Xie Hongyuan:5.26黄金原油欧美盘最新策略布局

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　　gold面，从基本面上看，虽然地缘政治和黄金实物供应都在一定程度上利好黄金，但是受“全球解封潮”的影响，也削弱了黄金的避险需求。目前美国方面各州主部宣布解除封锁，美国纽约证券交易所也宣布在今日重新开放；昨日日本也宣布全面解除紧急状态，日本的新冠疫情得到控制；欧洲各国也陆续传来解封的好消息……在解封潮集体爆发的昨天，也使得全球股票大涨，提振的风险情绪，打压避险需求，短期内会压制黄金。
　　
　　不过目前全球正在实行的货币与财政双宽松政策，虽然暂时受到居家令等影响，消费端无法打开，流动性依然得不到解放，但是从长远看来，为后续通胀买下了伏笔，也为目前股市的繁荣吹起了泡沫，长远来看，依然对黄金看涨。
　　
　　crude oil面，目前受OPEC+联合减产继续稳步推进、美国原油库存持续下降、欧美多国放宽疫情管制提振需求等诸多利好因素影响，原油行情继续回暖。美国原油库存连续两周下降，同时俄克拉荷马州库欣地区原油库存也大幅度减少，需求走强的环境下库存压力得到缓解，上周三国际原油上涨至十周以来最高点。
　　
Gold market analysis:
　　
During the Asian trading period, spot gold1730Nearby narrow fluctuations, optimism surrounding the global economic restart, drove the stock market up, offsetting the support brought by the weakening US dollar and international tensions. However, from a technical perspective, there has been an increase in short-term downside risks, and it is recommended to pay attention to them20Daily moving average1717.50Support nearby, pay attention above1750整数关口附近阻力。地缘紧张局势和世界各国政府的广泛刺激措施令跌幅受限。随着全球不确定性仍在持续，各国政府向本国经济注资，利率也在降低，黄金futures净多头头寸一个月来首度增加。因此金价长线仍乐观看涨，但短时间可能走势相对震荡，想要进一步上行可能需要新的催化因素。
　　
In recent trading days, international gold has shown repeated movements in the range, mainly focusing on1720reach1740The interval is circuitous, and the current market price quotation is1733Position, stand up again1730On this trading day, there are several points to pay attention to in terms of market layout: Firstly, we mentioned on the previous trading day that this trading day is1765On the sixth trading day after the correction of the high point, under normal circumstances, the correction action after the strong market rebounds does not exceed six trading days. Therefore, this trading day is a relatively important time window, and it is likely to complete the correction on this trading day, and then return to the strong market; Secondly,1720The support performance remains stable, and the market price has been tested multiple times1720，1720也是前面我们主要拿多的支撑点，这个位置有效支撑价格反弹，本次反弹突破了下行回调压力线，有上破表现，预示着盘面价格走高的几率，要远大于回落；最后，结合盘面价格形态和时间窗口，日内我们主要围绕修正完成，多头回归来入手，回踩渣多布局，关注1730，1726两个支撑点，做入场。总的来讲，日内留意1730，1726支撑情况，参与低多，激进点可以围绕1730直接入手，有1726加仓参与，上破1742可以考虑长持！
　　
Analysis of crude oil market:
　　
　　原油日线来看：反弹之势；KDJGolden cross, random indicator in80Above the axis,MACD金叉，红色能量柱持稳，5Daily moving average and10日均线金叉向上，指示油价有望继续反弹；4小时来看：低位反弹；KDJGolden cross, random index divergence upwards,MACD死叉双线粘合，绿色能量柱缩减，均线呈多头排列，指示油价涨势强劲；原油价格在上破阻力即50%Fibo rollback32.81后，正在巩固涨势。该水平被重新测试后目前充当着油价的支撑位，暗示油价可能会进一步上行。阻力位在40.56-42.40区域，油价日线收盘在该区域上方，那么将看向支撑位50美元一线。油价自底部上涨以来，中途回调修正的空间相对较小，基本上都是横向上涨整理为主，短线还是以低多看涨为主。上方短线关注35.4压力位，其次就是36.3压力位，下方支撑关注33.0支撑；操作上谢鸿远建议低多看涨为主。
　　
　　鸿远寄语：
　　
All the successes in the world, the shining path they follow, are the result of countless perseverance and perseverance in the past. Therefore, there is no need to envy. Everyone must take the uphill path of life, and if they do not want to waste their time and become mediocre, they will inevitably face setbacks and become braver against the current. We always thought there would be an impossible tomorrow, but as long as we don't give up, we can always encounter twists and turns, and even in the darkest night, we can always endure until the moment of dawn.