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好茶不怕细品,好事不怕细论,活鱼会逆流而上,死鱼才随波逐流。市场中最可怕的不是没有行情,不是没有机会,而是茫然,一个不知道去哪里人,面朝哪个方向都是逆向,任何一个方向吹来的风将都是逆风!
Message surface:
crude oil: Friday(5month1日)亚洲时段,美元指数交投于99关口上方,日内亚洲股市纷纷大跌,疫情对全球经济的影响开始显现,近期公布的企业财报也令投资者失望,日本4Monthly manufacturing industryPMI终值萎缩速度为11年以来最快,而日本首相安倍晋三计划延长紧急状态,摩根大通下调日本第二季度GDP增速预期。投资者继续结清gold多头头寸,美油创一周半新高,日内更多经济体准备解除经济封锁,马来西亚准备重启经济活动,澳大利亚将在5month8日决定是否放松防疫限制措施,全球复工的消息无疑是对需求复苏最大的支撑。本交易日主要关注英美PMI数据,同时美国石油钻井平台数据也值得关注。
黄金:周四美国股市收低,但因各国陆续重启经济,提振市场的风险偏好,加上临近月末,投资者并未买入黄金,而是选择获利了结,这使得黄金一度触及1680关口。不过数据显示第一季ETF黄金持仓跳增300吨,整体持仓则是突破3000吨,创下历史新高。同时越来越多的机构押注第二季度美国经济可能会进一步大幅差于预期,且巨量刺激引发的通胀和债务危机也将逐步显现,从长期看黄金仍偏向于多头。
Friday(5month1Spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range, current report1686.38USD, decline0.01%。
Gold trend analysis:
日线来看,黄金走势再次呈现大起大落,短暂冲高后陷入震荡修正,美盘受数据影响一度跌至1694一线,凌晨空头能量加剧,一度跃迁至1681一线,单日跌幅达40美金,足以看出空头的强势。因而今日操作上就要及时转变思路,先多再空对待!四小时来看,黄金开盘震荡,虽有短暂走高,但并不能完全排除下行的风险,因而操作上官微wbb852建议需要做好风控再进行!而黄金走出区间需要以时间换空间,晚间才能换来破位的机会,因而操作上先多再空,上方关注前高1708-1700的一线阻力,下方关注低点1666-1660First line support!
Analysis of crude oil trend:
short-term4Looking at the hourly trend pattern from Tuesday10.0A low point on the front line, until this morning's20.40Within three trading days, the maximum increase exceeded100%. Prices continue to stabilizeMA10Key daily support,MA5The daily line only provides a brief upward momentum, if the price breaks throughMA10The daily support indicates that the price rebound may have peaked, and bulls may profit out. The current priceMAThe moving average is arranged in multiple positions, butKDJIf there is a signal in the short end of the triple bond market, it will face a waterfall decline,RSIThe express line turns down and is in the oversold range,MACDThere is a phenomenon of contraction, but once there is a sell-off, the market's crude oil will continue to decline. It is not ruled out that there will be a "black swan" market on Friday today. Overall, it is recommended to short crude oil at a high level in today's operations, and the upper level should pay attention to it20.5-21.4Pressure level, pay attention below15-16Supporting position;
On the investment path, whether you are a novice or an experienced person, you need to have your own principles! An investment is an experience, seize every growth you make. As the saying goes, "I reflect on myself three times a day." Only by learning to summarize, cultivating my principles, and not letting myself get lost on the path of investment, can you go further and stand higher! A good teacher can take you through confusion, find the right path, feel the direction, and success is right after you turn the corner! |
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No one has offered a reward yet. Give me some support
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