International Energy Agency(IEA)预计,下半年全球原油库存将下降约55010000 barrels/Day;OPEC还预计,今年石油需求将下降86010000 barrels/日,比上月预测的降幅小6910000 barrels/日;它预计非OPEC国家的石油供应量将减少32010000 barrels/日;巴克莱将对2020年油和美油的价格预测上调了5-6dollar/桶,将2021年的价格预测上调了16dollar/桶;巴克莱预计,今年布油的均价为37dollar/桶,美油的均价为33dollar/桶;该行还预计,2021年布油的均价为53dollar/桶,美油的均价为50dollar/Bucket.
原油技术面来看,廉镇认为未来期货溢价的结构将继续得到修正,短期来看,油市目前面临的主要风险是各产油国过快的增产。原油日线来看,震荡反弹,原油收复昨日失地,延续反弹的走法,奠定强势格局,同时收复了昨日的上影线,短线整理偏多。KDJThe golden cross, the random indicator, has risen again,MACDThe golden fork and red energy column remain stable, indicating that crude oil will continue to maintain a fluctuating rebound trend in the future. Attention from above29.3The first line of rebound in the early stage is the high point, followed by30.0关口阻力,若破位该位置阻力,则中线增加看涨信号。原油从4From an hourly perspective, breaking the pattern of interval fluctuations, crude oil is currently25.0上方横向整理启稳,且整理时间较长,始终未跌破多头临界点,反复去测试高点,目前维持在临界点之上低多看新高。KDJThe golden cross, with random indicators rising,MACD金叉,红色能量柱扩大,均线成多头发散,具备冲高破高量能,就看何时发力,油价目前在中性偏高的位置,短线暂时还是震荡蓄势当中。所以综合分析操作上廉镇建议高空低多操作即可,上方关注29.4-29.6Resistance, pay attention below26-26.2支撑行情千变万化,点位仅供参考,如若出现破位亦可咨询廉镇了解最新行情,具体做单策略进场点位以廉镇jy82991Based on actual offer guidance!
For the purpose of profit, in the capital market, there are no philanthropists, only winners and losers. No matter how successful you are in other areas, winning or losing is the only criterion in the market. To survive in the market, one should be like a stream of water, not anxious or impatient, living in a narrow space, and seeking the simplest and purest state.
This article is written by Lianzhen (WeChat:jy82991---公众号:廉镇)供稿,本人解读世界经济要闻,剖析全球投资大趋势,对原油、黄金、 等大宗商品等有深入的研究,由于网络推送延迟性,以上内容属于个人建议,因网络发文有时效性,仅供参考,风险自担,转载请注明出处。