段浩雨：全球负利率预期蔓延，下周黄金原油还会涨吗？

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Duan Haoyu:5.17全球负利率预期蔓延，下周goldcrude oilWill it continue to rise?


市场动态解读：


上周金价大幅度攀升，金价上周上涨接近41USD, increase2.41%。金价上涨，主要因为全球负利率预期蔓延，虽然上周美联储主席鲍威尔出面明确表态反对负利率，但似乎并不在意鲍威尔的言论，此外全球经济萎缩，美国预算赤字飙升，长期通胀升温等因素持续支撑金价。展望本周，美联储主席鲍威尔还会发表证词，同时美联储还会公布4月份的货币政策会议纪要，欧美也还有一系列重磅经济数据公布。接下来，让我们解析本周影响金价走势的因素，从而为更好的预测本周金价走势做出铺垫。

黄金技术分析及下周预测：


黄金日线来看，黄金突破三角形态后继续上行可能指向1760等水平，1720一线转化为初步支撑。技术面来看，MACDDead fork, reduced green energy column,KDJ金叉，随机指标走高，指示黄金接下来将展开反弹之势；不过黄金目前整体维持在1720-1750区间宽幅震荡，上方1750还是存在压力，破位该位阻力，将去试探本年度高点1760First line. gold4小时来看，打破了三角区的僵局；MACD金叉，红色能量柱扩张，KDJ金叉随机指标走高，指示黄金接下来将维持旗形看涨形态；黄金破位区间后延续涨势，后市继续关注1750压力有效性，需要及时跟上节奏，必定是强势行情。目前是否能延续多头，还的看1750的压制情况，目前来看还是存在难度不算大，不过整体还是维持强势。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上段浩雨个人建议以回调做多为主，上方短期重点关注1755-1758Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1730-1725一线支撑。由于笔者段浩雨不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线本人

原油技术分析及下周预测：


原油从日线来看，震荡反弹，原油收复昨日失地，延续反弹的走法，奠定强势格局，同时收复了隔日的上影线，短线整理偏多。技术面来看，KDJThe golden cross, the random indicator, has risen again,MACDThe golden fork and red energy column remain stable, indicating that crude oil will continue to maintain a fluctuating rebound trend in the future. Attention from above29.3The first line of rebound in the early stage is the high point, followed by30.0The resistance at the checkpoint, if it breaks through the resistance at that position, increases the bullish signal in the midline. crude oil4From an hourly perspective, breaking the pattern of interval fluctuations, crude oil is currently25.0The horizontal consolidation above has started to stabilize, and the consolidation time has been relatively long. It has never fallen below the bull's critical point, and has repeatedly tested the high point. Currently, it remains above the critical point and sees new highs. Technically speaking,KDJThe golden cross, with random indicators rising,MACD金叉，红色能量柱扩大，均线成多头发散，具备冲高破高量能，就看何时发力，油价目前在中性偏高的位置，短线暂时还是震荡蓄势当中，综合分析下周一操作上浩雨建议回调做多为主，上方关注30-31.5One line of resistance, pay attention below27.5-28一线支撑。行情千变万化，想要学习更多黄金投资技巧的朋友可以关注段浩雨Vletterdhy287Every morning7From midnight to early morning2Click on real-time online guidance.

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The same market, different guidance, different life, as the saying goes, follow the right order, win one order, follow the right person, win a lifetime; The magnificent bull bear transformation in the Chinese capital market has created a group of people. What we see in them is that they have a keen sense of smell, have experienced countless honors and hardships, and after several parabolic movements in life, they have finally transformed from grassroots to influential capital tycoons. I remember a saying, 'I was born poor, but I must never die in poverty.'. I am Duan Haoyu, a professional financial writer, and I also hope to be your like-minded friend.


Author of this article: Duan Haoyu [reprinted, please indicate source]


authority:dhy287（VLetter official account: Duan Haoyu)


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