5.7黄金暴跌犹如高台跳水，黄金还会涨吗？金油后市行情分析策略指导

看似简单的买涨买跌，但还是很多投资者为之苦恼，甚至付出惨痛的代价，内行看门道，外行看热闹。投资就像开车一样，开车谁也不能保证不会出事故，但是只要我们遵守交通规则，不酒驾不违规，带好刹车控制好风险，我们就可以将事故发生率降到最低，甚至不发生。我们做投资也一样，只要严格执行操作建议，控制好仓位，严格止损，外加精准的操作点位，我们就可以最大程度的提高赚钱的胜算，使得风险最小化，收益最大化。相识是缘，相知则是份。笔者坚信有缘千里终相识，无份擦肩乃天命。投资的路途很漫长，一时的得失只是途中的冰山一角。要知道智者千虑必有一失，愚者千虑必有一得。无论情绪如何如何，时间不会因你而停滞不前。拾起心中的烦闷，重新站起来整装前行。此时的你能阅览到这里，说明你我有缘，只要你愿意与我分享你的得失，我会很乐意为你排忧解难，成为你投资路途中的知己。心的停滞，使你坐观井底仰天叹息。路过的我，是否因缘有幸结伴同行

　　

For inbound investmentsgoldcrude oil的朋友可能会因为工作、生活等问题无法获取国际市场第一新闻或消息，这对做黄金原油来讲是很大的困扰，所以翼盟胜鼎欢迎做投资的朋友找到我一起共同交流与进步，让各位随时随地第一时间知道国际市场动向，做最稳健的单子。翼盟胜鼎每天早7spot30Until early morning2Real time online guidance, providing investment information sharing, market analysis, current price bidding, order making skills, position management, and risk control plans!

　　

　　黄金行情走势分析————

　　

　　黄金由于欧美股市全线上涨，受欧美国家重启经济提振，与美股走势一致，受美国一些州和其他国家可能解封，以及美国服务业数据强于市场预期的提振。金价稳定在1700The level above the US dollar is due to the large-scale stimulus measures taken by the world to alleviate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy, which offset the impact of the easing of restrictions and blockade measures on the improvement of risk sentiment. From a technical perspective, yesterday's market experienced a downward trend, rebounded, and closed higher. The Asian market rebounded first, which is in line with our multiple thinking after rebounding high, with the highest yield being1704First line pressure drop, lowest given1690First line stabilization and upward trend, with the highest offer from the US market1712First line pressure reduction and consolidation. The daily line ultimately charges a small positive line. yesterday5All gold orders have made profits, and today's market is focused on the top1715-20One line of resistance, pay attention below1680-75一线支撑。操作上翼盟胜鼎建议多空一起上。

　　

　　日线形态上面，价格震荡下行趋势较为明显，价格在小区间运行，比较符合当前日线布林带收口的状态，目前市场消息面带来的利多因素消耗殆尽，且技术上存在均线压制，单KThe positive closing of the daily market has shown a stronger trend, with a more prominent competition between long and short positions. Currently, the daily structure is still in a large triangular oscillation pattern, and the downward pressure caused by the cross of the moving averages is stronger. Therefore, in the future, the short-term market is more inclined to revise and adjust, with a short-term yellow trend4From the hourly chart trend, firstly, the price remains at1660-1750The large-scale oscillation has been going on for nearly a month, forming a box structure with a longer period. Due to the previous drop below3month20The recent upward trend line and backtesting resistance are effective, reflecting a higher probability of further decline in the market. At the same time, the longer the time it runs inside the box, the closer the critical point of a major break is. Short line1720-1680The range of inter community operations has begun to shrink, with significant support and pressure. Based on this week's data, there is a high possibility of a bullish trend. However, currently, gold technology is relatively strong in terms of suppression. Gold can be seen to fall back to support points before entering the market and laying out multiple orders. Currently, the price is running atMA20Above the daily moving average,KDJThe third tier is located in a bull headed area,MACD红色动能柱开始缩减，且快线金叉即将刺破零轴，形成强势多头的趋势，所以综合分析操作上翼盟胜鼎建议反弹做空为主，低多为辅，上方关注1715-1720Resistance, pay attention below1670-1665Support,
　　

Crude oil（06）Market trend analysis————

　　

