《今博周报》5.2国际原油下周一行情走势预测/外汇黄金下周一开盘如何操作

　　前言：人们总是在遭到一点点挫折之后就退缩了，殊不知如果你再坚持一点，勇敢一点点，就会看到阳光。我知道迷路的你总会有些时候，满心期待换来的是失望，或者是不体谅。努力了好像还是看不见希望，你甚至一度认为没有人比你更加不如意了，渐渐地你会开始不自信不勇敢。然而，每当这个时候，你都能在心中听到一个声音清晰而坚定，再来一次。也许我不是最厉害的老师，但我绝 Yes, it's in your best interest A teacher who takes into account the importance of modernization. I have been working in the financial industry for many years, with a keen sense of market trends and unique insights into market fluctuations. If you happen to need it and I happen to be a professional, then let's fight side by side and meet on a narrow path. With the most sincere heart, I will take you on the brightest path.


Message: Friday(5month1day)Late Asian Market, Spotgold突然加速下跌，并一度逼近1670dollar/盎司关口，最低触及1670.30dollar/盎司。金价后市面临进一步下跌的风险。另一方面，美元指数小幅反弹，目前位于99.10附近。北京时间周五晚间，投资者将迎来美国4monthISM制造业采购经理人指数，预计将影响黄金和美元的走势。金价也延续了周四的下跌走势。因投资者获利了结，且有迹象显示各国可能很快放松由新冠病毒引发的封锁措施，这提振了风险情绪，周四金价大跌逾25美元。现货黄金周四盘中最低下探1680.07dollar/Ounces, closing1685.85dollar/Ounces, down26.41USD or1.54%。


　　黄金：周四美国股市收低，但因各国陆续重启经济，提振市场的风险偏好，加上临近月末，投资者并未买入黄金，而是选择获利了结，这使得黄金一度触及1680关口。不过数据显示第一季ETF黄金持仓跳增300吨，整体持仓则是突破3000吨，创下历史新高。同时越来越多的机构押注第二季度美国经济可能会进一步大幅差于预期，且巨量刺激引发的通胀和债务危机也将逐步显现，从长期看黄金仍偏向于多头。


Friday（5month1日）现货黄金窄幅震荡，跌幅0.67%。日内关注美国4monthISMmanufacturingPMI，以寻找疫情对于美国制造业冲击的线索。值得一提的是，因劳动节全球大部分市场休市，但是美国市场五一照常开市，因此晚间仍需关注美股的表现。今博从盘面来看，黄金日线连续收阴，暴涨暴跌为四月份画上句号。昨日白盘优先低多思路对待，晚上防守1708破位，思路转变顺势空获利满满。技术面上日线实体阴线承压，均线拐头向下延伸，关注凌晨反弹高点1692附近阻力。四小时来看，布林带以及均线呈现空头排列，甚至跌穿布林带下轨支撑，足以看出空头的强势。附图指标MACD阴线延续放量，KDJ指标三线死叉向下，STO指标超卖跌之0轴酝酿，不排除仍会有小幅反弹的需求。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上王今博个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1705-1710Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1685-1680Frontline support. For friends who currently have orders on their positions, as I, Wang Jinbo, do not know the specific positions and details of your positions for hedging, it is difficult to provide a corresponding hedging strategy. If you need to unwind, you can do so on your own (official WeChat account:wjb9393）


　　crude oil：原油日线来看原油昨日收出实体大阳线，亚盘开盘原油以15The first line of stabilization is beginning to rebound, influenced by the previous day's crude oilEIA数据利多的影响导致原油大幅反弹，因有迹象显示美国原油过剩程度不及预期，且受新冠疫情限制措施打击的原油需求开始反弹。不过王今博认为反弹微乎其微，任何人不应误以为全球能源市场的崩跌即将结束。欧盘开盘原油一直逐步上涨拉升，并且企稳17一线价格表现的非常强势，王今博也是按照策略带着线下客户今日做多把握了利润空间，美盘价格一直新高不断，但最高反弹18.6A sharp drop occurred nearby, reaching its lowest point16.5Nearby, in the latter half of the night, oil producing countries announced that they would reduce production and there were signs that the increase in US crude oil inventories led to another stabilization and ultimately stabilization of crude oil prices18First line and closing at19Above, crude oil continued to rise at the beginning of today's morning trading, with its current highest rebound20.4一线短期承压，王今博目前从4小时来看价格一直企稳中轨一线之前，而且中轨一直逐步勾头向上短期有点偏强。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上王今博个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注21.0-21.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below18.0-17.5一线支撑。行情实时变化，添加笔者王今博WeiXinNumber（wjb9393）Get daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout. We welcome like-minded individuals to come and have a long conversation!


　　王今博做单思路解析:


　　1、及时设置止损：这个问题相关的文章很多，有的散户见一次止损后没几天行情又涨了回来，下次就抱有侥幸心理不再止损，这是不行的。就我而言，决不容许出现超过10%的亏损。“截断亏损，让利润奔跑”，确是至理名言啊。但话又说回来，如果你没有自己的赢利模式，你的结局也就是买入，止损，再买入再止损。


　　2、自我信任不犹豫：很多朋友分析昨天行情头头是道，判断今天走势模棱两可，制定好的策略不去执行，前怕狼后怕虎。一个没有目标的人是可悲的，但一个没有执行力的人是可笑的。没有目标的人将在这个市场为别人实现目标，没有计划的人终将有一天被别人计划。


　　3、交易要有节奏感：对主力的操盘方法没有一个系统的认识，投资原油沥青等现货就像盲人摸象，毫无章法，运气好时也能赢两把，运气不好了就一败涂地。所以散户总是唱“为什么受伤的总是我”的那个人。


　　4、避免追涨杀跌：在交易中不愿放过每一个机会，看见大盘涨了一点就急忙杀入，根本不清楚自己能有几成胜算，结果一下又被套住了，其实这是由于水平低下，缺乏自信所致，如果你能有几套适用于不同环境市场的赢利模式，那么不管原油黄金行情涨、跌还是盘整，你都有稳健的获利办法，你就能从容不迫的等待趋势明朗时再介入，把风险降到最低。


　　今博寄语：这个市场没有常胜将军，更没有神这一说，分析师都有出错的时候，那么关键问题来了，笔者王今博个人坚持一个仓位和节奏要求VIPJinyou Trading does not involve heavy positions, and no matter how many times it is done correctly, there is no need to discuss whether risk control is good or not. Therefore, when there is an error in an order, the trend and expectations are not consistent. It is important to cut the position as soon as possible instead of waiting for a stop loss foolishly. What needs to be done is the win rate, relying on profit accumulation to earn wealth, rather than heavy position trading. If there is an error in a loss, it is necessary to repeatedly increase the position. I do not have such guidance here, nor do I agree with it. Investment trading always puts technical risk control first, mentality and technology second, only then can profits continue.


This article is written by Wang Jinbo (WeChat:wjb9393---Official account: Wang Jinbo), I interpret the world economic news, analyze the global investment trend, and have in-depth research on crude oil, gold, silver and other bulk commodities. Due to the delay of online push, the above contents are personal suggestions, and because online posts are timely, they are only for reference, and the risk is borne by myself. Please indicate the source for reprinting.