5.23周末预测：回升“乏力”现货黄金下周有下跌的可能?

   5month23日，今天foreign exchange市场休市。据行情走势图显示，本周五，现货gold回升“乏力”，无法吞噬周四的跌幅。那么，这是否预示着下周现货黄金要“下跌”?


   对于这个问题，王铭鑫觉得，下周现货黄金下跌的可能性也很大。首先，从技术角度来看，昨天，现货黄金反弹依然受到5日均线的压制，回升“乏力”。



   meanwhile,KDJ指标的三线勾头向下，并且还空头排列，这也预示着现货黄金将要下跌。此外，MACD指标的快线已经下穿慢线，形成“死叉”，更加预示着现货黄金要下跌。



   目前，除了技术指标“看弱”未来现货黄金的走势以外，从美国的经济角度来看，现货黄金的避险需求有可能会减弱。



Data display, United States5monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIThe initial value is39.8Expected value is39.5, previous value is36.1;U.S.A4月成屋销售年化总数为433万户，预期值为422Ten thousand households, with a previous value of527Ten thousand households.

上周的黄金周一市场冲高到1765区域后当日展开回撤，随后的下跌跌破了周一市场的开盘价，触及到关键支撑1728后反抽，周三依托1728的反抽在此走高到1753位置，周四市场跌破1739-40的关键支撑后一度跌破1728的关键支撑点触及到1717后展开反弹，而周五市场一边倒的依托1728继续空的时候，多头反攻又冲到1740位置后进入震荡，一周的行情可以说是相当的刺激。



走势上大趋势黄金还是呈多头运行，疫情影响一直在持续，所以黄金作为避险产物仍受到大的支撑，可能会出现阶段性的下跌，但是在全球经济向好前，黄金自然不会出现大跌；而短期走势来看，1710还是短期多空分水岭，黄金本周虽然未能破位上行，但实际上已经将震荡区间提升了一个高度，上方关键性的阻力由之前的1738转换为目前1750，当然这并不能说明后续走势就一定是多头破位上行，但是就目前而言短期也更倾向于多头，所以只要价格能够守住支撑不破，多头接下来仍有蓄势破位的机会。





下周走势，短线上方需要关注1740as well as1750的阻力压制，1750是决定多头再度冲高的基础，而1740则是决定价格测试1750的基础，突破1740upper1750Stable1750上看新高；下方短线则需关注1725-1718；这两个位置分别是周五和周四的低点，价格短线也是主要依托这两个位置分别形成反弹，下周此位置不破看涨思路不变，一旦跌破的话那么价格短线预计会回踩1710强弱分水岭，下周整体上还是以震荡对待，重点关注支撑阻力位的得失。



crude oil：连续性的缓涨之后，原油隔日短线迎来一波急速性回撤，盘中自34关口大幅下跌3余美金，最低下探30.8一线反弹，日线录得长下影阴线的同时周线本周再度收阳，而自低位6.5reach34.6已经反弹了28美金；首先可以确定的是原油接下来肯定还有上涨空间，之前我就强调过30关口是第一目标，40关口是第二目标，在经历一段黑暗时期后原油已经重见光明，但保持看涨的同时，需要注意的是由于连续性的反弹之后，日线指标均已处于高位，隔日的短线回撤也算是一个信号，所以个人认为当前位置不宜过分的追多，以34-35区间原油下周可能会出现回撤调整，那么下方建议围绕29-30区间再去看涨更为稳妥。



做单建议个人心得：
　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.Crude oil operates in two modes: long and short. In fact, there are four operating methods: low, low, high, and high. In a unilateral trend, these four modes are all feasible. If you are in a volatile trend, remember not to be low or high. This is equivalent to chasing gains and selling losses. Remember, many people are chasing gains and selling losses.
　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.
　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.
　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.
　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.
Message
　　好茶不怕细品，活鱼会逆流而上，死鱼才随波逐流。能够立足于市场，需要的不仅是好眼力好心态高实力，更需要耐心信心责任心。路遥知马力，日久见人心，能将一件事做好的人不计其数，但能将一件事一直做好甚至做得更好的人则屈指可数！那么能够成为一个行业的佼佼者，山高路远，除却身体力行，重要的是无可撼动的决心。而坚持了整个青春岁月。实力是大家看得见的，无需靠一波波盈利截图来吸引大家的眼球。王铭鑫坚信：踏实做人，诚实做事。有信于人，人信于我。走得快不一定走得远，当你无法从一楼蹦到三楼时，就不要忘记走楼梯，无论是对一份事业，还是对一项投资，都是如此。如果你是散户不妨与 Wang Mingxin 我交流一番，与我相识不会对你造成任何损失，相反会对你起到较大的帮助。如果你认为自己的老师很专业，不要盲目的去追求做单，你不妨多向他多请教技术和操盘技巧，行情判断，我相信你的老师一定很乐于教导你，再者可以与我沟通，我也会很乐意帮助你。如果是在做投资的路上亏损，或者近期存在单子套着的情况的朋友，在我力所能及的情况下，我也可以给你你所需要的帮助。
      

This article is written by 王铭鑫（指导热线；ymsd06）原创供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究。以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，建议仅供参考，据此操作风险自负！