Daily moving average underpass10日均线结成死叉,短线仍然存在进一步走低的风险,下方初步支撑仍然参考日线低点1712.15Nearby, further support at5month11Daily low point1692附近,该位置同时靠近上一交易日低点,若下破该位置,则金价将进一步试探布林线下轨1682.64附近支撑;不过因国际关系对抗程度进一步加深,同时各国央行及政府实施宽松政策以缓解疫情冲击,令金价获得支撑,且金价目前收复布林线中轨,短线看空信号削弱,上方初步阻力在10Daily moving average1730.05附近,本周高点阻力在1736.77附近,若顶破该位置,则金价将进一步试探布林线上轨1751.25附近阻力;综合来看,今日操作思路上周鸿金zh66646个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
Focus on resistance above:1730.05;1736.77;
Focus on support below:1712.15;1700.00;
Real time market changes, strategy for reference only, consult Zhou Hongjin for real-time entry and exit points and medium to long term layout!
2、 Analysis of the trend of US crude oil
技术面来看,原油价格延续上日大跌势头,此前美国石油行业数据显示原油库存意外增加,浇灭了石油需求将走出卫生事件封锁而平稳回升的希望。同时国际贸易的担忧情绪、全球经济下行的压力以及API原油库存意外大增,都使得油价承压,这使得美原油一度大跌7%。 Daily lineMACD红能持续萎缩,KDJ死叉,油价连续失守5Daily moving average and10日均线,短线存在筑顶回调的风险,下方初步支撑参考上5month22Daily low point30.72,若失守该位置,将进一步增加市场看空情绪,并推动油价进一步回踩28关口;不过,尽管API三大库存超预期上升,但供应方面的利好支撑了油价。但俄罗斯总统普京和沙特王储萨勒曼周三通电话,双方同意能源部之间就OPEC+协议密切协调,双方领导人确认了共同履行4Monthly achievementOPEC+减产协议的重要性,且布林线轨道开口向上,短线仍然需要警惕油价震荡走高的可能,上方初步阻力参考34整数关口,进一步阻力在周二高点高点34.81附近;综合来看,今日操作思路上周鸿金zh66646个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;
Focus on resistance above:34.00;34.81;
Focus on support below:30.72;30.00;
Real time market changes, strategy for reference only, consult Zhou Hongjin for real-time entry and exit points and medium to long term layout!
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.