Oil companies, refineries, and oil traders all believe that the worst demand disruption is over. However, there is currently no consensus on how long it will take for global oil demand to recover to pre pandemic levels. Industry experts generally believe that oil demand has recovered to2019The annual level may take over a year. UBS believes that the excess supply in the oil market in the second quarter may reach100010000 barrels/Around the day, apply oil to2020By the end of the year, it should rebound to43dollar/Barrel, to2021year6At the end of the month, it will rebound to55USD. As one of the world's largest oil companies, the CEO of ShellBen van BeurdenLast week, during a financial report conference call, it was stated that the current crisis is an "uncertainty crisis" and we do not know what the other side of it is because the company has cut dividends for the first time since World War II.  BeurdenIt is believed that oil prices may rebound, but if transaction volume significantly decreases, there will still be a serious mismatch in the allocation of own funds.

　　

　　原油目前来看美国基准原油futures价格已经较上周盘中低点10The US dollar has risen by more than1.5Times. United StatesAPIThe unexpected decline in gasoline inventory also provides upward momentum for oil prices. along withOPEC+Producers have reached historic production reduction agreements, and shale oil fields in the United States are also shutting down. Oil prices have risen for six consecutive trading days, reaching their highest intraday level27.98US dollars, which is the highest price in nearly a month; Daily lineMACDandKDJGolden fork operation, oil prices once approached28In the vicinity of the US dollar, if there is a further upward break, first pay attention to4month3Daily high point29.13Nearby resistance, where resistance is relatively strong. Once the oil price breaks through this position, it may further impact the oil price30Integer level; However, due to the significant short-term increase in oil prices, andKDJApproaching the overbought area, we still need to be vigilant about the possibility of high oil prices falling in the short term. Below, preliminary support is based on the previous trading day's high point25.49，5The daily moving average support is currently at22.46Nearby, the low point of the previous trading day was supported at21.13Nearby, this position is close to both the mid track of the Bollinger Line and the low point hit on Tuesday. If this position is missed, oil prices may step back again3month30Daily low point19.27附近支撑，若再度失守，预计将引发原油抛售；综合来看，今日操作思路上翼盟胜鼎个人建议低多为主，高空为辅；目前仓位上有单的朋友，由于笔者翼盟胜鼎不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线本人

　　

　　翼盟胜鼎个人做单解套策略：【投资有风险，入市需谨慎】

　　

　　一，以快刀斩乱麻的方式止损了结。即将所持仓全盘卖出，以免价格继续下跌而遭受更大损失。采取这种解套策略主要适合于以投机为目的的短期投资者。因为处于跌势的空头市场中，短期投资者持有的时间越长，给投资者带来的损失也将越大。

　　

　　二，采用拨档的方式进行操作。即先止损了结，然后在较低的价位时，再补进，以减轻或轧平上档解套的损失。

　　

　　三，采取向下摊平的操作方法。即随价格下挫幅度扩增反而加码买进，从而平均成本，以待回升获利。但采取此项作法，必须以确认整体投资环境尚未变坏，市场并无由多头市场转入空头市场的情况发生为前提，否则，极易陷入愈套愈多的窘境。

　　

　　四，采取以不变应万变的“不卖不赔”方法。在单子被套牢后，只要尚未脱手，就不能认定投资者已亏血本。

　　

If the order in hand has development prospects, and the overall investment environment has not deteriorated, and the market trend has not yet deviated from the unknown market, there is no need to panic for a temporary hold up. At this time, the method to be adopted is not to sell the hold up order and the market, but to remain unchanged and respond to changes, waiting for the gold price to rebound and unwind. Different situations have different ways of unwinding.

　　

　　投资不是生活的全部，你只需相信盈利是本心！

　　

A big market implies a big opportunity, and many people will fight for it. However, high profits are accompanied by high risks. Seizing it can lead to significant profits, but not seizing it can lead to a sell-out. No matter how the market goes, what we need to do is"Taking advantage of the situation". Follow the trend and die against it. The principle to always remember when making investments is to conform to the market and trends. No matter how big the market is, it is always the market, and no matter how small the profit is, it is always one's own. No matter how the market goes, we must keep up with the rhythm of the market in order to win! My sincerity has earned your trust, which is exactly what you need, and I am just a professional. Still enduring the taste of losses? Now you need to change!

　　

　　本文由翼盟胜鼎（官微：ymsd06 ）Exclusive and original by an analyst. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online posts, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting