原油:周五(5month1日)亚洲时段,美元指数交投于99关口上方,日内亚洲股市纷纷大跌,新冠肺炎疫情对全球经济的影响开始显现,近期公布的企业财报也令投资者失望,日本4Monthly manufacturing industryPMI终值萎缩速度为11年以来最快,而日本首相安倍晋三计划延长紧急状态,摩根大通下调日本第二季度GDP增速预期。投资者继续结清黄金多头头寸,美油创一周半新高,日内更多经济体准备解除经济封锁,马来西亚准备重启经济活动,澳大利亚将在5month8The decision on whether to relax epidemic prevention restrictions and the news of global resumption of work is undoubtedly the biggest support for the recovery of demand. Dahua Bank pointed out in its Global Economic Outlook report that Brent crude oil prices may fall back to20dollar/桶,油价的大幅下跌导致了在全球金融危机期间出现的一个陡峭的futures溢价,与此同时,原油隐含波动率飙升至近200%; Brent crude oil tested in the second quarter20The risk of a decline in the US dollar still exists, and as the global economy attempts to self repair, energy demand is expected to remain weak in the coming quarters, leading to further downgrading of forecasts for Brent crude oil in the second quarter20USD, Q3:25USD, Q4:30USD, for the first quarter of next year35The US dollar, only an unexpected reconciliation between Saudi Arabia and Russia can trigger a stronger recovery in energy prices.
技术面来分析,日线上看,隔日原油延续前两个交易日涨势,再次上涨,日线收得中阳,并突破中轨位置,有效收于上方,今日原油开盘即涨,攻破20关口,仍有进一步上行可能;4小时上看,原油呈现震荡上行趋势,位于MA5-10日线持续走高,当前布林带处于开口期,MA均线走出双金叉形态,KDJThree lines of random indicators converge downwards,MACD指标红色动能柱开始缩量,快慢线平行向前,廉镇综合来看,原油再经过早间的冲高,目前短线有回落需求,但整体依旧看涨不变,日内操作建议回撤做多为主,下方关注18.0-17.5Frontline support, attention from above20.3-20.6一线阻力,激进者可高位博弈空单。投资有风险,建议供参考,具体实时做单策略以廉镇实盘微信jy82991为主!
黄金行情分析:黄金日线上来看:高位震荡,MACDDead fork, green kinetic energy column looming,KDJDead cross, random indicators slightly lower, indicating that action can be restarted under gold, and there is still a possibility of falling again in the future.4From an hourly perspective: Gold maintains a volatile consolidation,MACDDead fork, reduced green kinetic energy column,KDJ从新结成金叉,随机指标走高,指示黄金下方支撑强劲,接下来料展开反弹之势。今日操作 建议下方关注1660-1665强支撑,形成支撑上看4Hour Bollinger Belt on Track1750区域,上方继续关注1740-1750压力测试情况,在没有失守该位置之前,后市偏向震荡。综合来看,下周短线操作思路廉镇个人建议以回撤低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1710-1715Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1660-1665一线支撑。破位顺势跟进!投资有风险,建议供参考,具体实时做单策略以廉镇实盘微信jy82991为主!
廉镇寄语:
投资分析只是投资成功的第一步。但是成功的投资不仅需要正确的市场分析,还需要科学的风险管理,正确的心理控制。这三者之间心理控制是最重要的,其次是风险管理,再其次才是投资分析技能。但是对99%以上的投资人来说,他们以为投资分析是最重要的,而根本不认识风险管理的重要性,更不知道心理控制的极端重要性。如果你需要帮助,我便伸出援手,信任需要一点一滴的积累,而你只需要向前迈出你的一小步。趋势为主,区间为辅,莫拘泥点位;永不满仓,止盈止损,忌拖泥带水。
廉镇(指导微信jy82991)——黄金、白银、原油foreign exchangeSenior analyst. I have been in the industry for many years and have been committed to analyzing and researching financial markets. Having solid knowledge of financial theory and accumulating rich practical experience in trading. Proficient in applying wave theoryKThe line shape and moving average system are used for trend prediction, with a robust operating style. Has rich market experience, excels in long and short single line layout and market analysis direction, and has a decisive and steady operating style.