Zhou Hongjin:5.3周一黄金原油开盘行情走势分析，黄金原油操作策略空单解套

Summary:goldMarket trends, gold trading strategies, gold market analysiscrude oilTrend analysis and crude oil operation suggestions
　　
The most terrifying thing in the market is not the lack of market conditions, not the lack of opportunities, but the confusion and disorderly placing of orders. A person who doesn't know where to go is facing in the opposite direction, and the wind blowing in any direction will be against the wind!People who also do not understand trading, no matter how long they short, once the market fluctuates, it is a disaster free! There is no fancy language here, only tangible trading and clear and straightforward operations. The market has only one direction, not long or short, but the right direction. Reasonable risk control+Good investment returns allow every individual investor to find the true joy of investing, instead of constantly increasing losses due to their daily hard trading. I have always believed that choice is more important than effort. A good mentor and technical team should not only bring profits to customers, but also be responsible for them. Individual investors, relying solely on their own efforts to face the market, are prone to being caught off guard when faced with sudden rises and falls. However, if someone can see the situation clearly and provide direction outside the circle, they can do better.
　　
　　市场回顾与展望：
　　
　　刚刚过去的一周，陆续公布的数据显示出新冠病毒疫情对欧美等国家地区的巨大打击。同时疫情缓解的情况下多国正准备放宽封锁政策。但周四美国总统特朗普的一番言论令地缘政治风险重现。现货黄金一度跌至1670.25dollar/盎司。尽管随着地缘政治风险的增加，现货黄金在周五美市盘中重回1700dollar/盎司水平，但本周金价仍下跌了逾1.5%，收跌于1680dollar/盎司左右。金价基本保持在前一周的区间内，与美元一道下跌。全球减产协议（幅度为97010000 barrels/日）于周五生效，但石油市场的基本前景仍然黯淡。供应和库存问题是阻止任何有意义的反弹的两个关键因素。本周，6monthfutures上涨了略高于9％，在周二交易价格跌至10美元附近后恢复良好。
　　
　　展望下周，市场将迎来每月一度的美国非农就业报告，预计数据表现将史无前例糟糕。另有多国贸易帐，以及中国外储和社融等重磅数据出炉将先后出炉。事件方面，澳洲联储和英国央行将先后召开议息会议，多位美联储官员也将相继发表公开讲话。投资者还需关注疫情在全球的发展以及各国的举措。
　　
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
　　
　　刚刚过去的一周，黄金重新收跌，终盘走低1.64%to1698.90dollar/盎司，因一种新药物治疗试验传来乐观结果，且一些国家计划放松卫生事件相关封锁措施推动了投资者对风险较高资产的兴趣。不过各国史无前例的刺激措施仍给黄金提供了潜在支撑。美联储扩大货币宽松措施敞开大门，打击了对于经济很快从卫生事件中复苏的预期。
　　
　　技术面来看，金价周五触底反弹，一度张逾1%, rebounding lower than the previous day35USD, refreshing daily high1705.86dollar/盎司，因美国总统川普的关税言论，导致市场风险情绪恶化，美股大跌，刺激了黄金的避险需求，日线MACDandKDJ死叉运行，金价尾盘多次试探5Daily moving average1704.42附近阻力未能有效突破，目前技术面看空信号仍然未能有效反转，下周继续留意1692.59附近支撑得失，该位置仍然可以作为短期多空分水岭，若失守该位置，则金价可能再次震荡下跌去回踩周五低点1670附近支撑，不过，由于本次反弹非常强势，且金价收盘在1700上方，短线看空信号有所减弱，上方初步阻力在5Daily moving average1704.42Nearby,10Daily moving average resistance1707.81附近，若突破该位置则增加短线看涨信号，周四高点阻力在1721.68Nearby, strong resistance4month23Daily high point1739.28附近。综合来看，周一短线操作思路上周鸿金zh66646个人建议低多为主，高空为辅；
　　
Focus on resistance above:1707.81；1721.68；
　　
Focus on support below:1692.59；1680.00；
　　
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2、 Analysis of the trend of US crude oil
　　
　　刚刚过去的一周，国际油价反弹收高，美国原油库存增长低于预期，而且随着欧洲部分国家和美国一些城市放松疫情封锁举措，对石油需求增长的预期升温。但市场依然担心全球储油能力有限，能源行业正不惜代价地寻找储油空间。且预计随着逐步解除抗疫期间而采取的限制措施，燃料需求仅会缓慢复苏。
　　
　　技术面来看，因石油输出国组织(OPEC)And its allies have started record cutting production to address the oversupply caused by the health crisis, coupled with most countries planning to reopen their economies, giving oil prices a chance to rebound; US crude oil rose on Friday4.5%At one point during the trading session, it rose to20Above the US dollar, the daily chart recorded four consecutive bullish days,MACDandKDJGolden cross operation, further exploration of oil prices in the middle track of the Bollinger Line20.44Signs of nearby resistance, if broken, are expected to be further explored4month21Daily high point22.58and4month17Daily high point26.78Nearby resistance; However, as oil prices are still being suppressed by the mid track resistance of the Bollinger Line, if oil prices cannot effectively break through this level, there is still a need to be vigilant about the risk of oil price fluctuations and declines. Below is preliminary support for reference to Friday's low point18.07Nearby, further support at10Daily moving average16.29Nearby, currently5Daily moving average uploaded10日均线的迹象，该位置也是交叉点，可以作为短线多空分界的参考，若油价坚守该位置，则仍有机会延续震荡反弹的走势；综合来看，周一操作思路上周鸿金zh66646个人建议低多为主，高空为辅；
　　
Focus on resistance above:20.44；22.58；
　　
Focus on support below:18.07；16.29；
　　
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Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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