Zhou Hongjin:5.13黄金窄幅震荡，原油静待EIA-晚间黄金原油走势分析交易策略

Summary:goldMarket trends, gold trading strategies, gold market analysiscrude oilTrend analysis and crude oil operation suggestions
Opportunities sprout in opposition, erupt in discussion, and disappear in cheers. The market is running, with trends emerging between long and short games, and directions set between ups and downs. It is unlikely that a trend market will end in a short period of time. If it ends quickly, it is not a so-called trend at all. People often suffer from a greedy mentality and want to seize the highest or lowest point in the market, resulting in missing entry opportunities while waiting for the best point. This is a problem that all investors have. Profit equals a combination of good ideas and good methods. No matter how good the ideas are or how bad the operating methods are, it can be a waste of effort. Chasing up and selling down is a skill that many people excel at, but adding positions in a favorable situation is like walking on thin ice and feeling scared. This is a typical operation mode where one cannot hold onto the right one and takes on the wrong one. Profitability starts with changing one's mindset, not doing things that one doesn't understand, not pursuing high-risk things, not pursuing overnight wealth, and not expecting to stop earning all the time. The mindset naturally calms down, and the right decisions are made when one has a good mindset. No one can make good decisions when one is emotionally excited.
Message interpretation:
　　5month13day(Wednesday)欧市盘中，现货黄金则交投于1700左右。全球市场聚焦鲍威尔讲话，鸿金认为，投资者对于经济活动重启仍然存在担忧，进而冲击了市场情绪！油价今天回落，美国WTIcrude oilfutures7月合约价格一度下跌超过2%。在风险情绪遭遇打压之际，油价回落，美国WTICrude oil futures7月合约价格一度跌超2%, minimum25.53dollar/桶；布伦特原油期货价格跌超3%, lower rupture29美元关口。今天，OPEC将会公布4月原油市场报告。随着OPEC+from5月开始执行减产协议，供应过剩的局面将会逐步缓解。据媒体此前消息，沙特、阿联酋、科威特等产油国此前陆续宣布额外减产，再加上目前全球多国开始解除疫情封锁，这将提振原油需求。
　　
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
　　
　　现货黄金窄幅震荡，在美联储主席鲍威尔于北京时间21点发表演说之前，投资人避免做出重大押注。目前市场对美联储有朝一日可能实施负利率的揣测甚嚣尘上。国际货币基金组织(IMF)“很有可能”进一步下调全球经济成长预估。
　　
　　技术面来看，美国总统川普继续呼吁美联储实施负利率政策，美元走低、美债收益率下滑，为金价提供一定支撑，黄金收复1700美元关口，日线布林线轨道收口，MACDDead fork,KDJ金叉但信号较弱，指示金价上行动能仍然受到限制，短线仍然存在震荡下行的风险，下方初步支撑在1690Nearby, further support at1682附近，该位置是上周三、上周四测试的低点。若进一步走低，支撑位留意1670附近，该位置在4月中旬以来被多次试探；若失守，则增加中线看空信号；不过由于巨大的货币通胀前景和疲弱经济数据带来的通缩压力实际上应会导致美元走低，对金价构成一定支撑，且KDJ依然金叉运行，短线仍然需要警惕金价震荡反弹的可能，上方初步阻力在本周高点1711.22附近，上周五高点阻力在1723.13附近，若突破该位置，则金价可能进一步试探4month23Daily high point1739.28, and even impact4month14Heliocentric1747.36This is7年半高位，若突破该位置，则新的上行通道将被打开。综合来看今日操作思路上周鸿金zh66646个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
Focus on resistance above:1712.00；1723.13；
　　
Focus on support below:1691.99；1682.00；
　　
Real time market changes, strategy for reference only, consult Zhou Hongjin for real-time entry and exit points and medium to long term layout!
　　
2、 Analysis of the trend of US crude oil
　　
　　国际油价走弱，因市场担心一些国家可能迎来卫生事件第二轮爆发潮，进而延长实施出行限制。API数据也显示，美国原油库存仍在增加。不过俄克拉荷马库欣交割中心的库存减少了230万桶，限制了跌幅。晚间留意EIA原油库存数据及OPECMonthly report.
　　
　　技术面来看，美国政府下调了今年原油产量预测，EIAThe monthly report has been lowered2020Year and2021年的原油产量预测。尽管石油市场供应仍然大幅过剩，但全球库存增长正在放缓，油价仍维持4月中旬来最高水平附近，日线布林线轨道水平运行，MACDGolden fork, butKDJ有结成死叉的迹象，指示油价反弹空间受到一定限制，短线存在一定的回调风险，下方初步支撑在10Daily moving average23.89附近，布林线中轨支撑在20.97附近，该位置同时靠近上周二触及的低点，具有一定支撑性；若下破，则关注3month30The 18-year low reached on the day19.27；不过，沙特阿拉伯计划额外减产10010000 barrels/日，缓解了对于全球储油设施接近极限的担忧，且MACD金叉信号延续，短线仍然需要警惕油价震荡走高的可能，上方初步阻力在上周高点28.00Nearby;4month3Daily high point29.13附近，若突破该位置，则油价可能进一步冲击30整数关口，该位置接近布林线上轨，阻力相对较强，一旦突破将打开新的上涨空间；综合来看，油价短线走势有所承压，所以今日短线操作思路上周鸿金zh66646个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
Focus on resistance above:26.87；28.00；
　　
Focus on support below:23.89；20.97；
　　
Real time market changes, strategy for reference only, consult Zhou Hongjin for real-time entry and exit points and medium to long term layout!
　　
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
　　三、关于解ㄒ：因为周鸿金不知你的ㄒ单点位、仓位风险等具体ㄒ单情况，不能给出相应的解ㄒ策略。那么有需要的朋友可以咨询周鸿金或者关注“周鸿金”在此本人还是建议各位投资朋友以后做单不要抗单，仓位不要过重，避免下次再ㄒ，不是每次都是可以成功解ㄒ，不是每次都顺心如意，每一次的做单是应该有计划的做单，详情解ㄒ思路周鸿金将会在实盘实时在线给出，风险掌控及后续方案将会做出规划。
　　
　　投资是长久之计，不是一朝一夕，所以不可操之过急。就算你现在亏损了，那也没什么可怕的，只要选择正确，失去的都会再回来。对于经常被套的投资朋友周鸿金告诉你要切记以下5点禁忌：①、重仓操作。②、不带止损。③、逆势操作。④、频繁操作。⑤、心态不好操作。缘来不拒，缘走不留，茫茫人海相识成为朋友也是一种缘分。素不相识的投资朋友只因看了我的文章信任我，所以每位找到我的投资朋友我都会给予最大的帮助，让这份信任变的更有价值。希望周鸿金的文章能给你带来收获，在接下来的投资里顺风顺水。没有不成功的投资，只有不成功的操作！解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资趋势，对黄金、原油投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友，订阅“周鸿金”zh66646获取最新金融资讯、每日行情走势分析、实时交易策略及中长线布局。
　　Wen/周鸿金zh66646