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Sometimes in life, the glow of a candle feels very friendly. Usually when I go to work, it's in the morning7From midnight to the early morning of the next day3Point, but in my memory, I rarely seem to leave work on time. As long as the customer's order is still there, stay up late until the early morning6Stopping trading is a common occurrence, have you ever had it before! After staying up all night and not sleeping, it's not that I'm not sleepy, let alone insomnia. It's just that the client still has an order in their hands, struggling and wandering between being unable to leave and being short. I have been doing transactions for several years, and it can be said that I spend every night with such friends. I can deeply understand your anxious heart, so I have gradually become accustomed to staying up late and using my mealtime to write an article, sending help and hope to friends who are destined to see each other. Even if it is a reassuring pill, I feel that this help is useful. However, sometimes I do feel helpless.
Thursday(5month14day)USD Index Refresh4month24The highest point since the beginning of the day100.56US President Trump stated that it is now a good time for the US dollar to strengthen, but with the significant rebound of US stocks, the US dollar has recouped most of its gains. Gold prices continue to rise, with spot gold rising more than once20The US dollar has reached its highest point in the past three weeks1736.55dollar/盎司,投资者担忧长期经济疲弱和贸易紧张关系,提振了黄金的避险需求。最新数据显示,自3月中以来申请失业金人数已升至3650万,或者说有超过五分之一的工人处于失业状态。美国劳工部周四公布的周度初请失业金数据是有关经济体质的最及时数据,上周的数据支持经济学家的观点,即经济活动在3月中几乎陷入停滞后,需要一段时间才能反弹,当时政府为减缓病毒传播实施了严格的限制措施。未来几周,请领失业金数据将受到密切关注,人们寻找是否有迹象表明,随着开始复工,企业是否会重新雇佣工人。
====Analysis of Gold Market Trend====
技术面来看,金价刷新本周高点,美联储主席鲍威尔的讲话促使投资者进一步通过买入黄金规避风险。日线布林线轨道收口,金价运行于布林线中轨上方,MACD死叉但绿能开始萎缩,KDJ金叉运行;金价强势突破周五高点1723附近阻力,有进一步试探4month23Daily high point1739.28, and even impact4month14Daily high point 1747.36的迹象,这是7年半高位,若突破该位置,则新的上行通道将被打开。不过,由于MACD死叉信号仍在,且金价短线涨幅较大,今日周线收官,短线仍然需要警惕多头获利抛盘造成的回落,下方初步支撑在5Daily moving average1715.61Nearby,10The daily moving average is supported by1709.04Further support on1700整数关口,金价近几周持续在1700附近来回震荡,表明这仍是重要心理关口,本周低点支撑在1690附近。进一步支撑在1682附近,该位置是上周三、上周四测试的低点。若进一步走低,支撑位留意1670附近,该位置在4月中旬以来被多次试探;若失守,则增加中线看空信号;综合来看今日操作思路上廉镇jy82991个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
美油6Monthly contracts soar10%, creating4month15New high in recent days27.96dollar/桶,一些主要产油国相继承诺减产,国际能源署(IEA)预测今年下半年的原油供应紧张,均令油价得到支撑。国际能源署(IEA)指出,近几周来市场规律已经展示了他们在石油市场供应方面的力量,预计下半年全球库存将减少,经济活动正开始逐步但却脆弱地复苏,然而仍然存在一些重大的不确定性,其中最大的一个不确定性是,政府是否能够在不触发第二波新冠疫情的前提下放松封锁举措。新冠肺炎病例的重新出现将成为石油需求的主要风险因素,原油市场可能再度遭到严重冲击。IEA指出,近几周来市场规律已经展示了他们在石油市场供应方面的力量,预计下半年全球库存将减少,但是仍有人担心可能会出现第二波新冠疫情。IEA指出,石油产量在很大程度上是受市场力量影响的,经济活动正开始逐步但却脆弱地复苏,然而仍然存在一些重大的不确定性。其中最大的一个不确定性是,政府是否能够在不触发第二波新冠疫情的前提下放松封锁举措。
====Analysis of crude oil market trend====
技术面来看,油价与股市等其他风险资产一起下滑,石油需求和经济复苏前景黯淡,盖过了美国原油库存下降,炼油厂原油投入创下2008年以来最低水平,显示需求复苏需要更多时间,日线日线布林线轨道水平运行,KDJ运行在超买区域,指示油价反弹空间受到一定限制,短线存在一定的回调风险,下方初步支撑在5Daily moving average26.54Nearby,10The daily moving average is supported by25.56附近,布林线中轨支撑在21.15附近,该位置同时靠近上周二触及的低点,具有一定支撑性;若下破,则下行通道将被再次打开;不过,由于MACD金叉信号延续,短线仍然需要警惕油价震荡走高的可能,上方初步阻力在4month3Daily high point29.13附近,若突破该位置,则油价可能进一步冲击30整数关口,该位置接近布林线上轨,阻力相对较强,一旦突破将打开新的上涨空间;综合来看,油价短线走势有所承压,所以今日短线操作思路上廉镇jy82991个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;