周文军 5.7伦敦金美原油——黄金原油美盘走势分析及操作策略

　前言：投资市场变幻莫测，没有哪个分析师百分百的分析都是正确的，很多投资者也具备分析师的素质，有那样的能力，也会做分析，因为现货gold等都是一种单一的投资，分析起来也不难。分析师比投资者看的准就是因为我们的心态比较好，因为我们不是操盘手，而且我们还每天都盯着盘面。套单在投资过程中是很常见的一种现象，有的投资朋友不习惯带止损，有的是在大行情下来不及去设止损，而导致单子被套!At this moment, don't rush and handle it calmly!
　　
Message: Thursday（5month7日）欧市盘中，美元指数冲高至100.25高点后持续回落，目前继续维持跌势，盘中最低触及99.97。与此同时，国际现货黄金则先涨后跌，稍早冲高至1694美元高点后回撤，目前交投于1693美元。日内亚洲股票市场有所承压，避险情绪并未消散，此前一度因美元走强和黄金供应将随着冶炼厂恢复运营而增加的预期令金市承压，且随着各国开始放松疫情相关限制措施，投资者风险偏好逐步改善；目前美元指数依旧交投于100大关上方，黄金进一步创新高难度也较大，尤其是黄金实物需求尚未恢复的背景下。
　　
　　黄金：从技术面来看，因美元走强、美债收益率攀升，和黄金供应将随着冶炼厂恢复运营而增加的预期令金市承压，金价前一交易日一度刷新本周低点至1682.07dollar/盎司，目前回升至1690上方，日线布林线轨道开始收口，MACDandKDJ死叉运行，指示黄金存在震荡下跌的可能性。下方初步支撑在周三低点1682附近，这是这两个交易日测试的低点；若跌破，支撑位下看上周五低点1670一线，这在4月中旬以来被多次测试。下破后会增加市场看空信号，料进一步跌至4month21Daily low point1659.55附近；若再度失守，进一步支撑在1634.70This is affected by60日均线支撑，同时是1451.55-1747.36这波上涨的38.2%回撤位。若再度下破，留意1612附近，这是布林带下轨支撑，若再度下探，料回撤至1600Pass, this is50%回撤位，有较强支撑性。上方初步阻力留意1700关口，若回升至该关口上方，会增加市场看多情绪，进一步上看周一高点1714.67。若上破，关注上周四触及的高点1721.68附近。若该点位被突破，进一步阻力位上看4month23Daily high point1739.28；甚至可能测试4month14Heliocentric1747.36This is7年半高位。
　　
　　黄金短线4小时布林线轨道轻微收口，MACDDead cross and index below0Axis,KDJDead cross with exponent at30Nearby; This indicates that the gold price is short term and expected to fluctuate and lower. Gold prices are currently hovering1690Nearby, preliminary support is looking towards1677Near the front line, this is supported by the lower track of the Bollinger belt. Once lost, material testing1670Frontline, if this point is missed, it will further trigger bearish sentiment in the market and is expected to be retested4month21Daily low point1659.55Nearby, this is affected by200日均线支撑。布林带中轨1696是上方初步阻力所在，若上破则看向1705Frontline, this is affected by55Daily moving average and100日均线压制。一旦上破，则看向周一高位1714.67，这也受布林带上轨压制；综合来看，今日晚间短线操作思路上周文军个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1698-1700Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1682-1684Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
　　
　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1698-1700Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1690-1688frontline;
　　
　　2The pullback below the gold does not break1682-1684Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1692-1694frontline;
　　
　　3、策略仅供参考，盘间行情实时变化具体进场点位以周文军微信(zwj964646)The actual offer shall prevail;
　　
　　crude oil：原油日线来看，高位遇阻回调，KDJGolden cross, random index temperature up,MACDThe golden fork continues and the red energy column spreads upwards, indicating that crude oil is still in the upward trend and will continue to maintain a strong trend unless it falls below20.0Support, otherwise it will be difficult for crude oil to return10.0Below, althoughEIA数据利多，但是由于隔夜原油跌美盘跌势太猛，导致数据波动难以强势拉升，现在整体陷入低位震荡，下方首先关注5Daily moving average22.0Support, followed by20.0The checkpoint supports, and before losing two positions, the market tends to rise in the future. Follow Above First25.0Resistance, followed by26.0阻力，也是昨天的制高点，如果破位该位置阻力有望试探28.0-30.0Area.
　　
Crude oil4小时来看，震荡下跌：KDJThe high dead cross extends downwards, and the random indicator extends downwards,MACD有结成死叉迹象，红色能量柱缩减；指示原油反弹不做，接下来将展开回撤之势，原油今日在26.0After encountering obstacles at the checkpoint, it began to retreat. Currently5Daily moving average and10The daily moving average creates reverse resistance, and the upper short-term focus25.0Frontline pressure level, further resistance at the high point of rebound25.5附近阻力，由于目前原油上涨不足，短线偏向回调整理，下方首先关注隔夜低点22.5First line support, followed by20.0The support of the gateway is further supported by18.0On the first line, which is also a recent rising point, breaking the support of this position will end the bullish pattern of crude oil; However, due to the flattening of the three tracks of the Bollinger Belt, since the rebound of oil prices to the low point, the middle track of the Bollinger Belt has been supporting the periodic rise of oil prices, so the future market has not fallen behind the middle track21.0支撑之前，还是保持强势走势。综合来看，今日晚间短线操作思路上周文军个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注27.4-27.6Frontline resistance, short-term focus below25.2-25.4Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
　　
　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break27.4-27.6Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target26.4-26.2frontline;
　　
　　2The downward correction of crude oil does not break25.2-25.4Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target26.8-27.0frontline;
　　
　　3The market is constantly changing, and the positions are for reference only. Investment is risky, and caution is required when entering the market. For more details, please follow Zhou Wenjun's official website||Wei:zwj964646；
　　
　　周文军寄语：这个市场没有常胜将军，更没有神这一说，分析师都有出错的时候，那么关键问题来了，笔者周文军个人坚持一个仓位和节奏要求VIPJinyou Trading does not involve heavy positions, and no matter how many times it is done correctly, there is no need to discuss whether risk control is good or not. Therefore, when there is an error in an order, the trend and expectations are not consistent. It is important to cut the position as soon as possible instead of waiting for a stop loss foolishly. What needs to be done is the win rate, relying on profit accumulation to earn wealth, rather than heavy position trading. If there is an error in a loss, it is necessary to repeatedly increase the position. I do not have such guidance here, nor do I agree with it. Investment trading always puts technical risk control first, mentality and technology second, only then can profits continue.
　　
This article is written by Zhou Wenjun (WeChat:zwj964646）As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publication, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint.