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生活,永远不会亏待用心经营它的人,做一个不轻易垮塌的成年人,天行健,君子以自强不息,地势坤,君子以厚德载物。提笔安天下,跨马定乾坤。我要这天,再遮不住我眼,要这地,再埋不了我心,要这众生,都明白我意,要那诸佛,都烟消云散!要行情,都如你我之意,初学者为未知的行情彷徨,老练者为已知的寂寞而发愁,独独你我,方向已定,趋势在握,分分秒秒愿都自行支配,收拾一下心情,面对每天的喜悦!
goldMarket news:
Spot gold fell first and then rose last Friday, reaching its lowest point in the day1670.15The US dollar rebounded and surpassed30The US dollar once broke1700US dollar level, ultimately closing higher0.78%But the weekly trend has been consistently declining1.69%. Last Friday, Silver was mainly15美元关口下方微幅波动。伦敦金银市场协会(LBMA)The report displays,3Monthly gold trading volume increased month on month36%, reaching464100 million US dollars, for1999年以来最高水平;白银交易量也创纪录新高。这表明多头尚未准备好放弃控制权,此外日线图上的RSI指标在上周早些时候测试50水平,也确认了黄金近期看涨的前景。
考虑到疫情因素,中国实物金消费的大幅下滑并不意外。相比之下,此前一则有关“泰国人排队卖金”的消息更加令人意外。根据当地媒体报道,不少泰国民众趁着金价高企,排着队卖出持有的黄金。由于卖黄金的民众实在太大,更传出一些金铺现金都几乎用光。美银美林认为,随着经济产出大幅萎缩、财政支出骤增以及央行资产负债表翻倍,法定货币或将面临压力,“投资者将瞄准黄金”。随着各国央行和政府分别将资产负债表和财政赤字翻倍,18个月黄金目标价完全有理由被提高到3000dollar/盎司。不过,美银美林强调,黄金上涨也绝非是一条直线,黄金需要与强美元抗衡,还要与弱需求(如印度、中国对黄金需求)抗衡,但这些都不会阻止在19个月内看到金价3000dollar/盎司,毕竟实际利率、名义GDP、央行资产负债表和官方黄金储备等都仍是决定金价的关键因素。关注工纵好“廉镇”即可获得实时最新行情操作建议、中线布局计划一份!
crude oilMarket news:
In the oil market,WTICrude oil broke through multiple tests last Friday20The US dollar level, but ultimately failed to stabilize and closed higher3.41%Report19.70dollar/Bucket. Last week, the overall oil price showed a trend of first falling and then rising,WTICrude oil from16Above the US dollar level, the lowest point almost fell below10USD level, touching10.21dollar/Barrel, but rebounded from Tuesday and eventually closed higher on the weekly basis13.75%。布油周内也从18.72美元的低点最高反弹至27.81美元水平,最终收于26美元关口上方。当前市场越来越相信,随着封锁措施的放松以及全球经济的重启,石油和燃料油的需求将开始急剧增加。周一早盘。WTIcrude oilfutures跌近8%
上周油价大幅收涨,基本面上的支撑主要是欧佩克+开始减产以及各国计划重启经济,这些燃起了投资者对油市供需走向平衡的希望。但库存短时间内即将爆满的问题仍将是油市的一个“定时炸弹”。高盛最新报告指出,石油基本面显示出改善的迹象期,预计WTI原油将开启三个阶段的反弹,5月将涨至25美元水平。高盛认为现在看来原油库容问题已有所缓解。根据过去的表现,价格形成一个坚实支撑位需要大概5周时间,所以在那之前,油价可能还会继续上下波动。就连股神巴菲特也在周末的股东大会上表示,没人知道油价会走往何处,产油企业的未来无法预测
====Analysis of crude oil market trend====
The daily crude oil market closed at a small positive line, with high prices breaking past highs and low prices breaking new lows. There was an emerging trend, with the moving average being short and running atkPressure is formed above the line, and on the trend indicator, there are signs of weakness in bearish momentum, while on the volatility indicator, there are signs of turning. The overall performance is rebounding from a low level; The hourly chart of crude oil shows that in terms of morphology, crude oil has appearedNType breakthroughs can be subdivided intoABC,NBreakthrough can only be considered as a three wave structure. If further evolution into an upward driving wave is needed, further extension is needed. The minimum standard isCThe rise of the waves should exceedAIt's best to give the wave an increase in amplitude%168Then there were four waves of retreat and five waves of rise. Overall, after a continuous wave of oil price increases, there are signs of weakening the upward momentum, which is currently in the18.0-20.2In the interval oscillation, there is a sense of deja vu, if we hold onto the support of the oscillation interval18.0The probability is that the upward trend will continue, and if it breaks below the high probability, it will retreat and seek support16.0,廉镇综合来看今日交易上考虑回撤布局多单为主,反弹做空为辅,上方关注20.4-22.0dollar/Bucket, lower support attention18.0-16.0dollar/桶。以上建议仅供参考,具体操作以实时行情盘面走势为主,投资有风险,盈亏请自行把控,详情请关注或咨询我进行解套、技术讲解、原油黄金分析指导官微:jy82991
====Analysis of Gold Market Trend====
上周金价上行受阻,前两个交易日持续下行,跌至1690一线位置得以支撑,周三下跌态势有所缓解,开始小幅度反弹,力度偏弱,周四开始再次试探1690一线位置,随后顺利下破,跌至1680,周五再破新低,跌至1670位置,随后晚间的获利回吐也非常迅猛,最终收盘于1700附近,总体上来看走势偏于弱势。
从技术面上分析,上周收取一根下影线较长的阴柱,说明多空力量仍然争夺激烈,光从技术形态上讲,空头走势明显,但是市场避险情绪的升温,以及黄金ETF持仓量的增加,都有利于金价,在关键支撑位得以支撑。日线上分析,双顶态势已经成型,1680位置处的支撑已经成功下破,虽然上周五的反弹金价再次来到了1700,但是反弹力度有限,廉镇认为周初下行态势仍然存在,重点关注1670位置处的情况,若再次试探有可能继续下破。4小时线上看布林带慢慢张口,金价在布林带中轨位置运行,短期内偏于震荡,从小时线图上看,金价波浪式下探后开始急速反弹于1705处受阻,短期内会有回踩需求。廉镇综合来短期重点关注1700-1705Line resistance,00-05附近不破短期做单建议做空,下方重点关注1680-1685一线支撑,上方回踩80-85附近做单建议看涨偏多,跌破支撑位将延续跌势,以上建议仅供参考,具体操作以实时行情盘面走势为主,投资有风险,盈亏请自行把控,详情请关注或咨询我进行解套、技术讲解、原油黄金分析指导官微:jy82991
长长的路,慢慢地走,喧嚣市场中,谁都不是振臂一呼的英雄,无法改变市场节奏就得学着适应,都说万事开头难,然而过程难,后面更难,但是依然坚信的是胜者永不言弃,弃者永不得胜。交易就是怀疑和相信组成,相信完了再怀疑,怀疑后再相信,连续不断,反复对自我肯定以及否定,最终坚守到一个答案。
廉镇(指导微信jy82991)——黄金、白银、原油foreign exchangeSenior analyst. I have been in the industry for many years and have been committed to analyzing and researching financial markets. Having solid knowledge of financial theory and accumulating rich practical experience in trading. Proficient in applying wave theoryKThe line shape and moving average system are used for trend prediction, with a robust operating style. Has rich market experience, excels in long and short single line layout and market analysis direction, and has a decisive and steady operating style. |
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